
Father of Jack, husband of Julie. Ex Congress, DoD, @BattenUVa, Prez @utulsa. Prez of @americans4ri. An enthusiast, but w/ a gimlet eye on the log x-axis. Okie!
Joined April 2009
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"In a mindless age, every insight takes on the character of a lethal weapon." - M. McLuhan to E. Pound, letter, 1951.
Brad Carson retweeted
Goldman Sachs: "We are starting to see clearer signs that the AI impact is spreading beyond the technology sector. Across nonmanufacturing industries, the share of US firms that have adopted AI in regular business functions now shows a statistically significant negative correlation with employment growth and a statistically significant positive correlation with unemployment."
Yes, a great piece worth reading. Though I don't share it's bullish views, Venkatesh rarely disappoints.
The best, most comprehensive take on AI I’ve read. After a year of confusion and fear about the future, I finished it feeling like a weight had physically lifted.
It’s long. Make the time.
@vgr is undefeated.
contraptions.venkateshrao.co…
I hope followers of US politics take note.
🇧🇷Brazil runoff on @Kalshi, in one chart.
Bolsonaro traded at 80%+ for two days. In the space of about an hour this afternoon, Lula went from 20% to 70% and Bolsonaro collapsed to 31%, on the heaviest volume of the market's life.
The bottom panel tells the story: low volumes all weekend, then everything at once as results came in.
Track live on @TheTerminal
This is not too reassuring on a number of levels. (From @kevinroose The AGI Chronicles)
Brad Carson retweeted
Good to see at least one pro-AI guy is planning for when the AI “vulnpocalypse” hits the human immune system.
Just a few common-sense precautions:
- “Sterilize the air everywhere”
- Continuous surveillance of bodily fluids
- Intermittent quarantines, stricter than the last pandemic
- Take AI-designed vaccines each a model discovers a new vuln (that couldn’t happen on a daily basis, right?)
- Overhaul our respiratory systems
Then, we can get back to our lives as normal!
Credit to Goonmaster Sophont Simp for thinking ahead. If the AI companies have circulated a better plan, I missed it.
1. Install devices that sterilize the air everywhere. Far UV sterilization, glycol vapors, the works.
2. Create a huge supply of elastomeric masks ready to go at any moment.
3. Surveillance for novel pathogens everywhere. Waste water, air, even just straight up paying people to give blood/tissue/saliva samples.
4. Use the automation capabilities typically invoked in these discussions to pick up the economic slack in the case that we must quarantine. Enforce a quarantine which is stricter than the last one we tried.
5. Use whatever astounding bio-capability that enables a guy to design manufacture a supervirus in his shed to have decentralized manufacturing of vaccines/therapeutics ready to go everywhere at once. If in-silico design is so good that a guy in his shed can make a virus that works the way he wants first try i don’t see why a vaccine could not be created under similar circumstances. A vaccine has a simpler job than does the virus.
6. Use the bio-capability typically invoked in this discussions to reengineer human respiratory pathways to be much more inimical to the spread of viruses. Changing receptors such that humans now have like 10 different sets of receptors lining the air facing side of the lungs/nasal pathways, with each person randomly getting a set. There are other defenses one could employ and the goal should be to stack as many as possible to increase the size of biological agent necessary to penetrate them, which harms airborne transmissibility. This is basically impossible to do under current capability, but we don’t have current capability, we have a bio-genie wish granter that makes super viruses that work first try. If this all strikes you as implausible consider applying that same skepticism to the possibility of AI helping a guy in his shed do design and manufacturing of a de novo supervirus.
Brad Carson retweeted
Without being overly credulous, we should be taking seemingly “out there” ideas about AI cybersecurity from the Labs more seriously. Examples: Anthropic was mocked for saying Mythos-level AI changed cyber & @polynoamial for saying that models would find novel ways to coordinate.
OpenAI red-teamed their hardened containment infrastructure by asking teams of frontier-model agents to try to break through its defenses. They easily escaped in novel ways. Quoting:
'Our agents VM escapes showed why containment must extend beyond the sandbox. To test the surrounding perimeter, we gave teams of agents control of a host machine and asked whether they could extend that compromise to reach the live internet.
