Anthony Iseman (@anthonyiseman) header
Anthony Iseman (@anthonyiseman) profile picture

Full-time Investor/Trader | Early $HOOD | Currently Long $ZETA | Not Financial Advice

Joined January 2025
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Welp, I lost everything I came with on the blackjack table. Luckily $ZETA has been good to me this week so the vibes are up 🤙
Vegas, we are here! I need $ZETA to crush so I don't feel bad about my blackjack habit.
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Happy $ZETA all-time highs. We officially did it! $38.21 broke the previous intraday record. There are many more to come 🥂
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I'm a big fan of selling options in a market like this. During last week's mayhem I sold a ton of puts across various AI names. $NBIS was easy money.
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$ZETA Some more price target upgrades coming in this morning. Citi: PT: $35 → $38 Morgan Stanley: PT: $25 → $33
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Thank you $ZETA. We are at all-time highs today across all portfolios.
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I'm the only person who comes to Vegas and goes to bed at 7:11 p.m.
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$ZETA has given you back to back earnings buying opportunities. I hope you caught the dip 😉
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$ZETA CFO Chris Greiner just said they are seeing pilots scale faster. CEO David Steinberg tagged that by saying the last few pilots he's worked on personally have started as Super Scaled Clients (meaning over $1M in revenue).
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$ZETA just reported 30% YoY organic growth crushing another bear case about their core business might be slowing down. This also points to Athena being the flywheel it was intended to be. This was an excellent print.
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$ZETA guides Q4 political spend to be $13M. An increase of $5M from their previous guide.
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$ZETA CEO David Steinberg just said they have over $100M in new pipeline in just the last couple of weeks and have signed 23 new deals coming out of Zeta Live..... Holy Smokes!
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Vegas, we are here! I need $ZETA to crush so I don't feel bad about my blackjack habit.
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Today is the day. $ZETA is about to blow the doors off their earnings. Analysts and even most retail investor expectations are underestimating what I believe they are about to deliver. I expect revenue to come in at $501M which is ~48.5% YoY growth.
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What do you think happens when $ZETA beats and raises for the 21st time in a row and then gives their preliminary 2027 guidance which will likely be substantially higher than analysts are projecting? I think after this quarter Wall Street will start paying more attention.
$ZETA I project Zeta to come in at ~48.5% growth which is roughly $501M for Q3 FY'26. That is roughly ~$31M above managements guidance. Let's breakdown my assumptions: Over the last 2 years Zeta beat their core numbers on average by ~3.8%. In 2026, this accelerated to ~5.75% above management's own guide. I went with a conservative 4.5% beat on Zeta Core. Zeta's management team went on a non-stop conference tour from May through September: - JPM Global Technology - Cannes - KeyBanc Technology Leadership Forum - CG 46th Annual Growth Conference - Goldman Sachs Communacopia - Citi 2026 Global TMT Conference They were doing live demos of Athena and I imagine they converted a lot pipeline into actual customers during the quarter. Marigold, I gave a modest lift of only $900K from last quarter to remain conservative. The average $PLTR Joint-GTM pilot is between $500k-$1.5M. I'm assuming 7 deals at a midpoint of $1M each. Political candidate revenue in 2020 was $15M. Midterm revenue in 2022 was half that at $7.5M. For the 2024 election, political revenue was $44M. So I am assuming midterm spend this year will be roughly half at $22M ($10M in Q3 and the remaining $12M in Q4 - subject to change). Keep in mind, these are conservative estimates. I'm trying to remain grounded and not over sell what Zeta will deliver.
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$ZETA I'm still being patient waiting to add. Although Zeta has been quite resilient over the months as the AI trade has been falling apart, I would not be surprised if we revisited the mid 20s. If/when we get there I will be looking to add.
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Not an original post, but this bubble chart looks exactly like many of the AI name. $SNDK $MU $NBIS $LITE $AAOI $DRAM to name a few. It looks like we have finally started to reach the capitulation phase on a lot of these names. I imagine a lot of retail is being margin called and maybe even some funds are blowing up as we speak.
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This is a great article by @a16z. How AI Applications Earn Their Premium Read it and think about it in context of what $ZETA is building. Initially, when I thought about why Zeta was building it's own inference models, I saw it as a means to drive performance and margins. But it's actually about strengthening their MOAT. open.substack.com/pub/a16z/p…
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$ZETA Why Zeta’s own Athena Inference Model (AIM) strengthens their MOAT. Typically, when we think about what gives Zeta a structural competitive advantage against its peers or when we discuss why Zeta can’t simply be vibe coded away, we look at their first-party data advantage. But the more I dig into Zeta’s inference model, the more I understand why they decided to build it. It actually strengthens their MOAT. Right now, software as a whole sits at an interesting crossroads. Better and cheaper models drive margins for software companies. At the same time, better and cheaper models make certain applications easier to replace. This creates an interesting paradox. AI is simultaneously making software more valuable while also making traditional software moats more vulnerable. We already understand the importance of data sovereignty. But by owning the intelligence layer, Zeta is only widening its MOAT. The Athena Inference Model is a purpose built engine designed to deliver faster intelligence at a lower cost, while continuously compounding the value that can be extracted from the data flowing through its platform. Through recently published data from the @FireworksAI_HQ Specialized Intelligence Index, we can see that Zeta's Athena Inference Model closed the frontier model performance gap while operating at 94% lower cost and 6x the speed. By owning both the data and the intelligence layer, Zeta is able to make context cheaper to rent than it would be to build. Small, in-house teams might be able to replicate some AthenaOS features. However, they won't easily replicate the quality of Zeta's underlying data or recreate its intelligence at the same cost and speed. The barrier to entry isn't just building the software. It's recreating the underlying intelligence and economics that make the software valuable.
🤖 Made with AI
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$ZETA Pay attention when management starts dropping breadcrumbs. "Today we are doing use cases around cyber protection, fraud detection for one of our credit card clients. Our data cloud is able to inform all of that." - CEO David Steinberg "Last year we launched the Zeta business intelligence platform which is sort of at the forefront of using our data cloud for enterprise intelligent... Inventory management, logistics, financial, cyber security. All of that is being built into our business intelligence cases." - CEO David Steinberg
$ZETA Analysts only have Zeta growing at 16.1% in 2027 and 15.6% in 2028. The way I see it, Zeta has multiple avenues for durable, long-term growth, none of which I believe are fully reflected in Wall Street's expectations. I truly believe $ZETA is in the early stages of an S-curve. These next few years could be telling.
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