$SOXX โ ๐ง๐ผ ๐ง๐ต๐ผ๐๐ฒ ๐ช๐ต๐ผ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐๐๐ผ๐บ. 11/01/26
๐ฌ๐ฒ๐, the MayโNovember rising support (maroon line) has broken. Even the much older ascending black trendline has been violated. But ๐ฑ๐ผ๐ป'๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ณ๐๐๐ฒ ๐ฎ ๐ฏ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐๐ฟ๐๐ฐ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ฎ ๐ฏ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ป ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐น ๐๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฉ๐ช๐๐ฃ. My anchored VWAP near $459.40 caught Friday's capitulation wick almost perfectly. Price rebounded roughly $14 from that level into the close. See the red ellipse and where price bottomed; perfection!
As discussed yesterday, $SOXL's net volume surged from โ20% to +5% during the final two trading hours. That is a remarkable shift in buying pressure amid apparent technical destruction and fear.
๐ ๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป: Capitulation, absorption, and a potential transfer of control back to buyers.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ป ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐. ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐ช๐๐ฃ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฑ. As long as ~$459 holds, the opportunity remains for $SOXX to reclaim the broken trendlines and reenter the upper triangular structure.
๐ง๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐'๐ ๐ฏ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฑ๐ผ๐๐ป ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐น๐ฑ ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ผ๐'๐ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฝ.
I'm constructive on $SOXX and $SOXL. The VWAP is my line in the sand. The market maker will provide you with the bullish narrative leading into the midterms.
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$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY $DRAM $SNDK $MU $EWJ $EWY
๐ก๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ง ๐ง๐๐ ๐ช๐๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐ฃ๐ข๐ โ ๐ ๐๐ฆ๐ฆ๐๐ฉ๐ ๐๐๐ค๐จ๐๐๐๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ง $๐ญ๐ด๐ฎ
11/05/26
๐น ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ $๐ญ๐ด๐ฎ ๐๐ถ๐พ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ด๐ป๐ฒ๐
$NVDA has returned to its weekly Point of Control (POC), near $182 โ the price center where the largest concentration of historical trading volume has accumulated.
๐น ๐ก๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ ๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ต๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ถ๐พ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐
For approximately nine months, substantial trading activity has built around this same $182 price center. See the blue horizontal line and the original consolidation zone highlighted in red.
๐น ๐ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฏ-๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ-๐๐ผ ๐ข๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐๐ป๐ถ๐๐?
Even if $NVDA briefly breaks below $182 for a session, this high-volume price center remains a powerful potential magnet.
A temporary liquidity sweep below the level, followed by a rapid reclaim, could create the ideal grab-and-go setup for the next bullish advance.
๐น ๐ฉ๐ผ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐๐ ๐ฆ๐ต๐ผ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฆ๐ถ๐ด๐ป๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด
As of 2:00 PM ET, $SVIX and the broader volatility complex were showing signs of stabilization.
๐ ๐ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ป: I will be accumulating long-term $NVDA positions around these levels between now and Monday.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐๐๐ผ๐บ ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ: $182 is not just another price level. It represents nine months of accumulated trading activity โ a major battleground where buyers and sellers may establish the next directional move.
$NVDA $SOXX $SOXL $SMH $SPY $QQQ $SVIX $VIX
$SOXL: 100% Brutal Retracement with WAVE C of the entire move from Liberation Day 3/30 until today.
Our chart captured the essence of Wave A , B , and C, as shown. But I didn't believe they would retrace to 100% in 10 days. I was expecting one reversal higher before the final move. That didn't happen. It was merciless!
$40 to $300 to $40.
They will give you the handle. See pic.
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$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY
โ ๏ธโ ๏ธโ ๏ธ $SPYโ ๐ง๐๐ ๐ช๐๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ฅ๐ง ๐๐๐ฆ ๐๐ข๐ฆ๐ง ๐ ๐ฌ ๐ง๐ฅ๐จ๐ฆ๐ง
๐ก๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐บ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฑ, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฒ | ๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ท๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐๐ฐ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น ๐ช๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด
The long-term bullish case for $SPY is now ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฃ๐๐๐ง.
