General Partner @ https://xitter.cf/t.co/6RPBLyZTvZ (tech/AI investments). Co-Founder @ https://xitter.cf/t.co/1ZkfDCAonE (private wine membership). My thoughts @ https://xitter.cf/t.co/fG6vpyIY3C.
Miami Beach, FL
Joined June 2010
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Greg McBeth retweeted
Immigration policy must be driven by the present, not the past, and business leaders are too terrified of the left AND the right to acknowledge this.
Recent H1B discourse revolves around a longstanding immigration sleight-of-hand. H1B proponents point to exceptional people who came here decades ago as if they represent the current state of the program in the same way that advocates for low-skill/illegal immigration point to very favorable immigrant crime/welfare/education/etc statistics that do, in truth, have them beating native-born Americans on many fronts.
It is all a sham. The world that created those statistics, people, and businesses no longer exists. Brilliant but desperate Vietnamese fathers who fled communism have nothing in common with young men from Honduras, and the crime rates/economic acccomplishments/integration of the former should not be used to justify mass migration of the latter.
Nor should the accomplishments of people who managed to get an H1B visa in the 90s (when the program was capped to just 65,000 visas) be used to justify staffing agencies and tech companies using the program to replace American jobs for less money. The obvious abuse going on is politically suicidal and something that even the most ardent supporters of the visa should want to crack down on, no immigration program can possibly survive the obvious and widely known reality of what is going on. I am a longtime outspoken advocate for stealing the best people from other countries to make our own better, runaway abuse of existing programs robs the government of the worker trust required to do so.
Lots of people in the tech space know this. Even the dumb people are smart enough to see it. Nobody actually believes these are all incredible people with unique talents performing jobs no American can. Everyone knows the guy in Cubicle Bay 7 doing mediocre but functional web design for half the salary of his American peers is no savant and doesn't meet the statutory requirements for his H-1B visa.
Unfortunately, most people with power or profile are terrified that any public statement or acknowledgement will get them attacked by the right (You guys have been screwing over American workers for years with visa abuse, you damn hypocrite!) or the left (You are racist, sexist, misogynist, and sucking up to this fascist administration!). Or, more likely, both. I know too many tech execs in particular who feel trapped, like the only winning move is to stay silent.
JD is blowing the whole thing wide open by putting facts and stats front and center that nobody wants to engage with. Critics will talk about anything and everything else but these damning facts and this obvious truth, that H1B visas serve neither their original purpose, legal purpose, invented purpose, or the American people.
Vice President JD Vance breaks down the data:
"If you are working as an H-1B visa in the United States of America, you’re earning $20,000 less than an American citizen hired in the same position. If you were brought in by one of these foreign outsourcing firms, you’re making $48,000 less than an American citizen in a similar position. So I’m sure that everybody here understands the game that is being played. You bring in indentured servants from outside the country, you lay off American workers and, if you’re a corporation, you make a ton of money by under cutting the wages of American workers, replacing them with people who frankly shouldn’t be in the United States of America to begin with."
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the best way to start some form of universal high income is by creating brokerage accounts for every single american citizen (not just children) which would be seeded by an in kind annual levy on ai company shares esp the major ones (& voluntary funding from wealthy individuals), pair it with a cash dividend floor that starts to kick in at some point, & a very gradual unlocking over a lengthy period of time depending on age.
obviously only works when these companies are public. but this is perhaps the simplest way to seed a very first order solution to a problem that is likely more imminent than ppl imagine (broad job displacement).
Greg McBeth retweeted
The only way to defeat communism is to cut young people into capitalism.
Trump Accounts may soon be expanded even more to anyone under 40yrs old. That would be another 100 million people, on top of the 70 million kids and 3.5mil babies born each year. This according to Brad Gerstner who is the main guy spearheading efforts on this. He also said Elon is 'tip of iceberg' Nice scoop and piece on it from @LydiaMoynihan @nypost
I’ve changed my mind on this issue.
I’m introverted, have a dedicated office at home, enjoy the extra time with my family, and am far enough along in my career that I can work wherever I want without issue.
Even with all of those advantages I’ve become attuned to the fact that that too much time without in person interaction leaves me less energized, less creative, and even a bit depressed.
Forcing myself to spend a couple days a week meeting people face-to-face, despite the occasional al discomfort/logistical annoyance, has made a noticeable difference in my productivity and overall well-being.
For someone just getting started in their career, I would *strongly* recommend working from the office at least a few days a week.
Greg McBeth retweeted
Most men raising the issue of “obligation sex” aren’t primarily arguing that a wife must have sex whenever her husband wants it, regardless of her desire. They’re pointing out a double standard in how marital duties are treated.
Husbands are routinely expected to fulfill their responsibilities—providing, protecting, emotional support, household labor, and the rest—without the option to opt out simply because they “don’t feel like it” that day. These duties are treated as ongoing obligations within the marriage.
Yet when it comes to sexual intimacy, the conversation often shifts: a wife’s lack of desire or consent in the moment is treated as absolute and sufficient grounds to withhold it indefinitely, with little reciprocal expectation. If consent is the governing principle that can suspend one core marital contribution, consistency requires asking why the same principle doesn’t equally allow a husband to suspend the contributions expected of him.
The underlying point is about reciprocity. If sex is no longer framed as a mutual marital duty but solely as something requiring ongoing, enthusiastic consent from one party, then the framework should apply symmetrically to the other party’s duties as well. Otherwise, consent functions as a one-way veto rather than a shared standard.
Third world mass immigration is first world suicide
To every American, and to everyone watching France burn from abroad:
Do not blame the French people for this.
We never asked for it. We never voted for it. And the one time we were clearly asked, we said no.
Here are the numbers your media won't show you.
