Bread

A prediction market isn't a sportsbook 🌾 No house sets the line, and no house takes the other side. You trade against other people at a price the crowd moves - and you can exit before it settles. All of it on one screen, in the bread.hot terminal.

250 wallets. $79M out 🌾 Over six months, the top 250 token deployers pulled ~$79M from ~194,000 launches. The launch market has a professional class - and most people funding it aren't in it. bread.hot splits fees three ways: creator, platform, trader pool.

The honest limit nobody likes to print 🌾 Even with a per-wallet cap and migrated liquidity, a creator can stop supporting a token and sell their whole supply. Structure lowers the odds of a bad start - it can't remove the person behind it. We'd rather you hear that from bread.hot than learn it later.

That $4B is already looking for a new home 🌾 The World Cup market just settled. The next giant is loading: the 2028 US election sits near $2.3B - 28 months out. Prediction liquidity doesn't leave, it rotates - and bread.hot puts the next market on the same screen as the last.

The market isn't betting on a new Bitcoin high 🌾 On Polymarket, a fresh Bitcoin all-time high before year-end sits around 5%. Nearer term it's more hopeful - ~92% for BTC to tag $65K in 2026. Modest, not moonshot. You can read markets like this one live in the bread.hot terminal.

Built on elections, now politics is a rounding error 🌾 In 2026, sports became the bulk of prediction-market volume - politics shrank to a fraction. The category flipped its own foundation. It all trades in the bread.hot terminal.

By the time it's news, the market already moved 🌾 Prediction traders reprice the moment they know something - so the odds shift before the headline. Often the fastest read there is. Live in the bread.hot terminal.

Launching a token used to cost money 🌾 Most launchpads charge 0.02-0.05 SOL to deploy - and the real cost is the snipers in block one. bread.hot: 0 SOL to deploy, 2% per-wallet cap from the first buy.

The World Cup turned into Solana's biggest launch event 🌾 16,000+ tournament tokens. 11,184 minted in May alone - more than all of 2024. One memecoin per national team, all 48. Attention became supply. Structure decides who captures it - the layer bread.hot is built on.

Every bread.hot graduation now ends at @Raydium 🌾 Live today: complete the curve, 95% of liquidity migrates into Raydium pools - Solana's biggest DEX, already routed by the whole market. We build the launch. Raydium carries the market. bread.hot

Same ticker. Different token 🌾 The World Cup wave minted the same names dozens of times - duplicate contracts are the top listed risk in tournament-token coverage. Every copy splits the narrative's liquidity again. The address is the asset; the ticker is a costume. Verify the contract before you size. That splintering is the thesis behind bread.hot - memes and predictions in one place, built to concentrate liquidity and attention, not scatter them.

Over 50% of tokens are sniped in their creation block 🌾 Pine Analytics measured it: same-block sniping is the dominant launch pattern - 87% of insider snipes profitable, 85% out within five minutes. Extraction became infrastructure. It's the pattern bread.hot's 2% cap is aimed at - a standard, not a guarantee.

Why the same event trades at different prices on different venues 🌾 Pull up the same question on several prediction venues and you'll usually find several prices. That's not an error - it's structure. - Separate books. Each venue matches its own orders; no liquidity is shared between them, so each book settles at its own equilibrium. - Different costs. Fee schedules differ, and prices adjust to carry them. - Different rails. One book settles in on-chain stablecoins, another through a brokerage in dollars - different collateral, different participants. - Different access. Who can trade each venue varies by geography and onboarding, so the crowds aren't the same crowd. - Sometimes, different questions. Contract wording and resolution sources vary between venues - two markets that look identical can be settling against different rules. Arbitrage narrows the gaps, but it needs capital parked on multiple venues at once, so the gaps persist - mainstream guides now recommend accounts on several platforms just to shop the same outcome. Fragmented books are the cost of a category growing this fast. Not advice. Today, the bread.hot terminal connects to one of those books - Polymarket.

Why a launchpad runs a prediction terminal 🌾 There's real overlap between the people trading predictions and the people trading memecoins - both live on-chain, and event-driven tokens launch off the same narratives prediction markets price. Today they're split across separate tools. We'd rather gather that audience, and that liquidity, in one place built on clearer rules. The terminal is the first piece. We're not stopping here, and we'll show why we built it this way as the next pieces ship. Market context, not advice.

Our terminal is live - first order book added: Polymarket 🌾 The bread.hot terminal is live, and the first order book we've connected is Polymarket - the deepest, most liquid prediction market there is, and the closest thing the space has to a benchmark price. If you're starting with one book, you start where the real liquidity and price discovery already are. Every market on it, traded through a single interface. (It runs on Polygon, so you connect an EVM wallet.) What you get in one place: - The full market list, filtered by category, volume and liquidity - YES/NO entries with market or limit orders, slippage you set, and stops - A portfolio with live PnL, history, resolution status, and claim/redeem at settlement It executes what you choose. It doesn't trade for you, and it doesn't publish signals. Trade at bread.hot

Prediction markets are scaling - and splintering 🌾 Prediction markets have grown into a real asset class: politics, sports, crypto, world events, all priced as live probabilities. Single events have cleared over a billion dollars in volume. But every new venue fragments it further - separate pools, separate logins, separate tooling, and the same event trading at a different price on each. The liquidity is real. It's just scattered. That's the gap worth closing. Market context, not advice.

Two ways to start. Pick the rules that fit 🌾 No single launch shape fits every project, so bread.hot ships two. Bonding Curve — Price rises with each buy — Up to 2% per wallet — 1% buy fee, 1.5% sell fee — Migrates to Raydium at 85 SOL Presale — One entry price for everyone — up to 2 SOL per wallet, no buy fee — Sells disabled until migration — Creator sets the duration, from 30 minutes to 24 hours — Full refund to all if it doesn't reach migration A viral, event-driven start fits the curve. A formed community that wants equal terms fits the presale. bread.hot

The first minutes shouldn't decide the whole launch🌾 bread.hot runs on rules you can read from the start: — Up to 2% of supply per wallet — 85 SOL migration target — 1% buy fee, 1.5% sell fee — Sell fee splits 0.5% creator / 0.5% platform / 0.5% trader rewards pool — 95% of liquidity migrates to Raydium, LP locked after migration The 2% cap is enforced in the contract — and we're honest that on-chain no rule is absolute. We treat fair distribution as the standard we set, not a guarantee we'd pretend to make. No promises about price. Just rules you can inspect. bread.hot

We share the fees — here and now 🌾 Most launchpads keep the upside. bread.hot splits it. On a Bonding Curve launch, the 1.5% sell fee splits three ways: — 0.5% to the creator — 0.5% to the platform — 0.5% to the trader rewards pool Nothing is dangled for later. The sharing runs on real fees, now, and every rule is on-chain to read. bread.hot

Fair launch became a marketing term for the opposite of fair🌾 Somewhere along the way, "fair launch" stopped meaning fair. The phrase is supposed to signal open access: anyone can buy, no allowlist, no insiders. But open access on a fast curve doesn't level the field - it hands the advantage to whoever is best-capitalized and most automated. Which is bots, not people. "No insiders" quietly became "whoever wrote the fastest script is the insider." Access was never the bottleneck. Sequencing was. Who gets the first blocks decides who eats - and "fair launch," as practiced, hands the first blocks to whoever automated best. A word that describes its own opposite isn't a feature. It's camouflage.