Sidoti raises $PBI price target to $20:
portal.sidoti.com/pdf/F74E91…
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$PBI has bought back 16% of their shares in the last 6 months. $350m FCF and about 150m shares left.
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Love this mental framework ..
I started my career during the throes of the GFC crisis, working on CDOs / CLOs / RMBS / CMBS.
This gave me one of my earliest mental models, which I light-heartedly call “everything is bond math” - the ability to see that most financial assets with streams of cash flows are simply bonds in disguise.
It’s proved useful for me. Let me share a few observations:
🧵1/8:
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Finally got around to reviewing $PBI... more interesting than I thought...
1) An "everything" special sit - activist, mgmt change, GoodCo/BadCo, divestiture, early innings capital allocation inflection, and dash of public LBO
2) Exited money-losing segment in 2024 paving way for cash generation + capital allocation
3) Repaid ~$1.9bn debt (gross) from 2017-1H25
4) Activist investor stepped in as CEO in May 2025 with plans to ramp capital allocation... shareholder friendly comp package (low base + options at $12-16/sh)
5) GoodCo/BadCo setup - BadCo is larger & more profitable, declining 2-3% w/ stable earnings; GoodCo growing 3-4% (see table)
6) FCF (ex-divestiture) ramping from $150m to $200m and now $330m+
7) Early innings capital allocation inflection - buybacks started April 2025, already at 6% of market cap and auth = ~13% of cap
8) Valuation very reasonable = $2.1bn mcap / $3.7bn EV = ~6.5x EBITDA, <8x FCF, <3x leverage
9) Other value levers - captive bank subsidiary (see Harley deal), cost cutting, acquisitions (~hiatus since '22)
Stock is up a bunch recently, but picture is much clearer with divested segment gone... arguably still very early
Hmm...
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$PBI Let me get this straight.
The stock has tripled, and yet Kurt Wolf thinks the turnaround isn't moving fast enough. He abruptly told the CEO and CFO to get out of the car, snagged the keys, and started driving himself. Brought in Paul Evans as CFO.
Market cap sits at $2.1B. Company maintains guidance on $330-370m FCF despite a major hiccup in Presort. They're within striking distance of remedying the problem, after which they're looking to substantially expand the segment's EBIT. There's so much remaining opportunity to drive efficiency and profit that Kurt casually compared the current state of the company to the GEC era. Tons of work to be done, he says. This is the verbiage of someone who sees a path to >$400m FCF in the near future.
Then, $400m buyback authorized, representing ~20% of the float as of May. $130m already executed. At current prices, share count would be reduced to ~150m. Kurt is using all of it. This isn't a matter of debate. The only question is what price the market will let him have, and by the looks of it, everyone is fast asleep. So asleep that Kurt is making it a priority to get more analyst coverage.
The call ends with the CFO admitting that he's looking into whether they can copy/mirror the execution of Harley Davidson's cash-out on their financial services division (!!). Hundreds of millions, apparently $300m+, would be freed up for more buybacks. And, again, Kurt is going to use the money.
Kurt confirms that he deliberately let his 105b-1 plan expire. He could have sold ~2m more shares by now if he wanted to, but stopped the plan dead in its tracks.
They say they're deliberately staying levered around 3.0x. Share repurchases are too attractive to pass up. But opportunistic debt optimization still possible regardless.
And I'm supposed to care about revenue guidance falling $50m?
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$PBI beat earnings estimate by 100%, increased guidance, increased dividend, and announced share buyback
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🚀 With all the recent buzz around Pitney Bowes ($PBI) I wanted to take a trip down memory lane and give those new to the story why I am so confident we are in the early innings here and why I see this at $15+ by year end: @DOMOCAPITAL @crowdturtle @violacapital
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$PBI an absolutely ridiculous amount of calls are being sold today. Looks like mostly Jan 7c/8c and October 10c.
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Replying to @bullsbayretail
$PBI shorts have added 2.7M shares since July... cost basis probably in the $6.50 range now underwater by $2/sh.
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$PBI is simply a private equity situation that is available to public investors.
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$PBI doubles their initial cost savings estimate only 40 days after announcing it. Now $120-160m instead of $60-100m, with nearly $70m already executed.
Get used to Hestia executing swiftly and exceeding the value creation targets they set last year.
businesswire.com/news/home/2…
Lets be clear - @TheRoaringKitty NEVER made stuff up to try to pump $GME. Beware of the bad actors!
Yikes - love $GME but you have to be careful where you get information from. Anyone watching the early @TheRoaringKitty streams with RK and I would know that this information is meaningless without context. The source date on 13-F filings is from the end of March. It's meaningless now and RK's options were almost certainly purchased after March.
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🚨@investvoyager app is now open for withdrawals
Please read the disclosure carefully before withdrawals
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🚨@BinanceUS loses ALL banking access on June 13th!
This is the fraud exchange you pushed on to Voyager creditors?
EPIC FAILURE FOR ALL INVOLVED IN THIS VOYAGER BANKRUPTCY! 🤡
@VoyagerUCC @investvoyager @Kirkland_Ellis @Moelis @FTIConsulting @BRGexpert @McDermottLaw
The SEC has taken to using extremely aggressive and intimidating tactics in its pursuit of an ideological campaign against the American digital asset industry. Binance.US and our business partners have not been spared in the use of these tactics, which has created challenges for the banks with whom we work.
As a result, in an effort to protect our customers and platform, today we are suspending USD deposits and notifying customers that our banking partners are preparing to pause fiat (USD) withdrawal channels as early as June 13, 2023. We encourage customers to take appropriate action with their USD.
Our priority is, and has always been, our customers. We are taking these proactive steps as we–for a time–transition to a crypto-only exchange. To be clear, we maintain 1:1 reserves for all customer assets. Any downtime in processing withdrawals may be the result of elevated volumes and weekend bank closures. Moreover, trading, staking, deposits and withdrawals in crypto remain fully operational.
While we remain open to a productive compromise that enables a thriving digital asset marketplace in America, Binance.US will continue to vigorously defend ourselves, our customers, and industry against the meritless attacks of the SEC.
Our notice to customers:
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🚨Binance US was under control by their Chinese finance team.
ProSe creditors told you this was happening, and you still stood by your “due diligence”! YOU pushed the scam through!
@Kirkland_Ellis , @McDermottLaw, @Moelis, @FTIConsulting, @BRGexpert
@VoyagerUCC @investvoyager


























