cuban tabasco (@drewxbt) header
cuban tabasco (@drewxbt) profile picture

NFL analysis with a public record. free plays ↓

FREE BETS 👉🏻
Joined August 2020
yo @BetOnline_ag what happened here? where’s my green ticket? @DaveMasonBOL
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2,816
nothing like a good nfl sunday
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lol burrow getting nervous
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cash that bby 💸💸
Thursday Night Football 🏈 POD LAR TT u26.5 (+100) is time to cash this beauty placed @bet_105 #NFL #Gamblingx #NFLPredictions
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drake maye is a terrorist
my bets for the 1st NFL Game #NE v #SEA Patriots +3 (+100) 1u under 44.5 (-110) 1u Long shots (0.5u): Patriots ML (+157) Romeo Doubs TD (+300) #NFL
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Between two evenly matched MLB teams, the home team scores first only 42.5% of the time. Not 50%. And the reason is so simple it's embarrassing.
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"First to score" markets get priced near coin-flip because that's the intuition. Same day, four boosted first-to-score markets, all home teams. Two were +EV. Two were −EV. The difference wasn't the boost size.
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For a home team to be worth backing to score first, they have to be a real favorite — not just at home. Home + underdog is the trap. It looks identical to the others on the board and it isn't.
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That was fast Cash it 💰💰
UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE BEST BET ⚽️ - Real Madrid ML (-159) ❤️ If tailing #POD #gamblingx
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