Using my statistics degree to gamble | Home of the NRFI/YRFI Algorithm (172-104 +33.06u) | 2026 NFL 31-18 +9.88u | 2026 World Cup 63-37 +18.74u

Joined January 2024
THE BEST HEATER OF MY LIFE 🚀🚀🚀 - 7 straight winning days - Currently on a 20-4-1 run - 5 sweeps in the L9 days - 15-2 on 1st inning bets - 4-0 at plus-money And the best part is? Every play has been dropped FOR FREE 🫡 SHOW SOME MF LOVE WHAT A RUNNN 📈📈
🤖 Made with AI
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BANG, first NBA algo play cashed 💰 Nets +11.5 (+104) ✅ Easy plus-money cash, never even got close to trailing by double-digits. Expect a lot more of this to come, this is the first of many! 🤝
10/27/26 NBA Back-to-Back Algorithm Team 1️⃣ Celtics (-11.5) vs. Nets Chance to Cover: 24.7% Play: Nets +11.5 (+104 Novig) 💰 Running it back with a road underdog. Celtics yet to submit injury report, hopefully we get another few guys to sit the B2B. Time to get on the board 🎯
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10/27/26 NBA Back-to-Back Algorithm Team 1️⃣ Celtics (-11.5) vs. Nets Chance to Cover: 24.7% Play: Nets +11.5 (+104 Novig) 💰 Running it back with a road underdog. Celtics yet to submit injury report, hopefully we get another few guys to sit the B2B. Time to get on the board 🎯
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🤮🤮🤮 Beat the line by two points, deserved better as Phoenix misses their final shot to cover +9.5 🙄 Gotta stay the course, positive variance coming our way!
10/26/26 NBA Back-to-Back Algorithm Team 1️⃣ Timberwolves (+3.5) @ Cavs Chance to Cover: 45.2% Team 2️⃣ Pacers (-4.5) @ Bucks Chance to Cover: 58.0% Team 3️⃣ Thunder (-9.5) vs. Suns Chance to Cover: 31.8% Play: Suns +9.5 (+102 Novig) 💰 Not a borderline play this time, the algorithm has this one is solidly in the Suns’ favor ☀️ Home favorites on a home B2B coming off a win are 5-18 ATS since November ‘25, including 9 STRAIGHT when the total is under 229.5 🤑 Let’s get on the board fellas 🫡
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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks retweeted
10/26/26 NBA Back-to-Back Algorithm Team 1️⃣ Timberwolves (+3.5) @ Cavs Chance to Cover: 45.2% Team 2️⃣ Pacers (-4.5) @ Bucks Chance to Cover: 58.0% Team 3️⃣ Thunder (-9.5) vs. Suns Chance to Cover: 31.8% Play: Suns +9.5 (+102 Novig) 💰 Not a borderline play this time, the algorithm has this one is solidly in the Suns’ favor ☀️ Home favorites on a home B2B coming off a win are 5-18 ATS since November ‘25, including 9 STRAIGHT when the total is under 229.5 🤑 Let’s get on the board fellas 🫡
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Chet & Cason Wallace both ruled out on the B2B, this is what the algorithm does 🫡 Got two full points of line movement in our favor, hope y’all grabbed +9.5 already let’s cash in 💰💰
10/26/26 NBA Back-to-Back Algorithm Team 1️⃣ Timberwolves (+3.5) @ Cavs Chance to Cover: 45.2% Team 2️⃣ Pacers (-4.5) @ Bucks Chance to Cover: 58.0% Team 3️⃣ Thunder (-9.5) vs. Suns Chance to Cover: 31.8% Play: Suns +9.5 (+102 Novig) 💰 Not a borderline play this time, the algorithm has this one is solidly in the Suns’ favor ☀️ Home favorites on a home B2B coming off a win are 5-18 ATS since November ‘25, including 9 STRAIGHT when the total is under 229.5 🤑 Let’s get on the board fellas 🫡
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10/26/26 NBA Back-to-Back Algorithm Team 1️⃣ Timberwolves (+3.5) @ Cavs Chance to Cover: 45.2% Team 2️⃣ Pacers (-4.5) @ Bucks Chance to Cover: 58.0% Team 3️⃣ Thunder (-9.5) vs. Suns Chance to Cover: 31.8% Play: Suns +9.5 (+102 Novig) 💰 Not a borderline play this time, the algorithm has this one is solidly in the Suns’ favor ☀️ Home favorites on a home B2B coming off a win are 5-18 ATS since November ‘25, including 9 STRAIGHT when the total is under 229.5 🤑 Let’s get on the board fellas 🫡
