@stats_bench LOVE Jacob Harris 34+ receiving yards tonight vs USC. Do your stats agree?!

Jordan Allen OVER 5.5 receptions Allen has caught 10 passes in each of Georgia Tech’s last two games. Six catches is appealing if that role continues against Boston College. This is a bet on recent usage, with the risk that two games overstate his normal workload.

Charlie Becker OVER 4.5 receptions Becker has cleared five catches in four of his last five games. He has 58 targets on 185 routes, targeted on 31% of his routes. Michigan is a tough matchup, but his established workload gives us a solid case for five catches.

Trent Mosley OVER 4.5 receptions Mosley’s three full games produced 7, 4 and 9 catches. His short-area role could fit against a Wisconsin defense that limits explosive passes. The sample is small, and his recent knee issue makes normal usage important.

Byrum Brown 70+ rushing yards Workload first: 19 and 26 attempts in his last two games, producing 107 and 115 yards against Tennessee and Georgia. LSU pressure can create scrambles, but sacks subtract from college rushing totals. Prefer even money or better.

Iowa -7 The rushing matchup is the draw: Iowa’s Moulton comes off 208 yards, while Minnesota just allowed Purdue 305 on the ground. Iowa’s run defense can also force Minnesota into passing downs. Road rivalry variance is the concern.

West Virginia +10.5 Hawkins gives WVU a passing-game escape route when the run stalls. TCU’s pass defense is a real challenge, but its own rushing struggles could make pulling away difficult. We’re backing WVU to stay within reach.

Indiana -7 Michigan’s freshman QB faces a difficult assignment against Indiana’s run defense. If the Wolverines can’t stay ahead of the chains, the passing downs get tougher. Michigan’s defense keeps this interesting, so seven is an important number.

Cincinnati +11.5 Cincinnati’s ground game offers a path to long drives and fewer possessions. Texas Tech’s recent results have benefited from turnovers and failed opponent fourth downs. Taking the home underdog with double-digit cushion.

Texas State -13.5 The offensive mismatch stands out. Texas State has the balance to keep scoring, while Utah State has struggled to sustain drives. The concern is Texas State’s defense allowing enough points to keep it close. I want this below 14.

Saturday college football card 🏈 5 spreads + 4 player props today! Matchup notes and the case for each play below 👇

UCLA +10.5 at Oregon UCLA rushed for 369 and 266 yards in its last two games. Sustaining drives on the ground is its route to staying inside the spread. Oregon can force UCLA away from that strength with an early lead.

Tennessee -13.5 at Arkansas Bishop’s 220-yard Auburn game supports the rushing matchup against an Arkansas defense that has allowed 15 rushing TDs. Tennessee also has 23 sacks. The passing game makes the margin less certain. Need better and clarity at QB.

Illinois -2.5 at Michigan State Dixon’s 40 catches and eight TDs give Illinois a proven passing weapon. Michigan State has scored only 26 points across its last three games. A field-goal win covers, but Illinois’s defense remains a concern.

LSU -9.5 at Kentucky LSU’s defense drives the lean: 22 sacks and only 58.4 rushing yards allowed per game. Limiting Kentucky’s run game could create difficult passing downs and a route to separation. Minchey’s 11 TDs against one interception make Kentucky a real test.

UConn +3.5 at Temple Osborne threw for 314 yards and three TDs last week; Bowers rushed for 164 yards. I like having both ways to move the ball, plus a cover on a field-goal loss. UConn’s defense is the concern after allowing 42 to Syracuse.

Coastal Carolina +4.5 at Marshall I like Coastal’s passing matchup. Deuce Bailey has topped 200 passing yards in every game, while Marshall allows 475.2 total yards per game. Coastal has a route to trade scores and stay within the cushion. Turnovers are the concern.

Saturday’s college football card 🏈 Six leans for the afternoon and evening slate. Matchup reasoning for each pick in the thread below. 👇 #CFB #CollegeFootball

Isaiah Myers 69+ Receiving Yards Myers has quietly been one of the most explosive receivers in CUSA. Through four games, he has 342 receiving yards on just 17 catches. That's over 20 yards per reception! He's averaging 85.5 yards per game, and now gets a WKU defense that has struggled. I like his chances to hit a couple of explosive plays and clear this number.