Politics and sports mostly. He/him 🏳️‍🌈🇺🇦🇵🇸⏸️ alt is @dongersss

Joined March 2017
Lula pulled off a political comeback that Nixon would never even dream of: he went from being in prison to being elected president in less than 3 years
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🇧🇷🗳️ Et voilà, c'est fait : @datafolha annonce la réélection de @LulaOficial pour un quatrième mandat. Un incroyable retournement de situation trois semaines après un premier tour désastreux !
🇧🇷🗳️ Sur les trois quarts des bureaux de vote dépouillés, Lula dépasse les 51% des voix. Il y a 4 ans au même stade du dépouillement, Lula n'avait que 50,2% des voix. On attend plus désormais que la projection du vainqueur par @Datafolha pour aller se coucher.
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Dingers retweeted
Update on the Brazilian election: I personally am convinced that Lula will win the election. My own projection is barely even moving as more results come in, with Lula steadily being projected to win about 51.7% of the vote.
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Regardless of who wins in Brazil it does seem like the left shouldn’t have nominated an 80 year old and the right shouldn’t have nominated the son of the guy who lost last time and went to jail
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(I would’ve voted Lula ofc) Lula should maybe also pledge to step down after a couple years and let his VP take over if he wins
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Dingers retweeted
Update with 10.20% of results taken into account.
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Libs have to feel good at winning all the by-elections but Yorkton—Mellville at this point. So when is Carney gonna call them…
The Liberal lead has widened to 16 points in our latest Abacus Data poll. Liberals: 48% (+2) Conservatives: 32% (-2) NDP: 9% Bloc: 6% Greens: 3% The Liberals are now polling at their highest level in more than a decade. abacusdata.ca/liberals-reach…
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The prospect of a snap election is obviously tempting but if you win all 5 competitive by-elections you have 178 seats in the house, a pretty comfortable majority. It’d just be a gamble on lengthening the term which I think would be unwise
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Every leftist understands why James Talarico has better odds against Ken Paxton than he would against John Cornyn, but as soon as you suggest that the same dynamics might exist for democratic candidates as well they have an aneurysm.
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2022 polling had more variance. This time pollsters are clinging on to Bolsonaro+1 for dear life. The error could go either direction, ofc
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Dingers retweeted
How rare is an interim leader winning an election? I could only find one precedent. Not just in Canada - in all Westminster countries at the national or provincial/state levels. Searched UK, Australia, NZ. Just found one. British Columbia in 1952
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Is there precedent for someone designated as the interim leader of a party winning an election and becoming premier?
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Did I just see a Polymarket ad that implied that a staffer should do insider trading if they see their candidate having an affair??
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Wtf just happened in that UCF/BYU game. They don’t get another shot because the UCF kicker’s helmet came off? Insane
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That could’ve been a face mask too… hard to tell
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As a ND fan: lol
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But like Dems in Montana they may be doomed by their nominee remaining on the ballot
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