GrayHouse retweeted
New AZ-GOV poll
Hobbs: 51%
Biggs: 45%
(Republican firm GrayHouse, n=550 LV, Oct 18-20, MoE +/- 4.2 pts)
GrayHouse retweeted
ARIZONA POLL (Norton internal)
GOVERNOR
🟦 Katie Hobbs: 50%
🟥 Andy Biggs: 44%
SECRETARY OF STATE
🟦 Adrian Fontes: 48%
🟥 Alexander Kolodin: 42%
ATTORNEY GENERAL
🟦 Kris Mayes: 48%
🟥 Warren Petersen: 46%
STATE TREASURER
🟥 Elijah Norton: 43%
🟦 Nick Mansour: 41%
GrayHouse (R) | 10/6–8 | 550 LV | ±4.2%
download-files.wixmp.com/ugd…
GrayHouse retweeted
GrayHouse poll | 10/6-10/8 LV
Arizona statewide races 2026
Governor
🟦Katie Hobbs: 50% (incumbent)
🟥Andy Biggs: 44%
——
Secretary of State
🟦Adrian Fontes: 48% (incumbent)
🟥Alexander Kolodin: 42%
——
Attorney General
🟦 Kris Mayes: 48% (incumbent)
🟥 Warren Petersen: 46%
——
State Treasurer
🟥Elijah Norton: 43%
🟦Nick Mansour: 41%
(Republican internal)
GrayHouse poll | 10/6-10/8 LV
Arizona Governor 2026
🟦Katie Hobbs 50% (incumbent)
🟥Andy Biggs 44%
(Republican internal)
Link to poll: download-files.wixmp.com/ugd…
GrayHouse retweeted
Senator Tom Cotton maintains a double-digit lead in Arkansas, 50% to 39%, in a new GrayHouse poll of likely voters.
As Arkansans learn more about Democratic candidate Hallie Shoffner, her image has begun to tank. The number of voters who view her unfavorably is up 10 points in just two months. In their own words, voters point to her record on immigration: “She would trade 5 Americans for 1 illegal immigrant.”
Meanwhile, Cotton’s image is improving, with his favorables increasing 6% since last month.
GrayHouse is growing. Austin Derbak has joined the firm as Lead Research Analyst.
Austin joins us from Fabrizio, Lee & Associates, where he worked on research for national campaigns and major corporate clients. His background also includes campaign work in Missouri and service in the White House Office of Presidential Correspondence. He brings more than five years of experience across polling, campaigns, and strategic communications, and we're glad to have him on board.
We're continuing to build the team. If you're interested in joining GrayHouse, reach out at [email protected].
GrayHouse retweeted
🚨NEW | Fresh GOP polling in MT-Sen confirms race begins firmly in the R column as Bankhead and Bodnar both stay in.
Alme (R) 41
Bankhead (D) 25
Bodnar (I) 17
GrayHouse, 500 LV, 6/23-24, ±4.4%
@InsideElections moved MT-Sen back to Solid GOP last week.
insideelections.com/news/art…
A new GrayHouse national poll found the Trump-Vance fraud task force is a major winning issue for Republicans, and it starts with a belief voters already hold.
66% of voters say "fraud, waste, and abuse is endemic in government programs and spending, and represents a serious, ongoing drain on the federal budget." That includes 57% of Democrats. Only 26% say it's a relatively minor issue being overstated.
When voters are told the task force has "referred 22 billion dollars in fraudulent small business loans to the Treasury for collection, deferred 1.3 billion dollars in suspicious Medicaid payments, and identified 6.3 billion dollars in suspected fraudulent government contracts," 61% approve and only 23% disapprove. Independents approve 51-29. Democrats approve 45-35. Net positive with every partisan group.
52% of voters say "there is enough waste, fraud, and abuse in government spending that we could better fund programs just by cutting it out." Only 39% say the only realistic way is raising taxes on the wealthy. Among Independents it's 48-37.
washingtonreporter.news/excl…
A GrayHouse poll conducted over the weekend correctly predicted Ed Gallrein's victory over 14-year incumbent Thomas Massie in the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary, landing within 1 point of Massie's final vote share.
This was the most expensive House primary in American history, with record GOP primary turnout and a race that shifted dramatically in its final week.
The results showcased GrayHouse's best-in-class multi-mode methodology, reaching hard-to-reach voters other pollsters miss and accurately modeling the electorate. Read our results in the New York Times article featuring our poll
nytimes.com/2026/05/19/us/el…
GrayHouse retweeted
A new GrayHouse poll of likely KY-04 GOP primary voters, done over the weekend, shows Gallrein leads incumbent Thomas Massie by 7%, 51-44, with 5% still undecided.
