Partner @ The Messina Group. Views are my own.
Washington, DC
Joined June 2010
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Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
Democracy is saved and campaigns won in part by political operatives who toil in the vineyards. Huge congrats to my brother, friend, and business partner @tymatsdorf who has spent every day helping figure out how to win the House & Senate. Thank you. I love you.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
The answer is yes: Beau Bayh wins in Indiana—the first time a Democrat has won statewide in the Hoosier state in 14 years.
My @POLITICOMag profile from April. You’re gonna want to get to know Beau.
politico.com/news/magazine/2…
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
BREAKING: Democrat Brian Schwalb wins District of Columbia's attorney general race, NBC News projects. nbcnews.to/3UsZobz
ALT BREAKING: Democrat Brian Schwalb wins District of Columbia's attorney general race, NBC News projects. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-elections/district-of-columbia-attorney-general-results
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
Hard to read this as anything other than a complete and total repudiation of the current administration.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
The final Times/Siena polls of the campaign find Democrats ahead in all seven of the states likeliest to decide the Senate
nytimes.com/2026/11/01/us/po…
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
Incredible closing message from the President.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
FAFO Fund!
Republicans thought they could rig the playing field. They were dead wrong.
Despite unprecedented efforts to tilt the political system in their favor, Democrats are competing –– and winning –– in districts that Donald Trump carried by double digits. Our new FAFO Fund backs the Democrats running in seats Republicans thought were safe. Chip in now to help get them over the finish line and end the disastrous Republican majority.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
Proud of what we built as The Messina Group. Even more excited about what comes next.
Introducing Fortius Global.
bit.ly/4zAghA4
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
So excited to be back at TMG to lead our Creator Strategy work (10 years after I started as an intern!).
Creators are where trust lives now, and it's fascinating and humbling. I'm grateful and fired up to meet the moment with @Messina2012 and his amazing team!
Big news at TMG: Excited to welcome back @annnnienewman as Vice President, Creator Strategy.
She’s spent her career at the intersection of creators, campaigns, and public pressure. Now she’s building our new Creator Strategy practice.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
House Democrats hold 18.9M TikTok followers to Republicans' 1.9M. The Senate Democratic caucus: 10.9M to 1.1M. Nearly every Democratic governor is on the platform. Two Republicans are.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
since becoming president again, Trump has promised:
-$5000 stimulus checks via "DOGE dividend"
-$2000 stimulus checks via "tariff dividend"
-$1000+ checks via "savings" from expiring ACA subsidies
-$5000 "dividend" if Rs win midterms
no checks have been issued
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
The Trump economy: $40tn debt, 6.7% mortgages and $5 diesel ft.trib.al/zCGvNKd
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
In 2012, I managed Pres. Obama's campaign against a GOP that preached states' rights like scripture. That party is gone. Today's Republicans are the most aggressive centralizers of federal power in memory & red states pay the price. My op-ed in @USATODAY: usatoday.com/story/opinion/2…
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
Look at the date of this tweet
Dan nailed it
We haven’t seen any public data since Marquette’s July 22-27 poll:
Hong 46
Barnes 21
Crowley 11
That’s before Hong went on a media tour exposing her most unelectable qualities.
Before Barnes dropped out.
Before 10 days of Crowley blitzing the state with Governor Evers.
Before the huge polling miss in Michigan that undercounted rural older voters and black voters as a share of the electorate.
Assume Hong has gone down, even modestly, from 46.
Assume Crowley consolidates Barnes support and is at least in the 30s.
Assume even a slight miss in polling for Hong given similar dynamics to AES support.
Assume that now groups come in for Crowley having seen that polling miss.
I don’t think this is locked for Hong by a long shot.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
This week someone targeted my family for harm with a false report. We’re physically OK, but that doesn’t mean we weren’t harmed. I am beyond furious.
Whatever your politics, this is awful, wrong, and can never become normal. substack.com/home/post/p-203…
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
I really agree with the underlying and subconscious assertion from Vance that’s it’s wild the Trump admin on the daily gets away with more brazen corruption and criminality than a President who had to resign in disgrace for engaging in espionage against his political enemies and lying to congress about it
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
JD Vance: "I think Nixon's historical legacy is enjoying a bit of a renaissance, and deservedly so. I joked that if Watergate happened tomorrow, it would be like a 12 hours news story. The idea that it took down a presidency is crazy."