⚡️Ukraine has lost cheap baseload power, its energy infrastructure has suffered massive damage, and electricity consumption has fallen by 30–35%. Yet power prices for businesses keep rising. Balancing market debt has reached UAH 46.5B, while a generation tender secured just 78 MW against a 7,000 MW shortfall. How can Ukraine fix its power market? Andrian Prokip, Head of Energy Programs at UIF, presented five solutions. Watch the expert discussion on UIF’s YouTube channel: youtu.be/okbY7fsTqrM Full recording in the first comment.

📈 The Cost of War Is Rising 🎙 Speaker — @AnatoliyAmelin, CEO and Co-founder of UIF 👉 Read more about the state of Ukraine’s economy in the latest Macroeconomic Digest on the UIF website: uifuture.org/en/analitychni-… #UkraineEconomy #WarInUkraine #Inflation #UIF

33 of 56 US administration actions since Jan. 2025 have weakened Ukraine. Only 13 have strengthened it. @AnatoliyAmelin Amelin’s analysis finds no evidence that the Trump administration is acting as Moscow’s ally. But the US is no longer a predictable source of support. Ukraine gets ~95% of its Patriot missiles through PURL, funded by allies. CSIS estimates the US has 759–827 Patriot missiles left, down from 2,330 before the war with Iran. Kyiv must engage both the White House and Congress while reducing dependence on the US in communications, missile defense and intelligence. The next six months will be decisive. The report sets out nine steps for Kyiv — the first due by the end of October. 🔗 Read The US as a Variable in Ukraine’s Security on the Ukrainian Institute for the Future website: uifuture.org/en/analitychni-… Supported by Norway and Sweden; implemented by ISAR Ednannia.

📈 Ukraine’s annual inflation jumped to 10% in September, while the NBU raised its key rate to 16%. Ukraine has received $39.3B in international financing since January, but delays under the Ukraine Facility pose risks to non-military spending. International reserves fell to $47.1B. ❓ Will funding cover all budget needs? What will the war cost in 2026, and where is the hryvnia headed? 👉 Read the October Ukraine Macroeconomic Digest by the Ukrainian Institute of the Future: uifuture.org/en/analitychni-… Supported by Norway and Sweden; implemented by ISAR Ednannia. #Ukraine #Economy

Ukraine’s energy sector in September: 🇺🇦 Russia launched its first major attack on the power system since the last heating season. ⚡️ Net electricity exports nearly doubled to 397.6k MWh, though record-low demand also played a role. ☀️ Solar auction demand exceeded the quota by 3.9×. 🌬️ Wind auction bids exceeded the 700 MW quota, reaching 1.2+ GW. 🏭 Energoatom also got new leadership under its new corporate governance model. What do these trends mean for Ukraine’s energy market ahead of the cold season? Read the full September Energy Digest on the UIF website: 🔗 uifuture.org/en/analitychni-… _____________ Implemented within the project “Strong Civil Society of Ukraine — a Driver of Reforms and Democracy” with the support of Norway and Sweden, @Isar_Ednannia #UkraineEnergy #EnergySecurity #UIF

⚖️The Presumption of Inviolability and Innocence of Business Business wants to grow and earn legally. Does the state allow it? A quality regulatory system must guarantee: — asset protection — minimal state interference — dispute resolution based on the presumption of innocence Key problem: blocking of tax invoices and financial monitoring. 2021–H1 2024: 7.7 million tax invoices suspended. In 75% of court cases, business won. UIF identifies 5 channels of state pressure and proposes legislative changes. Full analysis: uifuture.org/en/analitychni-…х _____________ The publication was prepared within the framework of the project “Strong Civil Society of Ukraine — a Driver of Reform and Democracy”, with the support of Norway and Sweden, @Isar_Ednannia #Business #BusinessInUkraine #BusinessProtection #Taxes #UkrainianEconomy

$7,000 owed by every Ukrainian? Ukraine’s 2027 budget: public debt, external financing, and the key figures behind it. 🎙 Speaker: @AnatoliyAmelin, CEO and Co-founder of UIF. 👉 Full analysis: uifuture.org/reports/analiz-… #UkraineEconomy #UkraineBudget

BE CAREFUL WITH AI 🎙 Speaker — @AnatoliyAmelin, CEO and Co-founder of UIF #ArtificialIntelligence #ChatGPT

Is Ukraine’s economy stalling? 🎙 @AnatoliyAmelin, CEO & Co-founder of UIF, on the current state of Ukraine’s economy. 👉 Read UIF’s latest Economic Digest: uifuture.org/dajdzhesty/makr… #Ukraine #Economy #UIF

Ukraine’s 2027 budget: record spending, a $91.2B external financing need — and a $32.6B gap with no identified source. Key figures from UIF: — UAH 9.9T in spending — 89.2% of GDP — 15.1% of GDP budget deficit — $91.2B external financing need — $125B in security spending, incl. international assistance — ~$340M — the cost of one day of war UIF also estimates a UAH 150–200B risk of revenue shortfall. How realistic is the budget — and where are the main risks and expenditure-cutting reserves? Read the full UIF analysis: uifuture.org/en/reports-en/a… With the support of Norway, Sweden and @Isar_Ednannia #UkraineEconomy #Budget2027 #EconomicAnalysis #UIF

Ukrainian Institute for the Future and the National Social Service of Ukraine signed a Memorandum of Cooperation. Focus: practical solutions for social services for veterans and their families, people affected by the war, and families with children. The partners will conduct research, prepare policy proposals, introduce international standards and run joint trainings. Work is already underway in the NEXUS project with the National Police and the Ombudsman’s Office to build a joint response system. “For many veterans, the first encounter with the state after the front happens at the social service. Trust can only be restored through a service that works quickly and treats people humanely,” — @AnatoliyAmelin 🔗 Read more on the UIF website: uifuture.org/en/news-en/the-… The publication was prepared within the framework of the project “Strong Civil Society of Ukraine — a Driver of Reform and Democracy”, with the support of Norway and Sweden, @Isar_Ednannia

Education Below the Basic Level? 🎙 @AnatoliyAmelin, CEO and Co-founder of UIF #Ukraine #Education #Schools #UIF