Benchmark Politics retweeted
IOWA DEM CAUCUS POLL: Early #2020Dem preference:
28% @JoeBiden
19% @EWarren
11% @KamalaHarris
9% @SenSanders
8% @PeteButtigieg
3% @AmyKlobuchar
3% @TomSteyer
2% @SenGillibrand
2% @AndrewYang
15 others included in the poll receive 1% or less
#IowaCaucus
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
Benchmark Politics retweeted
New HuffPost/YouGov poll finds that the debate went well for Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris.
huffpost.com/entry/elizabeth…
Benchmark Politics retweeted
New head-to-head 2020 poll numbers in Pennsylvania via Quinnipiac:
Biden 53%, Trump 42%
Sanders 50%, Trump 43%
Warren 47%, Trump 44%
Buttigieg 45%, Trump 44%
Harris 45%, Trump 45%
Trump 46%, O'Rourke 44%
Benchmark Politics retweeted
Today's UNH poll is certainly a better poll for Sanders than St. Anselm earlier this month... It is his best poll this year in NH (with a small sample size). It is Biden's worse (though within MoE). The clear movement is Buttigieg. A clear trend up there.
Benchmark Politics retweeted
No redactions here! NEW NATIONAL POLL:
2020 Democratic Primary (incl. Biden/Abrams):
Biden: 21%
Sanders: 20%
Buttigieg: 17%
O’Rourke: 9%
Warren: 8%
Harris: 7%
Abrams: 4%
Booker: 4%
Klobuchar: 2%
Yang: 2%
Gabbard: 2%
(n=2518, national likely 2020 Dem. primary voters, Apr 12-15)
Benchmark Politics retweeted
NATIONAL POLL: @realDonaldTrump rating
40% approve (44% in March)
54% disapprove (51% in March)
Approve/Disapprove by party
REP 83% / 13%
IND 40% / 49%
DEM 7% / 92%
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
Benchmark Politics retweeted
Trump is down double digits in key battleground states since the presidential election, according to Morning Consult. Here's how Trump's net approval has shifted since he won in 2016:
Florida (-24 net approval)
Ohio (-20)
Michigan (-19)
Wisconsin (-18)
Pennsylvania (-17)
Benchmark Politics retweeted
DO YOU BELIEVE TRUMP ACTED ILLEGALLY?
64% Probably
32% Probably not
DO YOU BELIEVE TRUMP ACTED UNETHICALLY?
72% Probably
25% Probably not
Pew Research poll
Benchmark Politics retweeted
Revising my prior on "Barr substantially misrepresented the Mueller Report" from "unlikely but not unthinkable" to "not the modal outcome but well within the thick part of the probability distribution".
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Benchmark Politics retweeted
A recent CNN poll asked respondents what is the most important issue for their 2020 vote.
Zero percent said the Russia investigation, according to CNN’s Harry Enten cnn.it/2YrCmzN
Benchmark Politics retweeted
Here's an Iowa poll from @EmersonCollege that needless to say is... just a bit different. Biden 25%, Sanders 24%... Buttigieg 11% (yes that's what they found), Harris 10%, Warren 9%, Booker 6%, O'Rourke 5%... emersonpolling.reportablenew…
Benchmark Politics retweeted
It was a pretty good troll -- and discipline -- to keep that $6.1M Beto raised in 24hrs a surprise over the weekend
Benchmark Politics retweeted
Some data from the recent national exit polls to chew on:
2018
Jewish voters broke for Dems over GOP, 79%-17%
2016
Jewish voters broke for Hillary over Trump, 71%-23%
2012
Jewish voters broke for Obama over Romney, 69%-30%
Benchmark Politics retweeted
NATIONAL POLL: Dem voter ratings of #2020 field
@JoeBiden @SenSanders @EWarren @KamalaHarris @CoryBooker @BetoORourke @BilldeBlasio @AmyKlobuchar @MichaelBennet @JayInslee @GovernorBullock @MarWilliamson
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
Benchmark Politics retweeted
National 2020 Democratic candidate preferences are mostly name identification & not driven by ideology
Benchmark Politics retweeted
Breaking news: Mark harris says he believes a new election should be called in #NC09
Benchmark Politics retweeted
About 25 percent of Bernie's voters were #NeverHillary in 2016. Now they have a lot more choices. Can he win without them? (Spoiler: yes, but his coalition is likely to look different.) 53eig.ht/2DVDW3q
Benchmark Politics retweeted
Re Trump's vow to"finish the wall"
56% of strong Trump supporters believed Trump's false claim that construction had already begun on a wall along the U.S. border with Mexico in our December Fact Checker poll
26% of U.S. overall believed this
washingtonpost.com/graphics/…
Benchmark Politics retweeted
Biggest drops in net approval for Trump:
Alaska (-9 points)
Hawaii (-8 points)
Louisiana (-8 points)
Montana (-8 points)
Alabama (-7 points)
Tennessee (-7 points)
Missouri (-7 points)
morningconsult.com/tracking-…
