OkState Alum// Nolan McLean enjoyer
Joined August 2018
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Grayson✈️ retweeted
MLB Recap June 10⚾️
5-0 MLB SWEEP 🧹 🧹
✅ Shohei Ohtani 6 K + 1 Hit
✅ Robbie Ray under 17.5 Outs
✅ Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline
✅ Brewers/A's over 3.5 Home Runs
✅ Nick Kurtz over 0.5 Walks (Live)
🔥16-1 MLB RUN (+15 UNITS)🔥
The greatest 3 day run you'll ever see from a straight bettor. The power of the Beaver 🦫
Massive 11-1 MLB RUN 🔥🔥
💸+10 Units in 2 Days 💸
50% Off All VIP packages⬇️
dubclub.win/r/p/pri-ypj8c/?c…
✅ Grayson Rodriguez over 15.5 Outs
✅ Connelly Early under 16.5 Outs
✅ Phillies -0.5 F5 Spread
✅ Nationals +0.5 F5 Spread
✅ Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline
✅ Dustin May over 16.5 Outs
✅ Chase Burns over 6.5 Strikeouts
✅ Miami Marlins Moneyline
✅ Jake Bauers over 0.5 Walks
✅ Nick Kurtz over 0.5 Walks
✅ Bauers + Kurtz Walks Parlay
❌Twins/Tigers under 4.5 F5 Runs
They said I lost my fastball 😂
These “AI Models” used to pick MLB player props/game spreads are hilarious. Even if you think your model is sharp with your $20 pro Claude membership, imagine how much the books have invested into AI Modeling for their player props/game spreads. Feel like lots of cappers’ edge has been lost over the last year or two. Wonder why.
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Fade the Giants Again📉📉
Shohei Ohtani Under 1.5 BB 1u (-120)
-Ohtani’s command this year has been legit. His 6.2 BB% ranks in the 84th percentile across MLB.
-Giants have worst walk rate vs RHP at only 5.5%
-Only 6/L25 RHP starters have 2+ BBs
-Assuming a 5% chance of walking each hitter, with Ohtani facing somewhere between 23-27 batters, we can calculate his chance at under 1.5 ranges between 60.6%-67.9%. That would put implied probability between -153 and -211. Good value here.
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Grayson✈️ retweeted
MLB 5/12 Recap🧹
Sweeeep🧹🧹
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 1.5 BB ✅
Walbert Urena Under 4.5 HA ✅
James Wood Over 1.5 TB ✅
Matt Olson + Brice Turang 1+ Hit ✅
Dabble Parlay of the Day🚀✅
Roughly 4u of profit today. Absolutely needed a day like today for the program.
Fade the Giants 📉
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 1.5 BB 1u (-125)
Yamamoto’s 2026 has had its ups and downs, but one area he has improved on from 2025 is the BB%. His 5.9 BB% ranks in the 85th percentile. So far this year he has walked 1 or fewer batters in 5/7 games (71%).
While Yamamoto’s command is nice, we are mainly targeting the San Francisco Giants offense. Their 5.6 BB% vs RHP is dead last across MLB. Of the last 25 RHP starters they have faced, only 6 have 2+ BBs.
I believe we are getting this price because on 4/21, Yamamoto faced SFG and walked 2 batters. I think we have to trust the data of the Giants offense here with the fact that they don’t work counts.
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Dabble Parlay of the Day🚀💎
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 TB
Bobby Witt Jr Over 0.5 Runs
These have been so hot lately tap in!
click.dabble.com/ugiS/aonefe…
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