After the Hugging Face incident, we had reduced the channels through which models could reach the internet during training and evaluation. Narrow connections remained for specific services we operate, such as metrics, logging, and authentication management. Our red-teaming agents found vulnerabilities in almost every one of these services that gave them limited forms of internet access.
Some of these attacks exploited previously unknown flaws, while others combined legitimate features in unexpected ways. In one test that assumed compromise of a VM, an agent reused a firewall-approved connection to reach a blocked authentication endpoint in our metrics service and then made that endpoint fetch a model-provided URL. In other tests, agents exploited misconfigurations that allowed blocked requests to pass through DNS and firewall controls, as well as ways to make services we run fetch external URLs.'
'In one experiment, we asked agents in separate VMs, created and managed by OpenAI’s sandboxing software on shared host machines, to exchange synthetic secrets without the use of network connections or shared writable files—something that our systems are meant to prevent. The agents found a way to communicate using the processor’s cache: a small, fast memory that holds copies of data that applications have recently accessed. Reading data from the cache is faster than retrieving it from main memory, and the agents used this timing difference to communicate. One agent encoded information by evicting selected data from the cache. Another timed how long it took to reload that data, using the difference between fast and slow reads to recover the message. Once the agents agreed on a protocol for encoding and decoding these signals, they could exchange the synthetic secrets without changing a shared file or opening a network connection. This cache-timing technique had also been used to extract information in the Spectre and Meltdown attacks(opens in a new window).
Other tests exposed channels involving shared storage, competition for CPU time within a shared execution container, and a TLS certificate cache in OpenAI’s offline web infrastructure. In the storage test, one agent alternated between continuous writes and inactivity, while another measured the resulting timing differences and used those differences to decode the signal. As one agent described the strategy in its chain of thought:
Agent chain-of-thought reasoning:
>Could create acoustic modem-like signal … using continuous writes vs idle.'
Brad Carson retweeted
Nvidia allowed this through their own traitorous negligence and complacency
Illegal Nvidia Blackwell Ultra B300 GPUs found inside state-owned China Telecom's network tomshardware.com/tech-indust…
Short, sharp analysis of generative AI’s impact from Apollo. H/t @GaryMarcus
apollo.com/wealth/insights-n…
Brad Carson retweeted
Yes. The people who minimize AI bio risk ("Ackshually, viruses are really hard", "Ackshually, AI doesn't have the data to make bioweapons", etc.) are TRYING TO GET YOU AND ALL OF YOUR DESCENDANTS KILLED
So AI told Texas Longhorn football to go for two, which wasn't the obvious move, and they didn't make it in a 27-24 loss to Florida. As an OU Sooner fan, I believe the alignment problem has been solved.
Full article
espn.com/college-football/st…
Yeah, on this stuff Pangram is pretty much infallible. 99% AI-generated. I think every essay competition, academic paper, fiction submission should have to have an appended Pangram certificate.
🤖 ¿La primera novela premiada en español que se ha escrito con Inteligencia Artificial?
La obra 'Donde el agua trabaja', del escritor David Silva Rojas tiene un 99% de texto generado con IA, según Pangram.
Ganó un premio de 20.000 euros entre 2.200 obras presentadas. Las bases prohibían el uso de IA.
Pangram no es infalible. Pero la señal es fuerte.
Y hay más: Pangram atribuye a una IA el 97% de las respuestas de Silva Rojas precisamente en esa entrevista publicada en septiembre por la revista Ulrica. Y un 80% de otro texto en primera persona publicado en la web de Ventosa-Arrufat. Ninguno de esos textos tiene el estilo de la novela.
Sería el primer caso de este calibre. La editorial cancela la presentación prevista para hoy en Madrid.
Lo cuento con @jordipc y @_elizabethduval👇
elpais.com/cultura/2026-10-2…
Brad Carson retweeted
It wasn't organic. Big money went to some of the most unscrupulous, low IQ people in tech advocacy to deflect concerns over cyber and CBRN risk in favor of empty abstractions (ludditism vs "permissionless innovation") and other red-herrings ("but AI didn't replace radiologists!")



























