Bogus Banks, Behemoth Bubbles and Baseball Betting

We post our MLB plays here every day for free. As of January, 2026, the baseball spreadsheet has every regular season game played since the beginning of the 2008 season, a total of 42,238 baseball games, plus another 90 post season games from the 2024 & 2025 seasons. 42,328 games total. We post bets that have worked in the past. We cannot guarantee these bets will continue to work in the future. The 12 systems we are using have generated a total of 18,539 bets on 16,368 games. Sometimes, our systems contradict one another (offsetting bets) so we don't post them. And sometimes, two or more systems will point to the same bet. When this happens, the bets, historically, have been more profitable. Since the beginning of the 2008 season, our bets have generated the following results [ppbu = profit per bet unit. If you play a $100 unit and you win 5% ppbu, you would expect to make $5.00 per bet]: 14,389 (1X) bets w/profit of 719.83 units [5.0% ppbu] 1,808 (2X) bets w/profit of 299.71 units [16.6% ppbu] 155 (3X) bets w/profit of 39.72 units [25.6% ppbu] 15 (4X) bets w/profit of 12.20 units [81.3% ppbu] 2 (5X) bets w/profit of 2.00 units [100.0% ppbu] This season, we will be using a new app to alert us of late day pitching announcements and we'll be Tweeting any plays that arise due to these late day pitching decisions. If you are following us, we recommend setting the bell notifications for us (@bogusbanks). Hopefully, we'll be catching all the late pitching changes going forward. If you are not familiar with Twitter's Bell Notification, we have circled it in red in the image below. By year, the 12 formulas have generated the results below. You will notice, the win percentage highlighted in yellow is almost always lower than the win percentage highlighted in orange. The yellow results reflect what would have happened if you had only played each game for 1 unit. The orange results reflect what have happened if you had played (2X) plays for two units, (3X) plays for 3 units, etc. If you were following us in 2025, you will notice that our posted record was nowhere close to the record indicated in the table below. This is due to two factors. Reason #1: We missed nearly 100% of late day pitching changes in 2025. We hope to catch the vast majority of late day pitching changes going forward. Reason #2: We added two formulas during the 2025 season. One was added in May and the other was added in August. The table below reflects what would have happened if they had been used from day one. Also, there was a formula we excluded for the entirety of the 2025 season. We couldn't explain why it worked but now we think we do have a logical explanation for why it works (it has had profitable seasons in 17 out of 18 seasons going back to '08). It is also included in the results below. In short, we hope to have an even more profitable season in 2026 and beyond. As noted above, we are only making bets that have worked in the past and there is no guarantee these bets will continue to work in the future.

Nasdaq finally crashes… youtu.be/DPSjub1YsD0?is=wczz…

Today, the Nasdaq-100 entered correction territory for the 2nd time this year. Correction territory is defined as being down 10%, or more, from an ATH. Last March, Nasdaq spent a whopping, miserable TWO WHOLE TRADING DAYS in correction territory before bottoming on March 30th. It then immediately added 33% in 44 trading days. For the 100 companies that compose the index, the move added an estimated $8.5 trillion in (miracle) market cap. Nobody understands what caused that sharp rally in April and May. The US was in the middle of a war that was creating massive uncertainty with energy prices. Markets loath uncertainty. At least that's what I've been told. And, if you ever follow Chris Martenson, you already know there is a direct correlation between energy consumption and GDP. The two are inseparable. Think about it, in a healthy economy, trucks are burning diesel, delivering stuff, and bulldozers are burning it too. This isn't rocket science. It takes energy to produce stuff. The 33% rally in April made zero sense. It's almost as if these markets aren't real. Have they got us playing a video game? Will the Nasdaq get another miracle? Or is this finally, after decades, the big one? The one the crash callers have been predicting every inch of the way? What if the markets aren't real and it's all planned? A year ago. Andrew Ross Sorkin rang the opening bell of the NYSE while standing in front of a giant sign about a stock market crash. The following day, which was October 29th, all three major indexes hit all-time, intra-day highs. A year ago, I thought that was the signal. Nobody rings a bell. Right? I shorted the markets. That high in Nasdaq stood for 5.5 months. The bet went nowhere for 4.5 months. Within inches of a new ATH on January 28th. Then, the war that was supposed to be over in two weeks, wasn't. My bet finally started winning after the war went on for 2.5 weeks. And then BAM!!! My bet lost when that miracle, 33% rally, out of nowhere, knocked me out by setting a new ATH in mid April. Enter October. The Nasdaq peaked on October 6th and then drifted lower until October 23rd. Bearish talk was everywhere. I got sucked into shorting the markets again. Then, Bam!!! Out of nowhere, a very sharp rally, adding nearly 1,000 points in just three trading days. That rally ended abruptly on October 28th. Andrew Ross Sorkin rang the opening bell of the NYSE, standing in front of a giant sign about a stock market crash, on... October 28th. A year ago. To the day. The Nasdaq has already lost about 1,800 points since that massive rally ended on October 28th. Just three trading days. That's an average of 600 points a day. Eyeballing the chart, the steepest part of this decline really got started exactly one year, to the day, after Andrew Ross Sorkin rang the bell. October 28th. The markets have rejected the results of the trillion dollar market caps so far this earnings season. And I think that's the tell. But then again, Private Equity was gating clients a year ago and that didn't seem to matter. The question isn't why. The question is, why now? I know what you're thinking. This would be a lot more convincing if the market had peaked on October 28th instead of October 6th. Look, I don't know how witchcraft works. But I'm pretty sure that's what this is. Maybe I'm seeing something that isn't there. But I think it's there. I still think I see something. Why did the market just decide they dislike all these fake earnings now? Jack Gamble has been pointing out how fake these earnings are for three years. Ed Zitron has too. Why now? I want the markets to be real. I really do. I don't want this to be a fake video game controlled by "they". After betting on oil for the last 7 months, and gold for the last 7 years, I think it's a video game. I really do. I am starting to think that any price that changes by the minute is a fake price. It's just numbers on a screen. Who is allegedly buying and selling all these shares every day? Over the next few weeks, I'll be recording a multi-part series of podcasts delving into this subject. I'll probably start with analyst upgrades. Sometimes the conspiracy theory makes the most sense. That's because these markets just seem so fake. The problem is, I can't make the conspiracy theories make sense, either. Follow me if interested.