200+ neoclouds probably isn't sustainable. Consolidation makes sense.
But fewer competitors isn't necessarily bearish for the survivors. Quite the opposite.
The real question is who's positioned to come out stronger.
My bet is on $IREN.
Replying to @chamath
Pretty much.
As of the past few weeks, debt markets have almost entirely shut off access to money for any company that doesn’t have substantial revenue independent of AI data centers.
SpaceX closed $40B of debt for GPUs, but we’re investment grade and have Starlink & launch revenue.
That means the 200+ neoclouds are going to see guppy-level death and consolidation. Some will make it through, but not many.
The moment I said I’d buy more lower
Market went straight up
Apparently that was the bottom
$IREN getting hit hard again
I’ve bought the dip all the way to 24,000 shares
Cash is almost gone
I’ll make it 25,000 if we reach $24.30
Do we get there today?