For the first time, the market has breached a major rising support line connecting two critical lows in this bull market.
๐ ๐ง๐๐ ๐ ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐๐๐ฆ ๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ฅ๐๐๐๐๐ข๐ช๐ก
Using the geometric support line anchored to:
๐น ๐ฃ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป๐ ๐ญ: April 7, 2025 โ Liberation Day low at $481.80, and passing through:
๐น ๐ฃ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป๐ ๐ฎ: March 30, 2026 โ Major corrective low at $629.28
๐น ๐ฃ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป๐ ๐ฏ: November 5, 2026 โ Calculated support at ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ญ.๐ด๐ฑ
Today, $SPY traded below that calculated support, reaching approximately $731 this hour.
๐จ ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฆ ๐๐ข๐ก๐.
This is not merely about losing $742. It is about ๐น๐ผ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ณ๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฟ๐๐ฐ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ด๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ of the entire rising trend.
For months, this support line served as the mathematical foundation of the bullish case. Every major correction had a reference point. Every selloff could be evaluated against an established rising floor.
๐ง๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ณ๐น๐ผ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ป ๐ฏ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฑ.
And even if $SPY recovers above $742 tomorrow, the original confidence in that support cannot simply be restored.
A broken support line is no longer an unquestionable foundation. ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐บ๐๐๐ ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ฟ๐๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป, ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ผ๐บ ๐๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต.
๐ ๐ช๐๐๐ง ๐๐๐๐ก๐๐๐ฆ ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ ๐๐๐ฅ๐?
My approach to future rallies must now change.
Previously, corrections toward major support represented potential buying opportunities within an intact bullish structure.
Now, rallies may need to be treated as ๐ฆ๐๐๐๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ฃ๐ฃ๐ข๐ฅ๐ง๐จ๐ก๐๐ง๐๐๐ฆ until the market proves otherwise.
Even a substantial recovery above the broken support line would not eliminate the possibility of another decline toward lower lows.
๐ง๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป.
๐ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ถ๐น๐ ๐ฎ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐.
The market can rally, reclaim resistance, attract buyers, and still return later to establish a lower low.
โ ๏ธ ๐ง๐๐ ๐ก๐๐ช ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐: ๐ง๐ฅ๐จ๐ฆ๐ง ๐ ๐จ๐ฆ๐ง ๐๐ ๐ฅ๐๐๐จ๐๐๐ง.
I am not declaring that every rally will fail, nor that a bear market is guaranteed.
I am declaring that ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ด๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฒ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ธ ๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐บ๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ณ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น๐.
Until $SPY establishes a credible new support structure, I will treat future upside with greater skepticism and remain open to selling rallies rather than automatically buying corrections.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ผ๐น๐ฑ ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐ ๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ณ๐ผ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป. ๐ง๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐, ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฑ.
๐๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฎ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฏ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐บ๐๐๐ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฒ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป.
๐ฆ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ & ๐ฆ๐๐ฏ๐๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฒ, <<link in bio>>.
$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY
๐ก๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ง ๐ง๐๐ ๐ช๐๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐ฃ๐ข๐ โ ๐ ๐๐ฆ๐ฆ๐๐ฉ๐ ๐๐๐ค๐จ๐๐๐๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ง $๐ญ๐ด๐ฎ
11/05/26
๐น ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ $๐ญ๐ด๐ฎ ๐๐ถ๐พ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ด๐ป๐ฒ๐
$NVDA has returned to its weekly Point of Control (POC), near $182 โ the price center where the largest concentration of historical trading volume has accumulated.
๐น ๐ก๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ ๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ต๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ถ๐พ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐
For approximately nine months, substantial trading activity has built around this same $182 price center. See the blue horizontal line and the original consolidation zone highlighted in red.
