
NFL & CFB projections, draft analytics, and Rev Share/NIL modeling for @TheAthletic. The game isn't played on a spreadsheet — but it helps to have one. 📊
Joined July 2011
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Lions over the Packers is a bigger deal for the NFC North than you think.
I had Detroit projected more favorably than the Packers to begin the day — now the Lions are 73% to make the playoffs, Packers 41%.
Updated playoff odds are live in the Athletic simulator:
The Athletic Playoff Simulator here:
nytimes.com/athletic/interac…
Giants and JJ McCarthy just took care of business in Houston — 27-21 in OT to move to 4-2-1 and stay alone atop the NFC East.
That win bumped their playoff odds to 51%.
Full playoff picture with The Athletic’s Playoff Simulator.
Full playoff odds here:
nytimes.com/athletic/interac…
Which Week 7 game are you most confident in?
My model has a few clear disagreements with the market, including one total I think is too high and a late window game that looks closer than the line.
Full breakdown is in the new War Room episode:
My daughter just asked me if I work with @JasonKelce after seeing him on the broadcast.
Apparently she has seen us work together.
I think Arch made up his mind where he was going with that ball before the snap. The safety read him and then he made a horrible throw…woof.