Daniel Tello (@dtellom) header
Daniel Tello (@dtellom) profile picture

Daniel Tello

@dtellom

Amateur Apple analyst since 2001. @dtello@mastodon.world

aaplmodel.blogspot.com
Joined January 2011
  • Tweets9.4K
  • Following33
  • Followers1.6K
$AAPL Fiscal 4Q 2023 Final Estimates aaplmodel.blogspot.com/2023/… $91.9b revs - 44.5% GM - $1.45 EPS
Image from Daniel Tello (@dtellom)
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33 years later, only getting started.
Daniel Tello (@dtellom) profile pictureDaniel Tello@dtellom2 Mar 2016
"Apple's late on VR" 25 years at it. itp.nyu.edu/~dbo3/proj/golde… itp.nyu.edu/~dbo3/proj/pavlo…
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No, × 𝕏 X, you idiots, I do not get it, nor will I learn more.
Image from Daniel Tello (@dtellom)
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Where I tell you how wrong I’ve been (yes I’ll quote myself):“Hopefully [my] estimates are about done getting revised down.” Not just me, check out pro analysts: marketscreener.com/quote/sto… Note trend contrast between Revs (left) and EPS (right), gotta respect those margins!
Image from Daniel Tello (@dtellom)
Image from Daniel Tello (@dtellom)
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Thanks for the kind words. Not posting this time, sorry! Hope to get back on it for next one. Good luck!
tatanka (@infoseeker12) profile picturetatanka
@infoseeker123 Aug 2023
Replying to @dtellom
@dtellom Hello Daniel. I hope you are well. I’ve followed your work on  for many yrs now. It is very much appreciated. Are you going to be posting anything for todays earnings release?
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$AAPL ATH in 3 weeks? manifold.markets/deagol/will…
Will Apple stock (AAPL) make a new all-time high (>$182.94) before the end of WWDC23?

Will Apple stock (AAPL) make a new all-time high (>$182.94) before the end of WWDC23?

Resolved YES. Free to play with play money. Resolves YES if AAPL intraday high > $182.94 during any regular Nasdaq trading session (09:30-16:00 ET) since market creation (2023-05-18) up to the end of...

manifold.markets
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manifold.markets/deagol/will…
Will Apple beat $93b consensus revenue estimates for last quarter?

Will Apple beat $93b consensus revenue estimates for last quarter?

Resolved YES. Free to play with play money. Resolves YES if Apple reports more than $93 billion total revenue for the quarter, NO otherwise. Source: Fiscal Year 23 Second Quarter Results, Financial...

manifold.markets
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manifold.markets/deagol/will…
Will Apple beat $1.43 consensus EPS estimates for last quarter?

Will Apple beat $1.43 consensus EPS estimates for last quarter?

Resolved YES. Free to play with play money. Resolves YES if Apple reports more than $1.43 EPS for the quarter, and NO otherwise. Source: Fiscal Year 23 Second Quarter Results, Financial Statements...

manifold.markets
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$AAPL Fiscal 2Q 2023 Final Estimates aaplmodel.blogspot.com/2023/… $96.1b rev - 44.8% GM - $1.54 EPS
Image from Daniel Tello (@dtellom)
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undervalued manifold.markets/deagol/will…

Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $160 before $150?

Resolved YES. Free to play with play money. Last price (will try to update every day after Nasdaq close): 2023-03-30 11:00 am $162.33 (intraday low $161.27) Resolves after the first regular Nasdaq...

manifold.markets
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Will Apple stock ($AAPL) fully break $150 before $140? manifold.markets/deagol/will…
Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $150 before $140?

Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $150 before $140?

Resolved YES. Free to play with play money. Last price (will try to update every day after close): 2023-03-06 15:40 EST $153.88 (day's low $153.46 09:50) Resolves after the first regular trading...

manifold.markets
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Warren Buffett: “When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive).”
Image from modest proposal (@modestproposal1)
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Which happens first, $AAPL to $100 or $200? manifold.markets/deagol/will…
Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $200 before $100?

Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $200 before $100?

Resolved YES. Free to play with play money. Last price: 2024-Jun-07 $196.89 (will try to update major moves or every Friday after Nasdaq close) Resolves YES if AAPL trades >= $200 without having...

manifold.markets
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Last year Apple's market cap fell from $3 trillion on 1/3/22 to just under $2 trillion exactly a year later. Which will it be next? manifold.markets/deagol/will…
Will Apple’s (AAPL) market cap hit $3 trillion before $2 trillion?

Will Apple’s (AAPL) market cap hit $3 trillion before $2 trillion?

Resolved YES. Free to play with play money. Last price: 2023-06-29 $189.59 ($190.07 high, $190.73 needed) Latest share count: 15.729 billion shares (source [PDF] p.2) Current market cap = price*sha...

manifold.markets
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Apple Earnings Smackdown: Final Spreadsheet FQ1 2023 ped30.com/2023/02/02/apple-s…
Apple Earnings Smackdown: Final Spreadsheet FQ1 2023 | Philip Elmer‑DeWitt

Apple Earnings Smackdown: Final Spreadsheet FQ1 2023 | Philip Elmer‑DeWitt

Exclusive: The analysts (pros and indies) have placed their bets in advance of today’s September quarter results.

ped30.com
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$AAPL Fiscal 1Q 2023 Final Estimates aaplmodel.blogspot.com/2023/… $123.6b rev - 43.4% GM - $2.06 EPS
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Whoops the chart is wrong 😂
Image from Daniel Tello (@dtellom)
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I created a market. manifold.markets/deagol/will… $AAPL #PredictionMarket
Will Apple report $120 billion or more in total revenues during last quarter (Sep-Dec 2022) on Feb...

Will Apple report $120 billion or more in total revenues during last quarter (Sep-Dec 2022) on Feb...

Resolved NO. Free to play with play money. Source: Fiscal Year 23 First Quarter Results, Financial Statements release to be published on investor.apple.com at 4:30 pm EST on Feb 2, 2023.

manifold.markets
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more replies
Here's some free "fake" money, and they also give 500 when you sign up. Spend it wisely: don't bet against me! 😉 manifold.markets/link/3DFtlO…
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Since that got claimed so fast, here's 3x50. Good luck forecasting! manifold.markets/link/SvTUS6…

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