Stocks, macro, technicals, derivatives. RTs/Favs not endorsements. Joined in earnest in 2014. @seeitmarket contributor.

Joined March 2009
Non-commercials continue to maintain decent amount of net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures. Cash (7624) reverses hard from Wed high 7770, again losing 50DMA (7700) and ending week right on make-or-break 7600+, which is being tested for over 2 months. Breach probably imminent. $SPY
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Sep margin debt up $26.2bn m/m to $1.48tn, near Jun's record $1.5tn. Investor willingness to take on leverage has provided a big tailwind to the bull market in #stocks. That said, y/y % change in margin debt has decelerated the last four months, which $SPX is yet to catch up to.
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Bulls' failure to capitalize on breakout opportunity on $SPX and $NDX last week probably emboldens the bears. $RUT $TNX hedgopia.com/equity-bulls-in…
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Non-commercials' net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures at 3-week low. Cash (7659) positioned well for possible breakout, but bulls, having already spent a lot of buying power, failed to even save 50DMA. 7600+, which was kind of tested with Fri's low 7632, likely to breach soon. $SPY
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In right circumstances, $SPX and $NDX have room to decisively break out. $RUT $TNX $WTIC hedgopia.com/major-u-s-equit…
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Non-commercials' net longs in #Nasdaq mini futures highest since Jun '17. $NDX, after last Fri's feeble breakout past Jun '26 high, builds on it this week w/ Tue tagging 31361 but only to end week at 30883, for weekly doji and not too far away from Jun high 30762. $QQQ
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Non-commercials raise net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures to 16-week high. Cash (7812) broke out to new intraday high 7845 on Tue, although bulls not quite able to hold on to it. That said, index is positioned well for a clean breakout in sessions to come. $SPY
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Equity bulls Fri hail a lack of job creation last month -- a thesis that cannot be sustained for too long. #Fed $SPX $NDX $RUT $TNX hedgopia.com/equities-cheer-…
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Non-commercials' net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures at 15-week high. Cash (7723) had bulls defending 50DMA (7658) and breakout retest at 7600+, w/ Thu ticking 7617 in a dragonfly doji session. Fri's doji high 7757 had sellers show up at trendline resistance from Jun 2 high. $SPY
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With higher rates continuing to impact sentiment, bulls struggle to cash in on last week's momentum to seal clean breakout on $NDX and $SPX. $RUT $TNX hedgopia.com/equity-bulls-wa…
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Non-commercials, aggressively adding ever since switching to net long #Nasdaq (mini) futures a month ago, have been on right side of trade. This week, both $COMPQ and $NDX finally nudged past June highs. Momentum currently is with tech bulls to build further on this. $QQQ
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Mon gap-up in cash (7743) didn't deter non-commercials from upping net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures to 14-week high. Bulls nevertheless unable to keep Tue high 7782 but did finish week strong. Aug 13 high 7817 1% away; pattern of lower highs from that peak ended this week. $SPY
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Ratio of $VIX to $VXV in oversold territory, unwinding of which likely results in higher VIX and lower $SPX. $SPY
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Major equity indices headed higher near term but have far from priced in a tightening cycle lasting beyond one or two hikes. $VIX $VXV $SPX $RUT $NDX hedgopia.com/equity-bulls-ne…
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