N=435 | Fielded May 16-17 | MoE +/- 4.7%
GrayHouse retweeted
Poll after poll shows the same thing: We are the frontrunner in the primary and the best positioned to retire Kris Mayes in November.
Click the link in the comments below to join our team!
azfreenews.com/2026/04/poll-…
GrayHouse founder Landon Wall to the New York Times on Tuesday’s primary election results: the results demonstrated that alignment with the MAGA base and Mr. Trump’s brand was paramount in the party, even more so than incumbency.
“The candidates who struggled were almost exclusively the ones without his support,” Mr. Wall said, suggesting that even the perception that Mr. Cornyn was “insufficiently close to the president” had hurt him.
nytimes.com/2026/03/05/us/el…
GrayHouse retweeted
ARKANSAS POLL - Senate
🟥 Tom Cotton (inc): 58%
🟦 Hallie Shoffner: 36%
GrayHouse (R) | 2/7-9 | 550 LV
grayhouse.com/post/ar-senate
GrayHouse surveyed 550 likely general election voters in Arkansas from February 7 to 9, 2026 (MoE +/-4.2%), and the results are clear: Senator Tom Cotton is in a commanding position to win reelection, and Hallie Shoffner is badly out of step with Arkansas voters.
When respondents were provided biographical information about Hallie Shoffner, including her policy positions and record, Cotton's lead expands. His support rises to 60% while Shoffner falls to 34%. After learning more about her, 62% view her unfavorably.
Read the full results here: grayhouse.com/post/ar-senate
GrayHouse retweeted
In a national survey conducted by GrayHouse between Feb. 20 and 23, which was shared with MS NOW and recently presented to congressional Republicans, the majority of GOP voters surveyed, 86%, said they supported the U.S. using military force to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons.
“The narrative that the Republican Party is fractured on this is overstated,” according to Landon Wall, a Republican pollster. “When voters see a decisive military operation that doesn’t spiral into a larger conflict, they view it as a success.” ms.now/news/news-analysis/ir…
GrayHouse retweeted
Recent GrayHouse polling: a majority of voters support deporting all illegal immigrants (52% support - 39% oppose), those who arrived in the last four years (56%-33%), and those with criminal records (78%-16%). Voters were asked whether they support or oppose deporting immigrants who are in the country illegally across three levels — and majorities supported deportation on every single one, including 52% who support deporting all immigrants who are in the country illegally, not just criminals.
GrayHouse retweeted
Our latest national survey finds that a clear majority of voters (59%) support President Trump's proposal to ban private equity and hedge funds from purchasing single-family homes, with only 23% opposing the measure. The proposal has struck a chord across the electorate, earning net positive support from Republicans, Independents, and Democrats alike.
GrayHouse retweeted
Our GrayHouse poll from November showed former Cardinals kicker Jay Feely being significantly more competitive than AZ GOP chair Gina Swoboda in a general election in AZ-01. After bios, Feely led a generic Democrat by 7 points, Swoboda trailed by 6.
👀Trump issues a dual endorsement in #AZ01: He’s backing fmr NFL kicker Jay Feely after his initial pick, Gina Swoboda, met GOP resistance, especially from Turning Point.
This is one of the most competitive House seats in the country:
GrayHouse retweeted
New GrayHouse polling shows voters side with the Senate GOP's approach to the ACA subsidies.
Of six policy options tested:
- Redirecting subsidies from insurance companies into HSAs that consumers control was most popular: 60% support / 22% oppose (+39 net).
- The Democrats' 3-year clean extension was the least popular and failed to reach majority support at just 49% support.
After being informed on the trade-offs (Subsidies don't lower what healthcare actually costs they just shift the bill to taxpayers, there's no income cap, families making $400k can qualify), support for extending the subsidies drops from 59% to 34%.
Voters acknowledge prices are rising and they blame insurance companies (29%) more than pharma, hospitals, or the ACA itself. But 81% are still very or somewhat satisfied with their current insurance coverage.
n=2,058 RVs, Dec 6-8, +/- 2.2%
axios.com/2025/12/11/republi…
Earlier this month President Trump took to Truth Social to encourage Jay Feely to run for another district. New GrayHouse polling featured in @DC_Reporter shows the best fit is clearly AZ-1: Feely leads a generic Democrat 46%-39% after voters learn about his background.
washingtonreporter.news/p/ex…
AZ-1 is one of 2026's most contested House races. Trump won 51% (3-point margin), Gallego won 52% for Senate (5-point margin). The Scottsdale seat rewards crossover appeal. Feely runs competitive with independents while maintaining strong Republican support.
Download full toplines:
grayhouse.com/post/new-polli…























