Giovanni (@exergiovanni) header
Giovanni (@exergiovanni) profile picture

Randomness explorer looking for Antifragile positions | Energy systems engineer | RWRI Alumni

México City
Joined September 2009
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AI is filtering those who academics who previously said "I would do this even for free"
Never run to catch the bus cc: NNT The competitive element of modern mathematics is dust. Do it for beauty, way dirac or whoever obsessed about it such.
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So... human language processing is closer to current platform LLMs than traditional linguistic theory? also, bad news for S. Pinker.., consider especially The Language Instinct and his words-and-rules theory, defends a Chomsky-style view Another win for @nntaleb bs detector
Chomsky was wrong. Researchers found your brain doesn’t store language the way every textbook since 1957 claims. For decades, the undisputed rule of linguistics, led by Noam Chomsky, was that human language is hierarchical. We were told our brains process language using complex "grammar trees." That we secretly build deep, abstract, mathematical rules in our heads before we speak. This new paper proves that is completely wrong. Researchers at Cornell University analyzed how people actually process and produce language in real time. They found sequences. Linear chunks. When we speak, we aren't calculating deep syntactic rules. We are just predicting the next most logical sequence of words based on the context of the words right before it. We string linear chunks together. If this sounds familiar, it should. This is exactly how Large Language Models like ChatGPT work. For years, critics have dismissed AI as "just a next-token predictor." They said it isn't truly intelligent because it doesn't understand deep grammatical hierarchies like humans do. But this paper suggests humans don't use those hierarchies either. We are just predicting the next chunk. Language isn't a rigid tree of mathematical rules. It's a linear stream of contextual predictions. We thought we were building AI to mimic the complexity of the human brain. It turns out, the human brain was just running a simpler algorithm all along.
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Sostengo cada línea de la columna publicada hoy bajo el título de “La reunión de Ariadna Montiel con El Guano”. Las acusaciones que la gobernadora de Chihuahua lanzó en días pasados contra Ariadna Montiel tienen origen en un reporte de inteligencia federal cuya autenticidad fue confirmada por fuentes de seguridad. Fue debido a la existencia de ese reporte que la gobernadora Maru Campos pidió públicamente que la dirigente de Morena aclarara su relación con el crimen organizado. Es absurdo hablar de “ética”, de “rigor” y de “golpeteo de la derecha” cuando por todas partes surgen los acuerdos entre el narco y el movimiento que la señora Montiel encabeza. Atentamente.
En ejercicio de mi derecho de réplica, solicité formalmente a @El_Universal_Mx la publicación íntegra de esta respuesta a la columna de @hdemauleon del 26 de octubre de 2026, en la que se difunden acusaciones falsas y sin sustento en mi contra. Rechazo categóricamente las acusaciones difundidas en la columna publicada hoy, 26 de octubre de 2026. Denunciamos la irresponsabilidad de presentar señalamientos no acreditados como hechos y utilizarlos para desacreditar a todo un Movimiento. La propia publicación revela el problema: el título da por ocurrido un encuentro que al final del texto se califica de “supuesto”. Se invoca un informe que no se muestra y se atribuyen acuerdos criminales sin aportar elementos que permitan verificarlos. Esa distancia entre lo que se afirma y lo que se demuestra exhibe la falta de rigor y de ética de esa publicación. Esta forma de hacer periodismo constituye un instrumento de golpeteo de la derecha para desacreditar al proyecto humanista que representamos y a quienes hemos luchado por el bienestar del pueblo de México. Como presidenta nacional de @PartidoMorenaMx, he venido denunciando la violación de la soberanía nacional derivada de la intervención de agentes de la CIA en nuestro territorio, promovida por la panista @MaruCampos_G y su gobierno. En respuesta a nuestras denuncias, y en un intento desesperado por distraer la atención, la gobernadora ha difundido mentiras y calumnias que niego categóricamente y que hoy se reproducen en esa columna. Nunca he tenido