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NFL DOMINATION. AGAIN. 🐐 Season Record: 31-18 📈 Profit: +9.88 units 💰 ROI: 17.2% 😮‍💨 Week 1: 7-3 +3.40u 📈 Week 2: 3-4 -1.55u 📉 Week 3: 4-2 +1.62u 📈 Week 4: 3-1 +1.65u 📈 Week 5: 4-3 +0.56u 📈 Week 6: 5-3 +1.35u 📈 Week 7: 5-2 +2.85u 📈 You can consider me a 2nd source of income, every Sunday you know you’re getting a paycheck 🤑 For consistent, transparent, winning picks, subscribe to me for FREE on Winible 👇 winible.com/carmslocks Let’s keep printing money y’all 💵
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5-1 NFL SUNDAY VAMOSSSS 🚀🚀 J. Brissett o1.5 RUSH ATT (-115) ✅ C. Ward u7.5 LONG RUSH (-115) ✅ J. Wright u0.5 REC (-115) ✅ C. Stroud o3.5 RUSH YDS (-115) ✅ M. Nabers o57.5 REC YDS (-115) ✅ B. Young u40.5 LONG COMP (-115) ❌ THE QB SNEAK GOAT HAS GOT US AGAINNNN 🐐 Drop a 💙 if you tailed, what a dayyyy All plays dropped early for FREE on Winible link in bio and below👇 winible.com/carmslocks
2026 NFL Week 7 Full Card 💰 1️⃣ C. Ward u7.5 LONG RUSH (-115) 2️⃣ B. Young u40.5 LONG COMP (-115) 3️⃣ J. Wright u0.5 REC (-115) 4️⃣ J. Brissett o1.5 RUSH ATT (-115) 🔐 C. Stroud o3.5 RUSH YDS (-115) 🔐 M. Nabers o57.5 REC YDS (-115) 📈 NFL Record: 26-17 +6.03 units Every single play was posted to my new Winible page two days before they posted here, and it’s FREE to join! Use the link below to sign-up👇 winible.com/carmslocks I’m feeling a minimum 4-2 Sunday LET’S GO 🚀🚀
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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks retweeted
10/25/26 NBA Back-to-Back Algorithm Team 1️⃣ Nets (+7.5) vs. Pacers Chance to Cover: 59.6% Play: Nets +7.5 (-106 Novig) 💰 Team 2️⃣ 76ers (-2.5) vs. Pistons Chance to Cover: 41.7% 59.6% rounds up to 60, let’s take our first play of the season 🤝 If you’re scared of backing a team on a B2B against a team that’s rested, here’s a stat for you: Teams as home underdogs on a B2B coming off a loss have covered 12 STRAIGHT TIMES, as well as 10 of the L11 as dogs of 10 or less dating back to last November 🤯 Let’s make it 13 straight 🍻
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4-1 EARLY WINDOWWW 🤑🤑 C. Ward u7.5 LONG RUSH (-115) ✅ J. Wright u0.5 REC (-115) ✅ C. Stroud o3.5 RUSH YDS (-115) ✅ M. Nabers o57.5 REC YDS (-115) ✅ B. Young u40.5 LONG COMP (-115) ❌ One completion from a 5-0 sweep 😮‍💨 That locks in 6 profitable NFL weeks out of 7 🔒 Simply two Brissett rushes from a 5-1 day 👀
2026 NFL Week 7 Full Card 💰 1️⃣ C. Ward u7.5 LONG RUSH (-115) 2️⃣ B. Young u40.5 LONG COMP (-115) 3️⃣ J. Wright u0.5 REC (-115) 4️⃣ J. Brissett o1.5 RUSH ATT (-115) 🔐 C. Stroud o3.5 RUSH YDS (-115) 🔐 M. Nabers o57.5 REC YDS (-115) 📈 NFL Record: 26-17 +6.03 units Every single play was posted to my new Winible page two days before they posted here, and it’s FREE to join! Use the link below to sign-up👇 winible.com/carmslocks I’m feeling a minimum 4-2 Sunday LET’S GO 🚀🚀
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10/25/26 NBA Back-to-Back Algorithm Team 1️⃣ Nets (+7.5) vs. Pacers Chance to Cover: 59.6% Play: Nets +7.5 (-106 Novig) 💰 Team 2️⃣ 76ers (-2.5) vs. Pistons Chance to Cover: 41.7% 59.6% rounds up to 60, let’s take our first play of the season 🤝 If you’re scared of backing a team on a B2B against a team that’s rested, here’s a stat for you: Teams as home underdogs on a B2B coming off a loss have covered 12 STRAIGHT TIMES, as well as 10 of the L11 as dogs of 10 or less dating back to last November 🤯 Let’s make it 13 straight 🍻
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My first play from my new NBA algorithm is LIVE right now on Winible! You can sign up for FREE and get all my algorithm picks hours before they’re posted on X for the entire season 🏀 Click the link below to sign up👇 winible.com/s/x25rhg1x