๐น ๐ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฏ-๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ-๐๐ผ ๐ข๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐๐ป๐ถ๐๐?
Even if $NVDA briefly breaks below $182 for a session, this high-volume price center remains a powerful potential magnet.
A temporary liquidity sweep below the level, followed by a rapid reclaim, could create the ideal grab-and-go setup for the next bullish advance.
๐น ๐ฉ๐ผ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐๐ ๐ฆ๐ต๐ผ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฆ๐ถ๐ด๐ป๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด
As of 2:00 PM ET, $SVIX and the broader volatility complex were showing signs of stabilization.
๐ ๐ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ป: I will be accumulating long-term $NVDA positions around these levels between now and Monday.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐๐๐ผ๐บ ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ: $182 is not just another price level. It represents nine months of accumulated trading activity โ a major battleground where buyers and sellers may establish the next directional move.
$NVDA $SOXX $SOXL $SMH $SPY $QQQ $SVIX $VIX
โ ๏ธโ ๏ธ $SPY Remember if this capitulates here at support, SPY can close with GREEN candle on the day. See previous instance, lower red circle, against the same support line. See pic.
$SPY Monthly Chart Remains Bullish Above $743. 11/05/26
This is the target for reversal during the cash session today.
See pic.
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$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY
๐จ ๐ฆ๐ฃ๐ฌ $๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฏ โ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ต ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ฎ๐ ๐จ๐ป๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ถ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐๐!
11/05/26
โข Yesterday, $SPY reached the critical $743/$744 level in premarket trading, ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ด๐๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐ต ๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ป๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ถ๐.
โข I believe $SPY is very likely to revisit $743/$744 ๐ฒ๐ถ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ผ๐, potentially delivering the final capitulation event.
โข ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐ต ๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ $๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฏ. The premarket test alone may not be sufficient to complete the corrective structure.
โข ๐ช๐ต๐ $๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐: This level represents a critical support zone capable of preserving the ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ด-๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ despite the severity of the current correction. This structure comes from the monthly bullish chart.
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฆ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ผ: One final flush toward $743, capitulation, and a reversal that leaves the broader bullish structure intact.
โ ๏ธ A sustained breakdown below $743 would weaken this scenario and warrant reassessment.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฑ๐ผ๐ฒ๐๐ป'๐ ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐น๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป. ๐๐ ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ ๐ถ๐๐ ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ด-๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐ต๐ผ๐น๐ฑ.
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$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY
๐จ ๐ฆ๐ฃ๐ฌ $๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฏ โ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ต ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ฎ๐ ๐จ๐ป๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ถ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐๐!
11/05/26
โข Yesterday, $SPY reached the critical $743/$744 level in premarket trading, ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ด๐๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐ต ๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ป๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ถ๐.
โข I believe $SPY is very likely to revisit $743/$744 ๐ฒ๐ถ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ผ๐, potentially delivering the final capitulation event.
โข ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐ต ๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ $๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฏ. The premarket test alone may not be sufficient to complete the corrective structure.
โข ๐ช๐ต๐ $๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐: This level represents a critical support zone capable of preserving the ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ด-๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ despite the severity of the current correction. This structure comes from the monthly bullish chart.
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฆ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ผ: One final flush toward $743, capitulation, and a reversal that leaves the broader bullish structure intact.
โ ๏ธ A sustained breakdown below $743 would weaken this scenario and warrant reassessment.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฑ๐ผ๐ฒ๐๐ป'๐ ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐น๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป. ๐๐ ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ ๐ถ๐๐ ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ด-๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐ต๐ผ๐น๐ฑ.
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$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY
๐จ๐จ ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐ง๐๐ก๐ฆ๐๐ข๐ก ๐ข๐ ๐ช๐๐ฉ๐ ๐ โ $SOXL $SOXX
๐ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐น๐ฒ๐ป๐๐น๐ฒ๐๐. ๐ ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฐ๐ถ๐น๐ฒ๐๐.
