The Fibonacci guy I 10+ year swing trader |Trade ideas are only ideas | Master Fibonacci retracements https://xitter.cf/t.co/Z3jTXU6B2B

United States
Joined October 2016
FreddyThaFish retweeted
Professional trading is not about being right or wrong. It’s about seeing the caution signs—the red lights, the green lights, and the yellow flags—and adjusting accordingly. The market is constantly giving you information. Your job isn’t to prove you’re right. Your job is to recognize when conditions change and yield when necessary. Those who adapt the fastest, adjust the best, and know when to yield are the ones who stay in the game long enough to win.
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
Here are all the most important highlights from @SpaceX's Q3 2026 earnings report and earnings call: • Total revenue: $14.58B, up 161% YoY from $5.58B and up 87% QoQ from $7.81B. • Adjusted EBITDA: $8.81B, up 306% YoY from $2.17B and up 149% QoQ from $3.54B. • Total Capex: $19.59B, up 185% YoY from $6.88B and 7% QoQ from $18.37B, primarily driven by SI infrastructure investments. • Q4 Capex guidance: SpaceX expects capital expenditures of $35B–$40B in Q4 2026 as it accelerates SI compute deployment. • Net income: $4.40B, compared to a $1.05B loss a year earlier. • Income from operations: $2.79B, compared to a $273M loss YoY and a $143M loss in Q2. • Q1 2027 revenue guidance: $33B–$37B in total revenue during Q1 2027. • Annualized revenue target: SpaceX remains on track for $100B in annualized revenue by the end of 2026, based on December's revenue run rate. • Elon's 2027 revenue projection: SpaceX could reach $500B–$1T in annual recurring revenue by the end of 2027 • Backlog: Reached $63B as of September 30, including $17.5B in deferred revenue. ~$42B is expected to be recognized within the next 12 months. • Space revenue: $1.77B, up 6% YoY • Connectivity revenue: $5.25B, up 69% YoY and 22% QoQ; Consumer revenue was $3.12B (+57% YoY) and Enterprise & Government revenue was $2.13B (+91% YoY). • Connectivity operating income: $2.37B, up 99% YoY from $1.19B and 43% QoQ from $1.66B. • Starlink subscribers: 13.6M, up 89% YoY; consumer ARPU increased to $69/month from $66 in Q2. • Super Intelligence (SI) revenue: $7.56B, up 830% YoY and 195% QoQ • SI operating income: Positive $431M, compared to a $1.72B loss YoY and a $1.26B loss in Q2. • SI Adjusted EBITDA: Positive $4.95B, compared to a $428M loss a year earlier and $1.15B in Q2. • SI Capex: $16.44B, up 245% YoY from $4.76B and 4% QoQ from $15.83B, representing ~84% of total quarterly Capex spend. • Cloud Services Agreements: Signed additional agreements during Q3, with SI solutions and infrastructure revenue growing 192% QoQ excluding Cursor. • SI compute economics: Newly deployed compute capacity is generating payback periods of less than 12 months at current pricing, which is slightly above the previously discussed $30–$50 per watt range. • Cursor revenue: Contributed $608M in revenue between August 14 and September 30. • Grok Bot: Reached 800,000 paid weekly users in early October, more than doubling over the prior month. • Grok Bot enterprise rollout expected in a few weeks. • Cash, cash equivalents & marketable securities: Approximately $90B at quarter-end • Operating cash flow: Generated $13.1B during the first nine months of 2026, up 218% from $4.12B during the same period in 2025. • Starship Flight 15: Targeted for November 2026, with SpaceX planning to attempt a tower catch of Starship's upper stage. • National Security launches: Secured 18 additional National Security Space Launch missions. • Starlink aviation: More than 3,800 aircraft were equipped with Starlink as of September 30. • Starlink aviation contracts: ~12,000 aircraft are now under contract for Starlink service, representing nearly a quarter of the available commercial aircraft market. • Starlink Mobile users: Surpassed 22M monthly users at the end of Q3, up 37% QoQ. • Starlink Mobile U.S. launch: SpaceX plans to integrate its spectrum acquisitions and begin activating the expanded service in early 2028, with the gaol of becoming a major U.S. mobile carrier. • SI compute: Expanded nameplate compute capacity to 1.7 GW, up from 1.4 GW in Q2 and 0.6 GW a year earlier. • October compute target: SpaceX expects to reach nearly 2 GW of nameplate compute capacity by the end of October 2026. • Year-end compute target: SpaceX expects 2.5–3 GW of nameplate compute capacity by the end of 2026. • 2027 compute target: Elon expects to add at least 10 GW of incremental compute capacity in 2027, potentially bringing the total to 13 GW or more. Elon said there is a small possibility of exceeding 20+ GW of active SI compute by the end of 2027. • GPU deployments: SpaceX is bringing approximately 200,000–220,000 NVIDIA GB300 GPUs online monthly, with plans to maintain or accelerate that pace. • Nvidia Vera Rubin deployment: SpaceX expects its 2027 compute expansion to rely primarily on NVIDIA's next-generation Vera Rubin architecture. • SpaceX plans to bring a training cluster with 440,000 Vera Rubin computers online by the end of Q2 2027. • Targeting May or June 2027 for the first functional test chips from the Austin research fab. • Terafab mass production: SpaceX is targeting Q3–Q4 2028 for potential volume chip production at its Gibbons Creek facility
