Brian Asquith (@basquith827) profile picture

Economist at the @UpjohnInstitute. Research chiefly on "this wild, bizarre, unpredictable, hog-stomping, Baroque country of ours". And also rent control.

Kalamazoo, MI
Joined June 2016
Photo by Brian Asquith (@basquith827)Photo by Brian Asquith (@basquith827)Photo by Brian Asquith (@basquith827)Photo by Brian Asquith (@basquith827)Photo by Brian Asquith (@basquith827)Photo by Brian Asquith (@basquith827)Photo by Brian Asquith (@basquith827)Photo by Brian Asquith (@basquith827)Photo by Brian Asquith (@basquith827)Photo by Brian Asquith (@basquith827)
🚨🗣 ALERT The @UpjohnInstitute is accepting proposals for Early Career Research Awards, for proposals focused on labor economics topics. We are also explicitly encouraging applications from researchers outside of economics. Info here: upjohn.org/about/news-events…
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The higher real interest rates go, the more neoliberal policymaking will become.
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Our great national tragedy: "Today, most U.S. counties depend on a level of government transfer income that was once reserved only for the most distressed places. In 1970, not even 1 percent of counties derived a quarter or more of their total personal income from transfers. In 2000, just 10.4 percent did. But by 2022, 53 percent of counties were receiving a quarter or more of their income from transfers." - @InnovateEconomy
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Every so often I revisit this tweet from 7 years ago. I think it holds up well (as do many of the responses!) But I think #3 is especially important considering the Syracuse news: The increasing reliance of colleges on international students to fill enrollment, coupled with the increasing hostility to those students (+ unjustifiable tuition)...recipe for disaster
Which demographic trends do you think are underrated? Mine: -Increasing singleness (and how it affects our politics) -Average age in the U.S. (as opposed to the birth rate or dependency ratio) -Increasing reliance of colleges on international students to fill enrollment
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In the cities of northern Brazil, more than 50% of the workers who start poor* are still poor 7 years later. But in southern Brazil, only a third are. Why? 👇🧵 *<1.5x minimum wage
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One of his best in awhile.
AI is printing unlimited persuasion. When every argument becomes free, persuasion becomes worthless. Power used to belong to those who could convince. Now convincing is cheap. The scarce resource is no longer opinions. It’s reality. People never disagreed because of missing facts
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Refine is proud to announce this partnership with the two leading US economics publishers, the AEA and the Econometric Society. We offer a technical diligence check to their journals to ensure authors can correct detectable errors before publications are finalized.
We’re proud to announce that Refine has signed partnerships with two leading publishers in economics. Both the American Economic Association and the Econometric Society now use Refine’s AI-assisted technical verification as part of their publication processes. 1/
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We’re proud to announce that Refine has signed partnerships with two leading publishers in economics. Both the American Economic Association and the Econometric Society now use Refine’s AI-assisted technical verification as part of their publication processes. 1/
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The elderly are about to outnumber the young.
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Because things are looking grave
How come no accent aigu over the e on Mbappé’s shirt?
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.@lymanstoneky for @nytopinion: "No matter what you believe to be the cause of falling birthrates, that decline is unlikely to spontaneously reverse: There’s no marriage boom on the horizon; young people aren’t switching off their phones; housing isn’t about to become vastly more affordable; and the decline of religion may have paused, but no great religious revival is in sight. Drawing up budget plans on the assumption that we have essentially reached our lowest fertility point, despite other rich countries’ rates being even lower, is nonsensical"
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Most of us think in McLuhan’s terms without even realizing it. For example, it was hard to analyze the effects of television separately from the content of TV shows. But now nearly everyone sees that social media polarize users regardless of the specific content circulating there. It’s the algorithmic maximization of engagement, not the content, that drives polarization. That’s what “the medium is the message” means. 1/3
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Yes, but averages can disguise quite a lot. Time spent looking at screens *together* has probably increased a lot as well.
There is an interesting tension between "parents of both sexes are spending more time with their kids than ever before" and "steady, multi-year decline in test scores plus a steady rise in mental illness in adolescents."
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There is an interesting tension between "parents of both sexes are spending more time with their kids than ever before" and "steady, multi-year decline in test scores plus a steady rise in mental illness in adolescents."
Millennial moms & dads are spending more time with their kids ...and it's probably a bad thing
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Today, we share a breakthrough on the planar unit distance problem, a famous open question first posed by Paul Erdős in 1946. For nearly 80 years, mathematicians believed the best possible solutions looked roughly like square grids. An OpenAI model has now disproved that belief, discovering an entirely new family of constructions that performs better. This marks the first time AI has autonomously solved a prominent open problem central to a field of mathematics.
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Michigan is old and getting older. It's 1 of 15 states where baby boomers are the largest living generation and 22% of people over the age of 16 is a retiree. Not enough young people are moving here, or having children, to change that. What's that mean for Michigan? Well...⬇️
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Detroit added 5,060 people last year, a growth rate of 0.8%. Detroit is growing at the 12th fastest rate of any municipality in the country with a population over 500,000 people. The turnaround is real.
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Trying to teach the senior intern that, despite what this super duper extra deluxe essential handbook says, in this house we only recognize the 151 OG Pokémon.
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On its third attempt tonight, Marblehead Town Meeting approved an “MBTA Communities–compliant” district largely centered on the 125-year-old Tedesco Country Club, meeting 3A requirements on paper while all but assuring no new housing would be built. This comment says it all.
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Come work at the Upjohn Institute! We're hiring for a Research Analyst. Link in the reply.
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