
buying shitcoins for a living since '17 one of @BaseCampTG sherpas
Joined December 2010
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This is now my 5th year of being full-time in crypto 🦧
I wrote a small thread on the mistakes I did in the previous cycle so that hopefully you can implement some of the stuff to your strategy and actually leave this market with some profits and not just heavy bags
Let's go 👇
Went through my once-in-a-while on-chain checkup and wrote down a few thoughts
First, obviously:
• This is, undoubtedly, a bull market
• The bull market still has a long way to go
• The current correction won’t last much longer and will end with new highs
To add to the obvious - as I pointed out last cycle, on-chain metrics keep showing diminishing values, both up and down, which means:
• Volatility will continue to decrease
• Tops and bottoms will take longer to form and be less extreme
• Projecting ATH targets from past-cycle metrics is cope
So the gameplan for the rest of the cycle is imo simple:
• Keep stacking BTC on the dips, with realistic expectations, not 10x wet dreams
• Be ready to quickly flip alts during short windows of opportunity (a few per cycle)
• Outside of a few outliers, alts will continue to lack the liquidity for sustained market-wide runs
Crypto has become a victim of its own greed - unlimited supply of coins and endless dilution killed alt market, while BTC and majors stabilized thanks to ETFs and a different holder profile
It’s still a place with moments of life-changing opportunities, but those get rarer as time passes, and every impulse of retail interest gets quickly killed by serial deployers and “celebrity” rugs
I’ll be actively playing this cycle, but since it’s my 4th one, I have modest expectations of how wild it’ll get. Not because I’m burned out (that as well), but because the data points to that
See you in the order books and occasional trenches ( ▀ ͜͞ʖ▀)
The @BaseCampTG is now home to @breakoutprop challenges
Some members already passed their evals, some are still swimming through these choppy waters
I'm journaling my own challenge from inside the camp - come see me fail ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
breakoutprop.com/join/baseca…
Wasn't really active as I was waiting for the pullback to play out, and on-chain is unplayable anyway thanks to serial deployers/grifters
Things are getting interesting again tho, with HTF support approaching
(never fade 3D divs)
Pullback in play, likely not done yet
$USDT.D is a good way to spot where $BTC is likely to react, worth charting
As always, don’t panic, it’s organic
Resistance keeps resisting
A simple div keeps outperforming 90% of CT
Whatever dip comes next, it's a buy before further pumps in Q4
We're not in a bear market, 50k is not next, neither is 180k
It's a regular dip in an overall bullish trend that's here to stay
The 2W div marked the cycle bottom
Now the daily hints at a pullback
Don't chicken out if it happens, dips are for buying
I still expect dominance back at range lows by year-end
Stablecoin dominance at the ceiling vs $BTC
Not expecting it to play out the same but worth noting anyway
$BTC weekly close above the previous high, another close above the 50 EMA
there are no mental gymnastics left to justify being macro bearish here
Food for thought - 3D RSI with its 100% hit rate is now printing a bear div into resistance
Could be one more leg up, could be here - either way, momentum is slowing
The trend has shifted and will last for a while, no need to top blast HTF resistance
A smol reminder you can talk markets and mock bears with us daily in @BaseCampTG
Pumps or dumps, chop or trend, there's always something to trade or rant about
Free for all, everyone's welcome
🔗 t.me/+55aFAgyrH3M0ZDA0
🤖 Made with AI
$ETH rejected from 2800, now in a dip (to buy)
Don't think we go below 2500 before another attempt at 3k
gud coin $CNPY, almost 2x overnight
likely still not done, maybe some consolidation to reset bear divs
Few coins are trending right now, even fewer in a choppy market
$CNPY has been on a nice run since launch while most listings bleed. Infra layer for vibe-coded onchain apps
Chart looks clean, imo has more legs in it
all majors at support with barely any reaction to clarity failing and a rate hike
this is proper bull market strength, don't overthink your way out of it
Years ago I ran @CryptoJungle - a free community to research and trade together
Met some of the smartest people in crypto, made great friends and made a lot of $ along the way
This cycle I'm going back to it, but this time as @BaseCampTG
Still free. Everyone is welcome
🔗 t.me/+55aFAgyrH3M0ZDA0
🤖 Made with AI






























