Natalia Rubanova

A lot of FUD is trying to be created around #Bitcoin & some bears are still very vocal calling for a crash. But is it actually true? If so, this would fundamentally contradict the obvious cycle dynamics. Let's take a closer look. Read the following 4 key findings! 1. First, we need to distinguish between halving and bear/bull cycles. Their duration stays roughly the same (~1300 - ~1400 days) 2. Second, we need to take a look at the different phases. Bear market (I), accumulation (II), pre-halving bull (III) & post-halving bull (IV). It becomes evident that we slowly see a shift towards shortened phases I & II, whereas III and IV are being stretched out. 3. Will this be the case now as well? There are strong reasons supporting this: ETF narrative (billions of fresh money entering), ATH before halving (first time!) and an overall matured market with a strong investor base. 4. Covering the argument with the matured market: When we previously saw dips of up to 50% in bull markets, these have been smoothed out and now make "only" ~20% so far. The reason is an increasing shift of the supply/demand ratio towards the demand side. So, in sum, there is currently little evidence we might see a nearing crash. On the contrary, we believe that the approaching halving will initiate another strong leg up.