โข Chart updated with the ๐บ๐ผ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ด๐ด๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐น๐ฒ. See the three red circles tracing the acceleration of the decline.
โข This Wave C extension has ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐ฒ๐
๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐บ๐ ๐ฒ๐
๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐. The selling pressure has been relentless, slicing through successive Fibonacci retracement levels.
โข Today's price action has all the characteristics of ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ถ๐๐๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป. We are witnessing the deepest and most aggressive phase of the correction: ๐ฆ๐๐ฏ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฑ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐.
โข The 94.13% retracement has now come into focus, with the 100% retracement near $36 marking the ultimate downside reference on this chart.
โ ๏ธ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ผ๐
: The most violent selling often occurs near the terminal stage of a corrective wave. Capitulation can signal exhaustion, but confirmation of a reversal is still required.
๐ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ณ๐ถ๐ณ๐๐ต ๐๐๐ฏ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฒ. The deeper the extension, the more consequential the potential reversal.
๐ ๐ฆ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ & ๐ฆ๐๐ฏ๐๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฒ โ Link in bio.
$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY
๐จ $SOXL โ Brutal 90% Retracement From the ATH! | 11/04/26
Is Wave C Approaching Its Final Capitulation?
$SOXL has suffered a devastating decline, retracing nearly 90% of its advance from the original $39 base with the 3/30 ceasefire to the $301.94 all-time high.
But the geometry of this correction is revealing something important.
๐น ๐๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ โ ๐๐ก๐ ๐
๐ข๐๐ญ๐ก ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐๐ฏ๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐๐ง ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ
See the chart.
The descending line originating from the Wave A low extends directly into the projected termination zone of Wave C, where the fifth and final subwave is unfolding near $62.
This is no ordinary support line. It connects the geometry of Wave A to the potential exhaustion point of Wave C.
The yellow markers highlight the alignment.
๐น ๐๐ก๐ $๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง โ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ฅ๐ฒ?
Under a deeper Elliott Wave correction scenario, the entire advance could eventually be retraced to its origin near $39.07.
However, a complete retracement is not mandatory.
More importantly, my RSI observations indicate that $SOXL is now exhibiting conditions remarkably similar to those recorded at the Wave A bottom.
That similarity strengthens my conviction that a meaningful relief rally is imminent, potentially beginning around the current $62 region.
๐น ๐
๐ข๐ซ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ฉ๐ฌ๐ข๐๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ญ: $๐๐
The first major test is the descending resistance structure around $86, representing approximately 37% upside from $62.
This is where the market must reveal its hand.
๐๐ฐ๐จ ๐๐๐๐ง๐๐ซ๐ข๐จ๐ฌ:
๐ข ๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ก ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ค๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ: A decisive break above the descending resistance line would strengthen the case that Wave C and its fifth subwave have terminated. That opens the door to a much larger recovery, potentially toward new highs.
In this scenario, the bears pressing their shorts near the marked C bottom could find themselves trapped at precisely the wrong moment.
๐ด ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ญ $๐๐: Failure to overcome resistance would leave the corrective structure unresolved, opening the possibility of another visit to $62, forming a double bottom, or a further decline toward the projected wedge apex near $54.50.
๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฌ๐ ๐๐๐ฌ๐
The fifth subwave is still in progress, but the convergence of Wave A/C geometry, deep Fibonacci retracement, and matching RSI exhaustion conditions argues that $SOXL is approaching an important inflection point.
The 88.6% retracement at $69.04 has already been breached, bringing the 94.13% level at $54.50 into view as the next deeper Fibonacci reference.
I favor an imminent bounce toward $86 before the market decides whether this is the beginning of a major bullish reversal or merely an interruption in the final corrective decline.
$NVDA is showing a similar setup.
๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ง๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐จ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐จ๐ฆ โ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐.
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๐จ ๐๐๐ง ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐๐๐ง๐๐ข๐ก โ ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ $๐ญ,๐ญ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ง๐ข $๐ฑ๐ด๐ฌ! | 11/05/26
๐ป ๐ก๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐น๐ ๐ฐ๐ณ% ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ. ๐๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ถ๐๐๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ข๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐๐ป๐ถ๐๐?
โข ๐๐
๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ ๐ข๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฑ: I have never seen $CAT this oversold. The magnitude of this correction is extraordinary.
โข ๐๐ฎ๐๐ด๐ต๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ $๐ฆ๐ข๐ซ๐ซ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฟ๐๐: $CAT has been swept into the semiconductor selloff, despite its industrial backbone and exposure to the AI data-center infrastructure build-out, particularly engines and power-generation equipment.
โข ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐๐ป๐ฐ๐ต๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ผ๐๐๐ผ๐บ: I am watching for $CAT to establish a major bottom alongside $SOXX. Both may be approaching a shared inflection point.
โข ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ $๐๐๐ ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ด๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ: Look at the attached Dow components. Green across the board among the leading heavyweights, except $CAT โ the Dow's #2 component by weight, down everyday!
๐ฏ ๐ ๐ฌ ๐ง๐๐๐ฆ๐๐ฆ: $CAT is becoming the conspicuous laggard in an otherwise resilient Dow. If $SOXX confirms its bottom, $CAT could be positioned for a powerful relief rally.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ผ ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฒ๐ป๐ด๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐ ๐๐๐ถ๐น๐น ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฒ. ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฒ๐ป๐ด๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ป๐.
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๐ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ซ๐ซ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฝ โ ๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฝ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ๐๐ฒ | ๐ญ๐ญ/๐ฌ๐ฐ/๐ฎ๐ฒ
๐น ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐๐ฐ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฎ ๐๐๐น๐น๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฎ๐น
Part of my bullish conviction in $NVDA comes directly from the broader structure of $SOXX.
โข ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฝ ๐๐ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ๐๐ฒ. At approximately $450, SOXX has returned to the right rim of a massive inverse cup, precisely matching the left green-marked rim that launched the final bullish impulse toward the June peak, amid the $MU earnings saga.
โข ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฟ๐ถ๐ด๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ถ๐น๐น ๐๐ป๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐. Today's $450 area intersects the rising gray support line originating in early 2026. The yellow markers illustrate repeated historical validations of this remarkably consistent linear trajectory. Today's retest adds another important touchpoint.
โข ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐บ ๐๐
๐ฐ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐๐ต. Even the bears should recognize the distinction: the recent correction may have simply removed the speculative froth represented by the cup, returning SOXX to its original, sustainable rising trajectory rather than signaling a structural breakdown.
โข ๐ก๐ฒ๐
๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ผ๐ฝ: ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐น๐ฒ. My preferred scenario calls for a recovery that develops a handle alongside the blue 50-day SMA, currently near $525.
โ ๏ธ ๐๐ป๐๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป: A decisive loss of the gray ascending support line, highlighted by the yellow markers, would invalidate this bullish interpretation.
I consider a material breakdown unlikely, particularly given the constructive price structure $NVDA is developing this week.
๐ฏ ๐๐ผ๐๐๐ผ๐บ ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ: The cup has completed its journey. The excess has been removed. The original linear uptrend now has an opportunity to reclaim control.
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๐จ๐จ $SPMO โ ๐ง๐๐ ๐ ๐ง๐ข ๐๐จ๐ฌ, ๐ก๐ข๐ง ๐ฆ๐๐๐, ๐ ๐ข๐ ๐๐ก๐ง๐จ๐ ๐ฆ๐ง๐ข๐๐๐ฆ! 11/04/26
๐ ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐บ ๐๐ฎ๐ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐
๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ ๐ข๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฑ ๐๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐น โ ๐๐ถ๐๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ด๐ด๐ฒ๐๐๐ ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ ๐ก๐ฒ๐
๐.
