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BANGGG CASHHH IT💣
HUGE 5-0 SWEEEP🧹🧹🧹
✅Malachi Toney O104.5 Rec Yards
✅Trinidad Chambliss O241.5 Pass Yards
✅Drew Mestemaker O299.5 Pass Yards
✅Jayden Maiava O254.5 Pass Yards
✅Amare Thomas O4 Recs
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CFB Saturday🔥
Malachi Toney over 104.5 Rec Yards
Trinidad Chambliss Over 241.5 Pass Yards
Drew Mestemaker Over 299.5 Pass Yards
Jayden Maiava Over 254.5 Pass Yards
Amare Thomas Over 4 Recs
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NFL Play Of The Day☢️
Tetairoa McMillan Over 73.5 Rec Yards
67% Hit Rate This Season 🎯
50❤️ For My NFL Play Of The Day
Tetairoa McMillan has cleared this number in 4 of his 6 games, including a 192 yard explosion against Detroit, and his role keeps trending up, drawing 10.3 targets per game over his last three outings as Carolina leans pass heavy at a 63% rate. He’s firmly entrenched as the Panthers top target, and this matchup gives him real room to build on that volume.
On The Season McMillan Is Averaging.
-85.2 Receiving Yards Per Game
-9 Targets Per Game
-9.5 Yards Per Target
-25.6% Team Target Share
Green Bay ranks 22nd in the league in receiving yards allowed to wide receivers, giving up 156.7 per game, the 11th most generous mark in the league, and the damage is concentrated almost entirely on the outside, exactly where McMillan runs the bulk of his routes.
Last 4 WRs Vs Green Bay.
-Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) 153 Receiving Yards
-George Pickens (DAL) 73 Receiving Yards
-Luther Burden (CHI) 47 Receiving Yards
-Chris Godwin (TB) 31 Receiving Yards
Two of the last four receivers to face Green Bay have cleared this number, and McMillan’s target volume and route profile give him a path to join them even on a tougher week. Carolina’s pass heavy approach and McMillan’s role as the clear top option should keep the targets flowing regardless of how the scoreboard looks.
Green Bay is targeted on the outside at the highest rate in the NFL, and it’s the same thought process that made Drake London such a strong play against them earlier this season last Thursday night Packer game. McMillan runs roughly 20% more of his routes from the outside than Jaylen Coker, and he’s also the more explosive of the two against middlefield open looks, a coverage shell Green Bay runs the third most in the league. With Bryce Young already throwing outside at the third highest rate in the NFL, this profiles as exactly the matchup Green Bay has struggled with most.
Hammering This Over🔨
Chuba Hubbard Over 66.5 Rushing Yards
50% Hit Rate This Season 🎯
50❤️ For My NFL Play Of The Day
Chuba Hubbard has cleared this number in 3 of his last 6 games, including back to back 122 and 120 yard outings against Detroit and Philadelphia, before a quieter 33 yard week against Tampa Bay. His workload has trended up all season, climbing to 18.3 carries per game over his last three compared to just 9.2 last year, and he’s generating far more yardage after contact too, up to 50.0 per game over that stretch from 16.4 a year ago.
On The Season Chuba Is Averaging.
-76.5 Rushing Yards Per Game
-16 Attempts Per Game
-4.8 Yards Per Carry
-65.8% Team Rush Share
Green Bay ranks 17th in the league in rushing yards allowed to running backs, giving up 95.1 per game, a middle of the pack number on paper, but their front is shorthanded with linebacker Zaire Franklin and edge rusher Micah Parsons both out, plus two more linemen on injured reserve.
Last 4 RBs Vs Green Bay.
-Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) 116 Rushing Yards
-Javonte Williams (DAL) 41 Rushing Yards
-D’Andre Swift (CHI) 43 Rushing Yards
-Bucky Irving (TB) 61 Rushing Yards
Only one of the last four backs to face Green Bay has cleared this number outright, so the recent game log alone isn’t overwhelming. The case here leans more on workload and scheme than straight history, with Hubbard carrying a huge share of Carolina’s rushing attack and a banged up Green Bay front giving him more room to work than these results might suggest.
Green Bay’s overall rushing numbers look solid, but that masks a real weakness, they’re the worst zone run defense in the NFL, with the worst success rate allowed and the second most yards per carry allowed specifically against zone runs. Carolina runs zone on more than 50% of its plays and ranks top 10 in zone yards per carry, which lines up directly with where Green Bay has struggled most, even if the raw results against this defense haven’t shown it yet.
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NFL & NBA🔥
Chuba Hubbard Over 67.5 Rush Yards
Darren Waller Over 19.5 Rec Yards
Josh Jacobs Over 82.5 Yards
Tetairoa a McMillan over 74.5 Rec Yards
Ja Morant Over 4.5 Assists
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NFL Late Night Play🌙
Josh Jacobs Over 82.5 Rush+ Rec Yards
71% Hit Rate At Home🎯
50❤️ For My NFL Play Of The Day
Josh Jacobs is back as Green Bay’s clear lead back, out touching everyone else in the backfield in his first game back and finding the end zone in the process. He’s been a monster at home specifically, exceeding 79.5 rush and receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games at Lambeau at an 89.3 yard average, and this one’s in Green Bay.
