Gunner/Trader96

“Confidence is silent. Insecurity is loud.”

I made this analogy before. I hunt, golf, fish, trade, coach baseball. None of those things I can do successfully with limited info. I cannot kill a 12 pt buck at midday in hot weather in open field at 200 yds with buckshot. I cannot catch 10 lb stripers using live bait in shallow water during July with 80F water temp after 8am. Why would I put $5k on a 0dte trade for a move that lasts 5-10min max using nothing more than prior day high and an ema? People can never replicate the success you often see on X because it doesn’t happen that way. Find someone who can help your goals and improve your circle. And forget about those grifters. $spy

$SPY prep: Price below pivot, vwap, 10m ribbon. I like calls over 757 but cleaner over 758 with targets of 758 760 762 765. I like puts if 757 rejects then 754 is lost with targets 752 748 745. I think I see chop potential 754-757, and range around 752-760 with ext possibly 749-762. Price did reject H200 and positional midpoint fib and working down now in a trend on 15m. In houlry MTF now, and below 752 opens up a bit. Chop now and hourly compression, so I might scalp lighter for now. Just my opinions. So I will watch this 754-757 area alot.

I don't know this person nor did I do the performance evaluation, but I was present for over 2 years and later called all of this out as per my opinion and what I saw almost daily. You'd have to test for yourself the accuracy but it fits what I long believed to be true. I had even spoken with a few close members early on in the room "did you see that post, that's not true" type of thing. It would be "ahh he's just marketing himself". I have heard a ton of traders get wrecked and would see his results posted that I knew - at least at times based on being in the room and seeing the discussed trades - to be either fabricated, exaggerated, or outlright lies. Some were solid hits to be fair, but what I believed to be false marketing (even though I openly would not take the alerts) was something I wouldn't be involved with as a paying and contributing member. I disagreed with it, and left. But it just got worse. But he is very good at hiding it all. I think the word is manipulation. Since then Casey has doubled down and sometimes changes the wording to make it sound better, but it is what it is. This isn't the first analysis done I have seen showing results are not what is posted. I don't own the analysis but I saw what I saw. It's disgusting and Casey should be removed from all ability to manipulate people for money, especially the most vulnerable new traders paying to learn. My opinion, but data speaks for itself. I am pretty certain that selling alerts is illegal, but marketing false results to do so adds a significant penalty if ever caught. But maybe I am wrong. Either way, it's disgusting. I don't accuse, I say what I see and what I believe is happening and apparently many others brought out the receipts. I have been around trading nearly 3 decades, and this stuff is what I hate most about it. Take a look for yourself and make your own opinion using actual results. @team2trading

Actually this is what I do. I rarely scale out. Feels like why should I let a high probability rejection or stall area take a portion of profits when I can just add back. I don’t need screenshots and never been able to buy a car with one. But that’s just me.

See how we did. I really did not think we would see much range today with bonds closed. $SPY * Liked 758c for target 761, 754p for targets 752 750. 754 held and target exceeded * Range expected 754-760, extensions 752-762 (was HOD) * Chop 755-758 (went right through so I am giving that too much respect I think) * I didn't like puts until 755 lost (never did) * Price over hourly supply in PM so D21 was a target (blew through it to the daily 34 MTF and rejected hard) Wasn't my best execution but caught a really good day at $10.2k. Nailed the top today for a big move down and held full. Nailed the bottom earlier but just kept scalping instead of holding, we had the targets and they hit exactly. Still like to clean up a couple issues and bias at times. Wasn't good yesterday 2 of 4 for $600 loss.

$SPY: only retail traders today so likely poor volume and muted moves. But prep still has a solid gap up over target fib for now. I like 758c for target 761, 754p for targets 752 750. Expecting smaller range around 764-760 with ext around 752-762, chop looks good from 755-758. I like rejection of 758 for loss of 755, then 752, 750. I don't like until 755 lost. Might not trade it at all. * Price did break through the hourly supply around 755 which is also the current H200. D21 up around 759.

CPI moves do not make $SPY prep too easy, but a few things look clear to me. Chop around 748-751/752 748 is a big line for me on hourly and 10m. I won't trust 2m chart today Price back at -38 golden gate fib now, will watch that at open. I will watch moves to hold over 752 for any long shot, under 748 for any short shot. I have client golf today so likely few or no trades anyway. Best of luck, play safe.

Certainly no expert at data plays but I don't know how much I want to respect the CPI data if not using YOY but we know what direction $SPY should do depending on normal data. Will see I guess once digested into open.

$SPY prep was fairly tight but I didn't see this much range today. * Vix key 22.9 * Calls over 744 with targets 745, 747, then follow ext fibs * Puts if reject 744 then lose 740 and targets given * Chop was 740-744 but blew through it (neg gamma was key and had that in plan) * Range exceeded at 745 *The open was absolutely perfect, take those when I get them. Same as Friday. Caught open with perfect setup, caught a few scalps after that for a really good day hit $9800 and then lost one late trying a put and got impatient but it ended up working rather huge. Didn't give enough room under FVG but nice setup. Client golf tomorrow so limited. Prep will be in room.

I wonder if people will ever realize the power AI can have on solving basic issues we have dealt with for decades.

You know who doesn’t care about stocks and retirement accounts? People who don’t have money and rely on the government. You know who votes for that government? People who rely on the government. You also know what segment of the population will grow the most? 60% of net negative contributors to the economy This is unsubstainable.

$SPY prep. QQQ leading heavy early. SPY looks like we have decent support potential at 766 but if lost 763 and lost then 760 to complete the range with longer term 750. Hold 766 for move up per chart but I think we have some smaller range and messy for a bit now.

Finally getting time to recap the $SPY today. 764 was my line and price jumped it and later retested and failed. Worked well. 767 would be tough, it was and became support for much of session. Upper targets were 768 770 and pretty close. I didn't expect much more range today, maybe a little less than this. Chop 760-764, not really since price popped right up. PM divergence failed to develop, and mentioned that before market. Not great PA but made 3-3 on scalps for $3800. First play went nearly 250% but had to scale and leave for meeting.