relación ni me he reunido con personas dedicadas a actividades delictivas. Mi patrimonio está asentado en mi declaración patrimonial, que siempre ha sido pública. Los supuestos “reportes de seguridad” contienen contradicciones evidentes: no derivan de un informe institucional, sino de las mentiras y calumnias propagadas por la gobernadora. Es una clara estrategia para distraer la atención de los hechos que deben esclarecerse y por los cuales deben sancionarse a los responsables. ¿Quién dio la orden al exfiscal, hoy detenido, para vulnerar la soberanía nacional? No hay que olvidar que el gobierno de María Eugenia Campos no solo es panista, sino también calderonista. Basta ver que Ernesto Cordero, Roberto Gil Zuarth, Diódoro Carrasco, Max Cortázar y Jordi Herrera, entre otros, forman parte de su equipo de asesores. El usurpador @FelipeCalderon, principal asesor de la gobernadora, fue el jefe de #GenaroGarcíaLuna, hoy preso en Estados Unidos y acusado de proteger y apoyar a organizaciones criminales. Calderón bañó de sangre al país con su supuesta guerra contra el narcotráfico y promovió el operativo Rápido y Furioso para armar a los grupos delictivos. ¿Qué hay en el fondo de estos señalamientos? María Eugenia Campos conoció la participación de su exfiscal en el operativo realizado en la Sierra Tarahumara y guardó silencio durante seis meses, pero tiempo después lo señala y lo detiene. El panismo en #Chihuahua está en crisis, porque a sus ojos la gobernadora los traicionó y ahora pretende lavar su imagen ante la derecha nacional acusando a Morena con mentiras y calumnias. Lo que sí es verdad es que la que ha traicionado a la patria, a sus correligionarios y al pueblo de Chihuahua es la panista María Eugenia Campos, quien forma parte del grupo criminal de Felipe Calderón. Pero pronto llegará la transformación a Chihuahua para que el bienestar alcance a todas y a todos. Seguiremos con la frente en alto y los principios intactos. La calumnia no borra las huellas de una vida al servicio de los demás. La honestidad se reconoce en los hechos; la lealtad, en la constancia. Y el pueblo sabe quién ha caminado a su lado, también cuando el camino era cuesta arriba. #PorLaDefensaDeLaSoberanía
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This is the absolute best advice for a profession. Modern economy has habituated everyone into sacrificing their dignity, tailoring themselves from one employer to the next. Alloy. So you end up with no real identity or skill.
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Real humans seek truth, clarity, depth & simplicity. And so they welcome anything that destroys the false, the superficial & the purely mechanistic, e.g. (especially) AI.
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Expertise increases risk taking only linearly, but the effects of collision are nonlinear: 40km/h is > 10 times the risks of 10km/h. This explains the mortality of experts outside ludic setups (racing tracks for cars, dedicated roads for cycling competitions, etc.) x isnot f(x)
Pogacar visto em treinamento entre os carros em Monaco
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The problem isn’t that AI is intelligent. It isn’t. The problem is that too many adults (but not all) are at once mechanistic, imitative, unimaginative, stupid, formulaic, influenceable, & gullible, arrogant beyond their skill set, & too expensive to maintain.
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If your activity is far away of the final product/service and the client is a large pyramid you are more in danger. The opposite is more robust
If Nassim is saying this, the middle class should be worried, very worried A few thoughts: - Adapt or perish - Build or maintain your human edge - Always be waking up and mentally writing off your job
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Replying to @GoujianofYue
I defer to N's kill hope heuristic. You must expect to work your whole life. Don't fuss. See the good side to every scenario (barring ruinous, which you panic beforehand).
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“[…] the middle class is there to taunt you, humiliate you, make you feel envy. The middle class is cruel to the lumpen; it is only a great concept if you belong to it.” — NNT Good riddance.
Wake up. Every profession deemed white-collar, the middle class dream, is about to be decimated by AI, at a much faster pace than anticipated, with monstrous social consequences.