โข See the attached chart. My proprietary Momentum Squeeze Indicator on $SPMO has just reached ZERO, a level associated with significant exhaustion of selling pressure.
โข ๐ง๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ด. We have witnessed this same extreme on two important occasions:
๐ต March 30, 2026 โ A major momentum washout, followed by a powerful recovery.
๐ต August 20, 2026 โ Another extreme oversold reading that preceded a sharp resurgence in momentum.
๐ต November 4, 2026 โ TODAY! The indicator has returned to the same ZERO floor for the third time.
โข Notice the black horizontal baseline connecting all three bottoms. Despite the intervening volatility, each extreme has converged at virtually the same exhaustion level.
โข The red arrows illustrate the historical recovery paths and my anticipated trajectory from today's reading. Previous reversals carried the indicator toward the 40โ80 range and, in some cases, even higher.
๐ ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐:
The momentum squeeze has reached its extreme. I expect the next meaningful move to be UP, NOT DOWN, with the potential for a substantial rebound in momentum stocks.
The market may still experience short-term volatility, but selling momentum stocks at this historically exhausted level appears to me to be the wrong side of the trade.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐บ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐บ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ป ๐บ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐บ ๐ถ๐๐๐ฒ๐น๐ณ ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ.
History doesn't guarantee a repeat, but the symmetry is compelling.
$SPMO $MTUM $NVDA $SOXX โ ๐๐จ๐ฌ ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ง๐๐ข๐ก. ๐ก๐ข๐ง ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ฃ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐๐.
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๐จ $SOXL โ Brutal 90% Retracement From the ATH! | 11/04/26
Is Wave C Approaching Its Final Capitulation?
$SOXL has suffered a devastating decline, retracing nearly 90% of its advance from the original $39 base with the 3/30 ceasefire to the $301.94 all-time high.
But the geometry of this correction is revealing something important.
๐น ๐๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ โ ๐๐ก๐ ๐
๐ข๐๐ญ๐ก ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐๐ฏ๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐๐ง ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ
See the chart.
The descending line originating from the Wave A low extends directly into the projected termination zone of Wave C, where the fifth and final subwave is unfolding near $62.
This is no ordinary support line. It connects the geometry of Wave A to the potential exhaustion point of Wave C.
The yellow markers highlight the alignment.
๐น ๐๐ก๐ $๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง โ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ฅ๐ฒ?
Under a deeper Elliott Wave correction scenario, the entire advance could eventually be retraced to its origin near $39.07.
However, a complete retracement is not mandatory.
More importantly, my RSI observations indicate that $SOXL is now exhibiting conditions remarkably similar to those recorded at the Wave A bottom.
That similarity strengthens my conviction that a meaningful relief rally is imminent, potentially beginning around the current $62 region.
๐น ๐
๐ข๐ซ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ฉ๐ฌ๐ข๐๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ญ: $๐๐
The first major test is the descending resistance structure around $86, representing approximately 37% upside from $62.
This is where the market must reveal its hand.
๐๐ฐ๐จ ๐๐๐๐ง๐๐ซ๐ข๐จ๐ฌ:
๐ข ๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ก ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ค๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ: A decisive break above the descending resistance line would strengthen the case that Wave C and its fifth subwave have terminated. That opens the door to a much larger recovery, potentially toward new highs.
In this scenario, the bears pressing their shorts near the marked C bottom could find themselves trapped at precisely the wrong moment.
๐ด ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ญ $๐๐: Failure to overcome resistance would leave the corrective structure unresolved, opening the possibility of another visit to $62, forming a double bottom, or a further decline toward the projected wedge apex near $54.50.
๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฌ๐ ๐๐๐ฌ๐
The fifth subwave is still in progress, but the convergence of Wave A/C geometry, deep Fibonacci retracement, and matching RSI exhaustion conditions argues that $SOXL is approaching an important inflection point.