In His First game Back Jacobs Averaged.
-36.0 Rushing Yards Per Game
-11.0 Attempts Per Game
-3.3 Yards Per Carry
And Through The Air.
-55.0 Receiving Yards Per Game
-7.0 Targets Per Game
-5.0 Receptions Per Game
Carolina ranks dead last in the league in rushing yards allowed to running backs, giving up 128.2 per game, though they’ve been tougher through the air out of the backfield, ranking 11th in receiving yards allowed to the position at 28.8 per game.
Last 5 RB Vs Carolina.
-Bucky Irving (TB) 110 Rush + Rec Yards
-Dameon Pierce (PHI) 50 Rush + Rec Yards
-Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) 77 Rush + Rec Yards
-Quinshon Judkins (CLE) 79 Rush + Rec Yards
Three of the last four backs to face Carolina have cleared this number, and Jacobs workload gives him a real path to join them. Carolina’s run defense has been bad across the board, and with Green Bay fully healthy at running back again, the volume alone should be enough to push Jacobs past 82.5 even on a quieter receiving day.
Carolina is the worst run defense in the league regardless of scheme, but they’re especially vulnerable in man gap, where they allow the most yards per carry in the NFL with a bottom five success rate. Green Bay leaned noticeably more into zone runs last week with Jacobs back in the lineup and saw an uptick in efficiency as a result, and on the receiving side, Jacobs already drew seven targets in his return even though Carolina allows the fewest running back receptions per game in the league, a sign the Packers are committed to getting him the ball through the air regardless of matchup.
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NBA Wednesday Betting Recap
❌Davion Mitchell Over 11.5 Points
❌Jabari Smith Jr. Over 23.5 P+R+A
✅Jaden McDaniels Over 23.5 P+R+A
Mitchell had a solid first half scoring 6 points, but only scores 2 more buckets in the 2nd coming just short with 10 points. Jabari just was not grabbing any boards tonight finishing with 18 PRA. McDaniels had a great night logging 30 PRA.
1-2 Night.
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Jaden McDaniels O23.5 P+R+A✅✅✅
CASHHH the NBA POTD💰
Great night out of Jaden he had a huge first half with 15 PRA, and after a brutal 3rd quarter he comes up big in the 4th cashing us with 28 PRA.
1-2 Night.
❤️LIKE & FOLLOW IF YOU TAILED!!!
NBA Play Of The Day☢️
Jaden McDaniels Over 23.5 P+R+A
75% Hit Rate This Season🎯
❤️Like If You Are Tailing
Jaden has cleared this line in 3 of 4 games to start the season, missing by a single point in the other. With Anthony Edwards sidelined, he steps into a much bigger role in Minnesota’s offense, and he’s been at his best in exactly this spot heading into tonight.
On The Season Jaden Is Averaging.
-15.0 Points Per Game
-11.0 FG Attempts Per Game
-6.5 FG Made Per Game
-43% 3-PT Made
-6.5 Rebounds Per Game
-11.3 Rebound Chances Per Game
-2.8 Assists Per Game
-3.5 Potential Assists Per Game
-31.6 Minutes Per Game
Jaden and the Timberwolves host the Golden State Warriors tonight. The Warriors are allowing the 3rd most assists and 10th most points per game this season, and Memphis rookie Cameron Boozer just put up 44 PRA against them at the power forward spot.
Jaden has been at his best without Anthony Edwards on the floor, clearing this line in 14 of 18 games last season at a 78% clip while averaging 27.0 PRA per game. He logged 33.7 minutes per game in those games on 14.3 FG attempts shooting 52% from the field, posting 29, 38, 24, 28, 27, 27, 26, 28, 26, 20, 27, 22, 25, 28, 27, 22, 17, and 45.
Jaden has been remarkably steady to start the year, posting 26, 24, 23, and 24 while shooting an efficient 59% from the field. He’s also cleared 4.5 rebounds in all 4 games, with 11.3 rebound chances per game, so the glass gives him a high floor every night.
Without Edwards, Minnesota loses its top scorer and close to 20 shots a night, and those touches have to go somewhere. Last season Jaden’s shot attempts jumped from 11 to over 14 per game, and his potential assists climbed to 5.4 in those games, putting a lot more volume into every part of this combo.
The Timberwolves need Jaden to step up as a scorer and playmaker with their star out, and he’s answered that call before. With his minutes climbing and a Golden State defense that’s been generous to forwards, he’s well positioned to clear this number at home. Setting him up to log at least 24 points, rebounds, and assists tonight.
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7 Plays With INSANE Value For Your Parlays
$50 into $5,000, Week 8
1. Bijan Robinson 5+ Receptions. Tampa Bay allows the 4th most receptions to running backs in the NFL, and Bijan had 8 catches the last time he played the Bucs. Don't overthink it.
2. Daniel Jones...
7. Bhayshul Tuten 60+ Rushing Yards. He's cleared this in 5 of 6 games this season.
He's become a key piece of Jacksonville's backfield, and at a number this low, his normal workload is enough to get there.
We swept all of these in Week 7.
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