70% of the French say there are too many immigrants in France today.
79% want a tougher immigration policy.
77% disapprove of the government's record on immigration.
83% want foreign criminals and long-term unemployed foreigners sent home.
And no, it's not just the old. 69% of French 18 to 24 year olds support suspending legal immigration for three years.
This is not a fringe. This is the French people.
In 2005, we were asked if we wanted the European Constitution. 55% voted no. Three years later, our politicians passed the same text under another name, through parliament, without ever asking us again.
That is modern France in one sentence. The people say no. The elites do it anyway.
So who is responsible? The politicians who lied to us. A class of leaders formed in the same schools, the same forums, the same networks, loyal to each other before they are loyal to their nations.
In 2017, at Harvard, Klaus Schwab, founder of the World Economic Forum, bragged about his Young Global Leaders program in four words: "We penetrate the cabinets." He added that it was true in France. Emmanuel Macron was one of his Young Global Leaders.
It's the same project in Brussels with Ursula von der Leyen and in Paris with Macron. Borders treated as an obstacle. Nations treated as relics. The people treated as a problem to be managed.
What you are watching in France is not the French people failing. It is the end of the globalist project, an abject, quasi-communist dream of a world run by unelected planners. It is collapsing everywhere in Europe at once, and the West has to cut this cancer out before it takes the rest of the body with it.
The peoples of Europe don't want this. They never did.
So when you see our town halls burning, don't say "the French chose this."
The French never chose this.
They were forced into it.
If you're French and you agree, repost this so the world hears it from us.
If you're American, look at us carefully. Then choose differently on November 3rd.
Patrick Collison's point here is that companies have always made money off inattentive buyers, like the checkout upsell or the subscription you forgot to cancel. Agents are supposed to make us more rational, so quality starts to matter more than marketing.
I'd bet the opposite, at least for wine. Most agents will drift to the safe middle: the bottles with the most visibility, the biggest scores, and whoever pays to be found. The marketing doesn't go away, it just moves to wherever the agent is looking.
His own caveat is the big one. All of this assumes the agent works for you and not for whoever's selling.
The interesting version is an agent that learns what you actually like, even when that's the 91 and not the 96. That's what we're building Melier to do. If you want wine matched to your palate, not the algorithm's: melier.com/?utm_source=x&utm…
Greg McBeth retweeted
Recipients of welfare should never be afforded the same quality of life as middle class people whose labor is taxed to fund them. It should prevent homelessness, including being relocated to a cheaper part of the country. It should never be better than working.
The goal of ebt is to give people the same quality of life as a "middle class" person. It's literally that simple.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The goal of SNAP (benefits via EBT) is to supplement food purchasing power for low-income households to afford a nutritious diet, not to provide middle-class quality of life.
fns.usda.gov/snap
law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/7/271…
usda.gov/sites/default/…
This is great stuff.
Most findings from the social “sciences” are exaggerated or outright false, it’s just been too difficult/costly to prove at scale.
Expect universities and academics to fight like hell against this.
I've been prototyping an automated peer review project. With current models you get human level peer review for about $0.10 of tokens. For $5 you can rederive every result, check every statistical inference, and audit every paper cited in both directions.
There are about 100m papers in the scientific corpus. Most are not important. Many are sloppy. For structural reasons it's essentially impossible to change published work, even to correct a typo.
For $500m today you can thoroughly audit every paper ever written. Every p-hacked result, every plagiarist, every fabrication, every citation club, everything.
I don't have $500m so instead I build a tree, focusing on the 1% of papers that carry 99% of the signal, doing a cheap first pass looking for obvious problems. I can find 90% of the nonsense for a few hundred dollars of tokens.
Any guesses where the biggest surprises will be found?
The most disruptive part of AI progress today is that every discrete improvement (auto-math, self driving, etc) is undoubtedly great for society, so we'll do it, but it will be disempowering for a particular group.
Eventually, AI will have come for most of us and we'll be asking whether we're all better off now that we've all been disempowered. An inverse tragedy of the commons.
Same. We’ve tried creating quite a few from scratch too, and the same applies.
A strong outline, reference designs, and effective prompt go a long way.
Greg McBeth retweeted
Absolute must-read from @thejoelstein today in the @ftweekend. Do whatever you can to jump over the pay wall or ask a friend to gift you the article. For anyone in wine, or anyone that loves it, highly recommend to learn more about what is happening in Napa Valley today: ft.com/content/6ff0232c-f38a…
Wild story. Giving flashbacks to the French Laundry heist in 2014, but the scale here is 🤯
theguardian.com/world/2026/o…
Sex-segregated spaces serve a critical social function. We understand this for millennia.
My fraternity experience was the only part of college I remember fondly. Pathetic, gutless bureaucrats have made every effort to destroy it. They are the reason I’ll never donate a penny.
Single income families were the norm. Shortened workweeks are possible today.
The reason most families need two incomes isn't a technology problem. It's because businesses pushed aggressively to normalize it to the point where it's difficult to unwind, and politicians have stolen our collective productivity gains by reducing the marginal value of the dollar (by printing money) and increasing costs of basic necessities like housing (by not building any).
AI will unquestionably make us more productive. Whether we get our Fridays back is an entirely different question, and one we should demand answers for.
"Bringing in genuine world-class geniuses... is obviously a very different thing from bringing tens of thousands of middle managers and B2B SaaS coders."
My thoughts exactly.
The majority of innovation is driven by the top 0.01%. We should usually do whatever we can to attract that talent from around the globe.
For the rest of us, jobs are a means to build healthy families and vibrant communities. It's pernicious to disrupt that ecosystem so we can at best hire cheaper coders, at worst faciliate widespread fraud and social fragmentation.