The 88.6% retracement at $69.04 has already been breached, bringing the 94.13% level at $54.50 into view as the next deeper Fibonacci reference.
I favor an imminent bounce toward $86 before the market decides whether this is the beginning of a major bullish reversal or merely an interruption in the final corrective decline.
$NVDA is showing a similar setup.
๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ง๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐จ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐จ๐ฆ โ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐.
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๐จ๐จ $SPMO โ ๐ง๐๐ ๐ ๐ง๐ข ๐๐จ๐ฌ, ๐ก๐ข๐ง ๐ฆ๐๐๐, ๐ ๐ข๐ ๐๐ก๐ง๐จ๐ ๐ฆ๐ง๐ข๐๐๐ฆ! 11/04/26
๐ ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐บ ๐๐ฎ๐ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐
๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ ๐ข๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฑ ๐๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐น โ ๐๐ถ๐๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ด๐ด๐ฒ๐๐๐ ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ ๐ก๐ฒ๐
๐.
โข See the attached chart. My proprietary Momentum Squeeze Indicator on $SPMO has just reached ZERO, a level associated with significant exhaustion of selling pressure.
โข ๐ง๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ด. We have witnessed this same extreme on two important occasions:
๐ต March 30, 2026 โ A major momentum washout, followed by a powerful recovery.
๐ต August 20, 2026 โ Another extreme oversold reading that preceded a sharp resurgence in momentum.
๐ต November 4, 2026 โ TODAY! The indicator has returned to the same ZERO floor for the third time.
โข Notice the black horizontal baseline connecting all three bottoms. Despite the intervening volatility, each extreme has converged at virtually the same exhaustion level.
โข The red arrows illustrate the historical recovery paths and my anticipated trajectory from today's reading. Previous reversals carried the indicator toward the 40โ80 range and, in some cases, even higher.
๐ ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐:
The momentum squeeze has reached its extreme. I expect the next meaningful move to be UP, NOT DOWN, with the potential for a substantial rebound in momentum stocks.
The market may still experience short-term volatility, but selling momentum stocks at this historically exhausted level appears to me to be the wrong side of the trade.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐บ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐บ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ป ๐บ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐บ ๐ถ๐๐๐ฒ๐น๐ณ ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ.
History doesn't guarantee a repeat, but the symmetry is compelling.
$SPMO $MTUM $NVDA $SOXX โ ๐๐จ๐ฌ ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ง๐๐ข๐ก. ๐ก๐ข๐ง ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ฃ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐๐.
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๐ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ซ๐ซ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฝ โ ๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฝ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ๐๐ฒ | ๐ญ๐ญ/๐ฌ๐ฐ/๐ฎ๐ฒ
๐น ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐๐ฐ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฎ ๐๐๐น๐น๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฎ๐น
Part of my bullish conviction in $NVDA comes directly from the broader structure of $SOXX.
โข ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฝ ๐๐ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ๐๐ฒ. At approximately $450, SOXX has returned to the right rim of a massive inverse cup, precisely matching the left green-marked rim that launched the final bullish impulse toward the June peak, amid the $MU earnings saga.
โข ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฟ๐ถ๐ด๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ถ๐น๐น ๐๐ป๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐. Today's $450 area intersects the rising gray support line originating in early 2026. The yellow markers illustrate repeated historical validations of this remarkably consistent linear trajectory. Today's retest adds another important touchpoint.
โข ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐บ ๐๐
๐ฐ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐๐ต. Even the bears should recognize the distinction: the recent correction may have simply removed the speculative froth represented by the cup, returning SOXX to its original, sustainable rising trajectory rather than signaling a structural breakdown.
โข ๐ก๐ฒ๐
๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ผ๐ฝ: ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐น๐ฒ. My preferred scenario calls for a recovery that develops a handle alongside the blue 50-day SMA, currently near $525.
