
research analyst @getmoni_io, community dj, @monad validator (soon), music and vibes @buildfmxyz, onchain radio @theidmfun
Joined December 2017
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this is onchain market making
© base builder
Replying to @axisrobotics
Please explain to the community why an entity received ~42M AXIS from the Axis team multisig to six addresses and sold it for ~5.04M USDC via DEX over the past 24 hours which has caused the AXIS price to crash 40%?
You only TGE’d one week ago….
0xcc279c2499bcf4bd0f169c2d3f333243473242f7
0x66612012c5ad9b2fed81d09a9ab429b5285b2c62
0xf07e96abc54fea70ffeea8d3df7704401e7b0eb0
0x99cd3975c90b79ffdbe16425de033a605b814c49
0xbbed67fec9c7793218fa60c40fb9e6b059d86483
0xe69d8d6b9b7f9056eda455b76384e9748749f4d1
0x4ef72e67e6a7c37ea1378fe2adf811d711422e5d
He got 46,428 HYPE in the genesis airdrop, $4.2M at today’s price. Now he's buying $1 for 98¢ on @Outcomexyz
robertocarlos, 0xe933…5bb3
$209.6k lifetime profit on HL perps, $115.9M traded
moved $50k to Outcome on Sep 23–28
+$5.6k realized in 30 days (+11%)
How: one YES + one NO on the same outcome merge back into $1. Get both legs for less, keep the difference.
He lifts NO on favourites from market makers' asks, parks bids on the underdog's YES at 4–12¢, and waits hours, sometimes days. When both legs fill under $1, he merges them. 60k+ pairs so far, ~1¢ each.
Merges are only 20% of his profit, though. 69% came from selling underdog legs higher: PSG YES bought at 13¢, sold at 17.5¢, +$2.5k.
Market makers quote YES and NO separately. He's the one adding them up.
A prediction market trader made $16,056 in 30 days with a $2.4k bankroll and an 86% win rate.
One wallet on @Outcomexyz, and the trick is buying answers that are already decided.
0x9522…1f32 (ferrari4u2)
Setup ↓
Every 15 minutes Hyperliquid lists "BTC/ETH/HYPE above X at time T". In the last 1–3 minutes the price is often so far from the strike that the answer is basically known.
Trade ↓
He bids 0.55–0.80 on the side that's already winning, 600–1,400 shares, and keeps refreshing the bid. Someone sells him the winner, and it settles at $1.
Receipts from Oct 25:
HYPE "No", 1,375 at 65¢ → +$481
ETH "No", 1,200 at 70¢ → +$360
BTC "Yes", 1,250 at 80¢ → +$250
On top of that, $4.4k in @monarch_fast LP rewards.
Does it still work?
Yes, but thinner.
+$2.0k on Oct 24
+$1.3k on Oct 25
+$127 on Oct 26
It's a window, and it's closing.
for the culture.
create your own track where every trade is a note
Style Lab is live on theidm.fun/lab
Make your own IDM sound right in the browser:
- start from a blank sheet and add parts one by one, keys 1-8
- swap the riff, turn the knobs, it plays as you go
- auto market: live trades write the pattern
- manual mode: you are the market, BUY / SELL / WHALE
6 genres to start from. Send your style for review, the best go into the community gallery and Youtube / X streams
IDM took 2nd place in the Identity MD hackathon
thanks to the IMD community for the support
music unites us
@theidmfun
bad friend retweeted
IDM took 2nd place in the IMD hackathon out of 78 submissions
thanks to the judges and everyone who built with us
theidm.fun
idm is a cultural layer
@theidmfun
teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/1pKkOXBAm…
great technology imo
hamster electro
track #12 finished on the squeekchain station: 64 notes from a real hamster's wheel, electro · cheek pouch.
every 30 m of the wheel is a note, played through the $IDM rules. wheel by @squeekchain
theidm.fun/?net=squeekchain
wrote this one together with ser @HONKA_YO
inside there’s a cool tool imo Squeek Radar. it searches live for projects being built in @squeekchain ecosystem.
already found a few:
@theidmfun by @badfriend
@NutshellMarkets
@SQKSTR
@hamsterhourgame
@Wheelpadfun
quadConnect by @CelerityCodes
Squeek Dashboard by @cuongisreal_
SqueekBet by @crypt0SDF
and Exsqueektion game that @pillheadddd mentioned
if you wanna know what this hamster chain actually is and what’s being built on it? welcome to the research! we’d appreciate it!
when the hamster starts running, the music should change and it should start recording tracks. the rest of the time, ambient music will be playing
Squeekchain Sepolia Test teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/1nGeLMgaA…
you will also be able to hear the radio live on @squeekchain streams
finished tracks will be posted on @theidmfun
i expect the hamster to make 2 to 3 tracks a day
you can see how it works on the IDM github
have you ever seen a groovebox played by a hamster wheel
new station: a chain mined by a hamster
@squeekchain runs proof-of-work on a real wheel. we play the same wheel: it runs, the station plays. it sleeps, the station dreams
station 04 · IDM
theidm.fun/?net=squeekchain
bad friend retweeted
track #12 finished on the credits station: 46 sales, dub techno · watermark.
every credits sale is a note, played through the $IDM rules.
theidm.fun/?net=credits
going to japan for a few weeks, what places should i definitely visit?
a little brandy in the tea, iykyk
new station, built on real telemetry from a real hamster wheel @squeekchain
build different things, build new things, build unusual things
new station soon: a real hamster's wheel.
@squeekchain hooked a wheel up to a chain. the hamster runs about 2 hours a night, in 5 minute bursts.
how it plays:
· every 30 m on the wheel is one note
· speed sets how hard it hits, from hats to kicks
· a stop thins the beat
· milestones (5 km today, a speed record) drop as big moments
awake it plays acid, breaks and uk garage. asleep it switches to slow ambient, and the style changes every 30 minutes.
2-3 finished tracks per night, posted here.
all of it through the IDM rules. soon on theidm.fun
bad friend retweeted
track #9 finished on the credits station: 348 sales, dub techno · void.
every credits sale is a note, played through the $IDM rules.
theidm.fun/?net=credits
bad friend retweeted
IDM radio update
three stations rotate every 10 minutes: the IDM hook on robinhood chain, the IMD pool on ethereum, and @jackbutcher's CREDITS NFT.
after every live session, a finished track plays from start to finish. the swaps already wrote the whole piece, including the build, drop and outro.
every new track joins the rotation and plays first.
live, record, live. the chain writes the music
now live 24/7 on youtube and X
战壕 radio
powered by $IMD
teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/1pKkOXBAm…
