My NEW Algorithm for the 2026-27 NBA Season 👀👀 Very excited to announce that I’ll be posting a new brand new algorithm this NBA season. After 20+ hours of gathering and testing data, I’ve made an ELITE model that focuses on one thing: Back-to-backs. I’ve looked at dozens of variables to find which ones have the greatest effect on a team’s performance given that they’re coming off a game the night prior. Sportsbooks actually often overreact, and I think there is a ton of value in the underdogs. We’ll be strictly taking spreads, whether that’s tailing or fading the team on a B2B. In testing, my model went 74-33 (69.2% win rate), +37.7 units if taking -110 odds. If you loved my NRFI/YRFI algorithm, I’m expecting this to have a very similar output. First B2B is October 24th, can’t wait! 😁
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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks retweeted
2026 NFL Week 7 Full Card 💰 1️⃣ C. Ward u7.5 LONG RUSH (-115) 2️⃣ B. Young u40.5 LONG COMP (-115) 3️⃣ J. Wright u0.5 REC (-115) 4️⃣ J. Brissett o1.5 RUSH ATT (-115) 🔐 C. Stroud o3.5 RUSH YDS (-115) 🔐 M. Nabers o57.5 REC YDS (-115) 📈 NFL Record: 26-17 +6.03 units Every single play was posted to my new Winible page two days before they posted here, and it’s FREE to join! Use the link below to sign-up👇 winible.com/carmslocks I’m feeling a minimum 4-2 Sunday LET’S GO 🚀🚀
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10/24/26 NBA Back-to-Back Algorithm Team 1️⃣ Bucks (+12.5) @ 76ers Chance to Cover: 41.9% Team 2️⃣ Pelicans (+11.5) @ Nuggets Chance to Cover: 45.6% Team 3️⃣ Warriors (+9.5) @ Suns Chance to Cover: 41.2% 📝 How it works: I use 10+ variables to calculate the odds that a team on a B2B covers the spread against a team on a day(s) rest. 📈 How we capitalize: Just like the NRFI algorithm, when the algo says a team has a 60%+ chance to cover, we take their spread. If it’s below a 40% chance, we fade them. No games meet this criteria today, but we have two more looks tomorrow! 🤝
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The good news: Today is the first slate of NBA games eligible for my new algorithm! 😁 The bad news: No plays will come from it today 😕 Regardless, who wants to see how this works?? 👀
My NEW Algorithm for the 2026-27 NBA Season 👀👀 Very excited to announce that I’ll be posting a new brand new algorithm this NBA season. After 20+ hours of gathering and testing data, I’ve made an ELITE model that focuses on one thing: Back-to-backs. I’ve looked at dozens of variables to find which ones have the greatest effect on a team’s performance given that they’re coming off a game the night prior. Sportsbooks actually often overreact, and I think there is a ton of value in the underdogs. We’ll be strictly taking spreads, whether that’s tailing or fading the team on a B2B. In testing, my model went 74-33 (69.2% win rate), +37.7 units if taking -110 odds. If you loved my NRFI/YRFI algorithm, I’m expecting this to have a very similar output. First B2B is October 24th, can’t wait! 😁
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2026 NFL Week 7 Full Card 💰 1️⃣ C. Ward u7.5 LONG RUSH (-115) 2️⃣ B. Young u40.5 LONG COMP (-115) 3️⃣ J. Wright u0.5 REC (-115) 4️⃣ J. Brissett o1.5 RUSH ATT (-115) 🔐 C. Stroud o3.5 RUSH YDS (-115) 🔐 M. Nabers o57.5 REC YDS (-115) 📈 NFL Record: 26-17 +6.03 units Every single play was posted to my new Winible page two days before they posted here, and it’s FREE to join! Use the link below to sign-up👇 winible.com/carmslocks I’m feeling a minimum 4-2 Sunday LET’S GO 🚀🚀