โ ๏ธ ๐๐ป๐๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป: A decisive loss of the gray ascending support line, highlighted by the yellow markers, would invalidate this bullish interpretation.
I consider a material breakdown unlikely, particularly given the constructive price structure $NVDA is developing this week.
๐ฏ ๐๐ผ๐๐๐ผ๐บ ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ: The cup has completed its journey. The excess has been removed. The original linear uptrend now has an opportunity to reclaim control.
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@MarkNewtonCMT @RyanDetrick @AriWald @StocktonKatie CC: possible continuation of linear growth trend on $SOXX from here, froth cup fully retraced even on a sloped basis.
๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐น๐น๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ $NVDA | ๐ญ๐ญ/๐ฌ๐ฐ/๐ฎ๐ฒ
๐ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป, ๐๐ฐ๐ฐ๐๐บ๐๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป & ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ด๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ
Since October 29, $NVDA has remained rangebound within the clearly defined box shown on the chart. $211 remains the critical breakout threshold that could unlock the next bullish leg.
On October 29, NVDA's 30-minute RSI plunged to an extreme oversold reading of 20. Today, despite price remaining trapped within the same range, RSI has recovered to 44+.
๐ง๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฎ ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น๐ถ๐๐ต ๐บ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐บ ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ด๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ. The strengthening RSI against a compressed price structure supports my interpretation of accumulation rather than distribution.
Those forecasting an imminent $SPY collapse toward $620 may be in for a serious disappointment. NVDA's underlying momentum is telling a very different story.
๐๐ถ๐๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ต๐๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ด! An almost identical RSI divergence appeared on July 29, 2026, preceding stellar bullish performance in NVDA over the following trading sessions.
๐ฏ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐๐๐ผ๐บ ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ: Price is compressed, momentum is recovering, and $211 is the gateway. A confirmed breakout above that level would strengthen the bullish case considerably.
๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐.
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๐ $BABA ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฎ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ ๐ข๐๐ฒ๐ฟ! | 10/23/26
- I've been patiently waiting for $BABA to close its lower price gap before going long.
- ๐ง๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐, ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ด๐ฎ๐ฝ ๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ ๐ฐ๐น๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ. The setup I've been waiting for is here!
๐ See the chart below.
$BABX
As the $DXY cycle peaks end of October, this is timely.
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โ ๏ธโ ๏ธโ ๏ธ ๐ช๐ต๐ $SPY ๐๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ถ๐๐๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ ๐๐บ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐ป๐! | ๐ญ๐ญ/๐ฌ๐ฏ/๐ฎ๐ฒ
Tonight, history may be in the making.
Three pivotal market lows, separated by time but united by geometry:
๐ธ The April 2025 Liberation Day low.
๐ธ The 2026 Ceasefire low. 03/30
๐ธ Tonight's $SPY low.
๐ง๐ต๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐น๐ผ๐๐. ๐ข๐ป๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ.
The chart reveals an extraordinary geometric alignment, with $SPY once again testing the very trendline that has defined this bull market's structural foundation.
My expectation: downside is complete, seeing is believing โ
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$NVDA โ ๐ ๐ ๐ฆ๐ต๐ผ๐ฟ๐-๐ง๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ง๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ด๐ฒ๐๐ | ๐ญ๐ญ/๐ฌ๐ฏ/๐ฎ๐ฒ
Yes, even in the midst of overnight market fear, with $SPY trading near $747 and potentially testing $743 by the opening bell, I remain bullish on $NVDA and $SOXX from the current VWAP level.
With a potential #VIX1D volatility crush on deck at cash open Wed AM, my short-term forecasts are:
๐ฏ $215 by Friday, November 6.
๐ฏ $220 by Monday, November 9.
The chart tells the story. $NVDA is approaching a critical ascending support line, and I expect that line to ๐๐ข๐๐.
The geometry favors a rebound, not a breakdown.
๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐ถ๐ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต. ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ด๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ.
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