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Fast facts when $SPY volume is this low: - Extremely low volume almost always precedes drawdowns - It's not just an outlier trading day, $SPY 50-day average volume is at 40.6M, the lowest since at least 2005. - Dec '24 had the lowest 50-day avg before now, and $SPY drew down -21% over the next 5 months
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
$DVN 55C 12/18exp $3.2M #flowseidon
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
$DVN $3.6 mil in these calls
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
Some unusual flow today. Someone just bought $4.32 million of bullish Google, $GOOGL, calls. Contract: $290 calls expiring Jan. 15, 2027 Size: 754 contracts at about $57 each Nearly all bought at the ask ($4.31 million vs. just $11,000 at the bid), a sign of urgency Breakeven: about $347 by expiration The trade triggered repeated alerts with rising fill prices, suggesting a buyer kept paying up to build the position.
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
This is unusual. Someone just bought $2.08 million of bullish calls betting on a rebound. Contract: $160 calls expiring March 19, 2027 Size: 2,000 contracts at about $10.40 each Bought near the ask The trade also triggered repeated alerts, suggesting ongoing interest.
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
$NVDA 220 node for Friday!
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
Elon Musk
@elonmuskOct 17
Future fun Roadster demos will include flying over the Snake River or maybe Grand Canyon and landing on its wheels and exceeding half the speed of sound
Elon Musk
@elonmuskOct 16
Turns out the future does have flying cars
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
You’re not gonna believe this. 5,000 stocks are down 20%+ from their 52-week highs. And it gets crazier… Nearly 4,000 are down 40%+. Think about what that actually means. While the major indices have held together, underneath the surface thousands of stocks have already been living through their own bear markets. The index looking fine while individual stocks are getting absolutely destroyed underneath it. Some seriously messed up shit when you actually look under the hood.
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
Just tried out the Roadster trick with my Model 3, didn't work out so well.
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
Me over the DUI checkpoint.
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
car insurance companies watching the roadster demo
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
JUST IN: Elon Musk unveils the Tesla Roadster by launching it off a ramp before the car flipped in midair and safely landed on the ground. The car is a collaboration between Tesla and SpaceX. One of the most insane things I've ever seen.
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
Hollywood tem tudo para temer Inteligência artificial
🤖 Made with AI
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
This is crazy. How do they do it?
テスラのAピラーの頑丈さは異常
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
$SNAP actually looks good
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حادثة مخيفة في الولايات المتحدة بعد ان استطاع ثعبان عملاق ان يكسر الزجاج المقاوم للكسر والخروج من قفصه بينما كان يشرح الرجل قوه ذكور الثعابين .
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
Georgia high school students stage a fight to bait their principal to break it up, so they could sing him happy birthday. Lakeview Fort Oglethorpe High School principal Bobby Davis was seen sprinting to the fight to break it up. After Davis ripped the prank fight apart, the students started singing happy birthday. "He single-handedly changed me for the better, and he knows I could never take it for granted," said the student who came up with the idea. "the things he’s done during my time at LFO are truly memories i’d die with. i was so happy to come up with this idea and do it for him."
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FreddyThaFish retweeted
An iceberg isn’t simply a large order on the DOM. Detection means tracking executions and replenishment at the same price—not just visible size. We build order-flow tools for NinjaTrader 8 and cTrader around the data your feed provides. scriptstotrade.com/custom-de…
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