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My theory has been anything repeatable, boring, common, abstract is fragile. What is niche, closer to humans, authentic is more robust. Let's see how time tells. teapawt.net/GoujianofYue/status/19…
Wake up. Every profession deemed white-collar, the middle class dream, is about to be decimated by AI, at a much faster pace than anticipated, with monstrous social consequences.
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Wake up. Every profession deemed white-collar, the middle class dream, is about to be decimated by AI, at a much faster pace than anticipated, with monstrous social consequences.
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Ok, so the realistic thing for youstrutly is becoming shredded as f*** and semi erudite if I can reborn sometime
It takes 1-5 years to go from couch potato to physically fit. It takes 40-75 years to go from ignorant to erudite.
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I have never been a "rug merchant". Outside finance, the only physical merchandise I have ever sold was condoms in industrial quantities shipped to the bordello where his mother used to work --which, I admit, may not have been perfect.
Replying to @nntaleb
Then accept it as our gift to the world you ungrateful rug merchant, pull yourself.
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“In many ways, the work of a critic is easy. We risk very little, yet enjoy a position over those who offer up their work and their selves to our judgment. We thrive on negative criticism, which is fun to write and to read. But the bitter truth we critics must face is that, in the grand scheme of things, the average piece of junk is probably more meaningful than our criticism designating it so.” — Anton Ego in Ratatouille
BREAKING NEWS : Famous wallpaper app developer not impressed with flying car
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If we are honest, people also spew out words without “understanding.” Example: do you truly understand why the sky is blue, or is it something you’ve been parroting all your life based on “training data”? Of course, there are things we do understand. Einstein did understand relativity, etc. BUT: 1) They are a fraction of the things we talk about as if we understood them, even though we don’t 2) Their understanding was acquired by engaging deep thinking, not just breezing through life Point #2 is key! When we say “LLMs don’t understand”, we often refer to them without their “thinking mode” on. If we applied the same standard to humans, we would also conclude they don’t understand. We can’t apply the double standard of comparing humans with thinking mode on and LLMs without it. They both have a thinking mode, and we should compare them equally, either both with it on, or both with it out. Note: “thinking mode” is an actual thing: it refers to additional loops of taking the info that we would intuitively spit out and critically combining or comparing it.
Not sure who needs to hear this but.... An LLM doesn't "understand" anything. It is a statistical model that spews out tokens based on probabilities calculated through massive matrix operations and context, not an understanding of the subject matter.
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Replying to @DannyMarang
México City is a closer flight from cities like Dallas, San Antonio, Phoenix or LA than it is from those cities to New York or Toronto lmao are all Americans completely ignorant?
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Come to Mexico City dear Indians friends. We have better vegetarian Lindy options here
Another way the current administration is trapped in the ZERO-SUM FALLACY: The H-1B visa situation. + You are NOT taking a job from a citizen, rather creating jobs by increasing overal economic output. Plus these people (even vegetarians) SPEND locally. + The US has long been benefiting from other countries' brain drain; without it its edge wd collapse. Tesla, Von Braun, von Neumann, Fermi & Einstein did NOT each take the job of a citizen. + It the problem is anti-Indian racism, say it, don't play games.
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Another way the current administration is trapped in the ZERO-SUM FALLACY: The H-1B visa situation. + You are NOT taking a job from a citizen, rather creating jobs by increasing overal economic output. Plus these people (even vegetarians) SPEND locally. + The US has long been benefiting from other countries' brain drain; without it its edge wd collapse. Tesla, Von Braun, von Neumann, Fermi & Einstein did NOT each take the job of a citizen. + It the problem is anti-Indian racism, say it, don't play games.
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An old school European financier told me long time ago: "Those who feel they succeeded in finance write novels or talk mostly about art, culture, politics, or their hobbies; those who failed, no matter how rich, are still talking (or writing) only about finance & markets.
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