ALT Elevated to High Surf expected for SW California beaches through early next week. High surf along the Central Coast with waves of 7 to 10 feet through Thursday, then potentially increasing significantly Friday through the weekend. Elevated Surf expected for most remaining beaches, then increasing to High surf levels Friday into the weekend. There is potential for large, damaging surf on Saturday for exposed west facing beaches, including portions of the Central Coast and Ventura County. Minor tidal overflows will be possible during morning high tides, especially over the weekend.
ALT Several periods of light to moderate rain expected for SW California Thursday night through next Wednesday as a series of disturbances move across the area. An initial wave is expected Thursday night or Friday through Friday night, followed by another wave Sunday night through Monday night, and potentially a third impulse on Wednesday. Adjust outdoor plans in anticipation of wet and cooler conditions during this time.
ALT Screenshot of page 1 of my letter (see link in post for full text).
ALT Screenshot of page 2 of my letter (see link in post for full text).
ALT Screenshot of page 3 of my letter (see link in post for full text).
ALT Screenshot of page 4 of my letter (see link in post for full text).
ALT Map from NOAA SPC depicting today's (Friday's) fire weather risk across the Western U.S. There is a broad region of elevated risk, and a large bullseye of "extremely critical risk" centered on Utah.
ALT Map from NOAA SPC depicting tSaturday's fire weather risk across the Western U.S. There is a broad region of elevated risk, and a large bullseye of "extremely critical risk" centered on eastern Utah and western Colorado.
ALT Current snapshot from NOAA Wildland Fire Data portal depicting multiple large fires across the Western U.S. Each such fire is circled in yellow to highlight.
ALT Map of chance for precipitation for Southern California this Wednesday, February 5th, 2025. Unsettled weather is expected from late Tuesday through Friday afternoon. The atmospheric river storm impacting Northern and Central California will move southward and progressively weaken into more scattered showers, reaching the Orange County coast late Tuesday. Showers will continue to weaken into San Diego County with most areas measuring less than 0.05" through Wednesday morning. By Wednesday afternoon, precipitation will be constrained to light rain along the west facing slopes of mountain terrain as the remainder of the region stays mostly cloudy.
ALT Map of chance for precipitation for Southern California Thursday night through Friday morning, February 6-7, 2025. Another front with steadier showers is set to move through the region starting Thursday evening in Orange county and moving inland and southward through Friday morning. Confidence is higher for this second round of showers to deliver widespread totals of at least 0.05" throughout the coastal plain.
