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All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others

Los Angeles, CA
Joined August 2013
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Horizon Kinetics bought a decent position in $WBI. Unfortunately, retail investors got left out once again.
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I own $LB but the earnings call was bad. Management seems to be waiting for the hyperscalers to come and ‘discover’ the Permian. That was a bad answer. You need to play offense.
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Also, they keep mentioning Waterbridge’s synergies as a positive. Now adding Powerbridge into that mix. It’s a bit messy the way they communicate everything. I felt a lack of preparation
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The Water Handling Business in the Permian Basin is an often overlooked sector. Here are some of my thoughts: $TPL $LB $ARIS
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The Permian Basin now produces over 20MM barrels of water per day as a by‑product of fracking—projected to surpass 26 MMbbl/d by 2030—driving a critical need for new water infrastructure
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My thoughts on the water handling business in the Permian Basin and Aris Water Solutions $ARIS $LB $TPL open.substack.com/pub/button…
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No one mentioning that Kopernik Global started a position back in December in $AMTM. These guys are the best value investors out there 👀
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3 quick observations goring through $LB earnings presentation: 1. Aprox. 20% upside revision on 2025e adjsuted EBIDTA while 2024 grew 55% y/y 2. Total revenues (exc. oil and gas royalty revenues) divided by applicable acreage increased 119%.
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3. Brakish water volumes declined 40% q/q and reverted back to Q1/Q2. Good numbers but explaining the revenue driver movements and getting the data center updates is what the market is expecting tomorrow.
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US natural gas production is rapidly declining but future outlook is unclear. Here my observations from the latest IAE Gas Market Report: 1. Inventories remain elevated due to several mild winters. US and EU 2024 storage remains above 5-year average range.
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2. Permian basin production growth is turning over. All other US main basins are actually declining (see chart). 3. Russian gas output has increased in H1 2024 (6% y/y). Both piped output gas to China and Europe have increased in H1 2024 (35% y/y and 5% y/y, respectively).
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I keep coming to this chart to appreciate what $GMX has built in less than 2 years. Retention rates at 75% despite higher fees vs. competition/ forks! You gotta love it 🫐
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Understanding how the token supply distribution and emissions work in a protocol is key to understand a project's long term sustainability. Launching with a low supply is a smart way to self-fund early adoption if managed correctly. 🧵Top 5 things I look for:
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1. Treasury (∼40%) - Locked initially. Managed by a competent DAO. Token holder <> DAO member (need to proof competency). Each DAO member holds the same power.
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Controversial-ish takes for 2023: #1 - The flippening will happen at more depressed prices. $eth will flip $btc at the pico bottom of the bear market
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#2 - China will start paying oil and nat gas to Russia in $gold in 2023 and will be a stress test to invade Taiwan
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Why aren't we talking about TradFi's centralization? Ethereum's architecture is the way to go. Long live $eth bit.ly/3PENxAm
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buying $eth more aggressively than at any point in 2022. Where will all the $bnb volume go after all this mess? 👀
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Papi @CryptoHayes once again shilling $GMX. He will keep buying 🫡
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He states that he only invests in projects < 5x P/F ratio. $GMX is at 3.75x depending on the time frame you pick.
A short article on how $GMX is on track to become a foundational Hyperstructure for DeFi 🫐 bit.ly/3AKn0Mc
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For 2 weeks in a row $GMX has been doing more swap volume than Curve in Arbitrum 👀 Not even their flagship product and you can see how the $GLP effect is paying off. Courtesy of @JamesCliffyz
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probably nothing 🫐> ₿ ... $GMX keeps printing
“You can’t shake hands with a closed fist” - Mahatma Gandhi @TrustlessState Vitalik is in full fight mode until the merge
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1/3 - This is one of the most compelling charts for $gmx - when trading interest raises, existing users come back to the platform. Why? There is no second best platform. The product works.
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2/3 - There are many catalysts for new users to start using the platform in the coming months: 1) Bincance pulling out of the EU for derivatives trading 2) New available pairs to trade with Synthetics 3) GLPs asset growth -> better liquidity -> new players etc.
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While ETH is down 38% this month, $GMX's user base has x2... can't wait to see what happens when we fly out from Goblin Town
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