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NFL Week 7 Player Prop #5 🏈 J. Wright u0.5 REC (-115 Bet365) 📈 NFL Record: 26-16 +7.03 units - No doubt a risky bet here but this is just not his role at all. Since Achane went down, Miami had planned to split carries between Ollie Gordon and Jaylen Wright, but Gordon has been so much better that Wright has been phased out of a signficant role. Gordon has played 42 snaps per game, averaging 5.2 YPC on 14.7 carries and has run 52 ROUTES. Meanwhile Wright has been AWFUL, averaging just 1.6 YPC on 11 carries across just 21 snaps in two games without Achane. And he's run a grand total of FOUR routes in those two games to Gordon's 28 as he is clearly not their receiving back. - Wright has 8 CAREER catches on 326 snaps, that's one catch every 41 snaps and he doesn't have a single target this year on 28 plays. And when he does get targeted he's poor, with just a 53% catch rate and a 20% drop rate there's a reason he doesn't get targets. Plus Miami aren't even hiding the tank job this year as despite being winless they've thrown the ball the FEWEST of any team and Willis has targeted his RB's the LEAST of any QB this year, just 17 times on 171 dropbacks. - The Jets are allowing the 8th-fewest RB receptions of any team and despite Jaylen Wright actually having a career game against them last year on 34 snaps he STILL didn't have a reception. So if you're still not sold on a guy with a catch on just 2.4% of career plays that's being phased out of the offense, Wright is also HURT and was limited in practice Wednesday so I seriously doubt they utilize him much at all on Sunday let alone through the air.
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Premier League Matchweek 8 Play 🐎 Ipswich vs. 🌳 Nottingham Forest ⚽️ o2.5 goals (-125 Novig) PL Record: 9-6 +2.18 units 📈 - Ipswich have been a really fun team to watch, over this line in 5/7 games with the 3rd-most goal friendly games at 3.7 per match, conceding in every single game and scoring in 5/7. And Forest have been a good watch on the road as well; Since Postecoglu's firing they have the 3rd-most goal friendly away games (3.2 goals per match), over this line in 13 of the L15 with 4, 3, & 4 in three away matches this year. And something about these Friday matches brings out the goals, whether it's teams being on shorter rest or being the only game of the evening, as 11/14 Friday matches are over this line in the L2 seasons averaging 3.8 goals per match. Forest have scored in 13 consecutive away matches, Ipswich have conceded the 2nd-most goals yet also scored 2+ in 5/7, I think both teams have a good chance to contribute multiple goals to our cause.
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NFL Week 7 Player Prop #4 🏈 J. Brissett o1.5 RUSH ATT (-115 Bet365) 📈 NFL Record: 26-16 +7.03 units *Moved to -160, dropped two days ago on Winible* - It's time to run this one back after an epic cash last week. Brissett is over this line in 15/18 games since last season averaging 3.1 rushes per game. A TON of his QB rushes this year have been QB sneaks as he LEADS THE NFL in QB sneaks (11). That's a big increase from his 10 in 12 games last year which you can thank new HC Mike LaFleur for, plus they already throw the ball the 4th-most which leaves additional scramble opportunities for him. - The Broncos have allowed the 5th-most QB runs this year as ALL 6 QB's have ran it 2+ times against them so far. That includes other QB's with low scramble rates (Stafford, Darnold, Lawrence) and all 6 ran 2+ times WITHOUT kneeldowns which are always a bonus like we got last week. Arizona got a shock win against the Rams last week and are now just 4.5-point underdogs at home to Denver. Denver are yet to win by more than one score, and Brissett is over this line in ALL 8 games where they cover +6.5. This closed at -165 last week so -115 just makes zero sense for a guy who leads the NFL in QB sneaks, can get added runs from scrambles and kneeldowns, and when every QB to face Denver is over this line including unc Stafford.
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