3 exchange collapses taught the same lesson: mt gox 2014, quadriga 2019, ftx 2022
"not your keys, not your coins." every cycle a new class takes the same exam
the first company to sell shares to the public was the dutch east india company, 1602
anyone in the dutch republic could buy in. maids and merchants both did
trading those shares in amsterdam created the first modern stock market. the company paid dividends, sometimes in spices
every ipo since is a remix of a 424 year old idea
a 30 minute meeting usually ends with 0 written tasks and 5 people who think someone else took notes
ai build idea: notes that turn into a task list, each item assigned to the right person, sent before everyone's back at their desk
every team pays for this the first week they see it work
stocks can drop 20% in a month. real estate can freeze for 2 years and the price barely moves
when stocks go down:
- prices update every second
- you see the loss the same day
- sellers sell, buyers buy
when real estate goes down:
- sellers refuse to cut, so sales freeze
- the pain shows up as time instead of price
- by the time it's in the headlines it's been happening for a year
stocks crash in a day. real estate quietly stops moving
1 agent that reads every invoice a small business gets and flags the ones that look off
that's an ai build idea i'd take seriously. duplicate charges, a vendor that raised prices 12% without telling anyone, the same invoice sent twice from two emails
owners already know this happens. they don't have the hours to catch it
nobody enjoys reading invoices. that's exactly why someone pays for it
open source isn't a hobby anymore.
Nous Research (Oct 7):
> $90M Series B
> $1.5B valuation (per WSJ)
> its Hermes agent is MIT-licensed and, by the company's estimate, cloned 24M+ times
they're now selling a business version of a free product.
that's the open-source playbook in 2026.
in 1999 google's founders offered to sell to excite for about $750,000
excite said no
the founders wanted to get back to school at stanford. the price was less than a starter home in palo alto
excite went bankrupt in 2001. the guy who passed on google has had to tell that story for 25 years
the first monthly social security check went out on january 31, 1940. $22.54
the recipient, ida may fuller, had paid $24.75 in total social security taxes
she lived to 100 and collected $22,888.92
that's a return of about 925x on what she paid in. the system was built for a country where far fewer people lived that long (SSA history)




