Hodlbec⚡️ (@hodlbec) header
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Dancing in the bluelight.

Earth
Joined January 2011
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Bulls think up only from here, bears think we’re heading back to $30k. Can see a world where in 2026 we trade into the low $60k region only to end the year back at $120k. 2027 is where $200k plus Bitcoin comes into play imo. New Fed chair, mid terms = uncertainty = high vol range
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For all the money spent on technical analysis and macro YouTube… turns out the only signal you needed was a maintence dude 😂
True story… Indian guy just came to replace my water filter & spent 30 mins pitching me Gold. Don’t disagree that it’s repricing higher and that likely continues over the next few years but in terms of signals of near term highs… I put that up there with my taxi driver pitching me crypto.
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True story… Indian guy just came to replace my water filter & spent 30 mins pitching me Gold. Don’t disagree that it’s repricing higher and that likely continues over the next few years but in terms of signals of near term highs… I put that up there with my taxi driver pitching me crypto.
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We’re in a Digital World. Gold booming right now is part of the reset. What I think many are missing is ONCE the reset and collapse finishes and/or the transition is complete WHAT digital financial system will be born.
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The US and Trump is currently doing it’s own version of Brexit. The way the Brits should have done it when they left the EU. We screwed it up totally and look where we landed… Time will tell if the US screws it up or whether they execute it well enough to survive.
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By pocketing the yield they slow real growth. Yield in the hands of consumers = money moving & transacting. Velocity of money matters. Banks stifle that for their own benefit. The Whitehouse wants a booming economy…? They should have a word with the banks not Coinbase.
🚨THE BANKS ARE AT WAR WITH THE PUBLIC🚨 This has nothing to do with crypto safety, market stability, or protecting retail. This is about power, specifically who gets to manufacture yield. For a century, banks have held a monopoly on yield creation. They take zero-cost deposits, lever them into opaque balance sheets, skim the spread, and gatekeep access through regulation written by themselves. Yield is their crown jewel because yield is political power. Whoever controls yield controls savings behavior, capital allocation, and time preference across society. Then you introduce a dollar that can move at internet speed, settle instantly, and soon pay yield directly to the holder. You never have to walk into a branch and see a banker. That is an extinction-level event for legacy banking. If stablecoins pay even 4 to 6 percent natively, banks lose the ability to underpay deposits. If stablecoins pay 8 to 10 percent through on-chain credit markets or Bitcoin-backed structures, banks lose the entire retail funding base. Deposits would flee. Net interest margins collapse. Balance sheets shrink. Political leverage evaporates. So the response is predictable. Banks do not argue against stablecoins directly. That would reveal the game. Instead they demand “yield agreements.” Translation for that is "let us sit in the middle". Let us tax the yield. Let us repackage it. Let us preserve the illusion that finance requires licensed intermediaries to function. The bill exists to modernize crypto only insofar as crypto agrees to behave like a bank without threatening banks. Yield is the red line. Because once people experience native yield on digital dollars, they will never accept 0.1 percent again. Once capital can earn real return without permission, the entire structure of financial repression collapses. Pension games. Deficit monetization. Forced risk-taking. All of it becomes visible overnight. This is why stablecoin yield is treated as radioactive. Because it is catastrophic to entrenched power. And that is the quiet war underneath every “market structure” headline.
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Bitcoin is in a bear market. But not the bear markets we’re familiar with.
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That last line is as dictator like as it gets. Look I’m a fan of the republicans but you can’t ignore that.
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Markets are unpredictable. Markets punish certainty. Yet Crypto Twitter believes a 4-year cycle is a law of nature even as the most incentive-driven, narrative-bending players in history (Wall Street) enter the arena. Sure. Nothing will change.
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Bears are not prepared for Bitcoin nearing the end of a wave 4 correction that started after wave 3 topped in Jan 2025… The larger Elliot Wave count that started in 2018 and likely ends in 2026/27. The fuel? A massive short squeeze as they try to short $100k with reg clarity.
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Ignoring every single Bitcoin bull and raging bear. Literally there are two max three accounts that are worth following and learning about how markets work. @Globalflows is right up there.
This quoted post is unavailable.
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Never thought I’d say it but I’ll open a nice chunky short on $BTC around the $100k mark. Looks like simplest trade to take given the state of the market and the probability of us heading towards the 200 WMA in 2026.
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Bear bull bear bull bear bull bear bull… Bitcoin simply rebounding on trader noise, nothing looks bullish or bearish at this stage. Simply put, it’s chop until the market decides its direction. IMO IF Bitcoin is going to hold bull structure it will impulse hard randomly but from my perspective that’s not likely before late December and most likely not before Jan/Feb 2026. IF it’s not then it will breakdown hard from the lows to the $76k region. And by the time it’s capitulated, the bear will be mostly done price wise leaving us with lengthy time based consolidation to form a bottom somewhere between $50k to $65k.
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Get the sense that we’re in for some whip lash the next couple of weeks… $76k to $89k range wouldn’t be surprising while the market decides whether it wants lower or higher for 2026 H1
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This is the last desperate step before a country collapses.
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It’s a just a matter of time before Bitcoin breaks $100k imo… how deep and what the reaction is once it does shall be the signal for what comes after.
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If you’re a LTH and have plenty of Bitcoin then this is exactly what you’d do. Not on the whole stack but on a large part. Onchain would simply show LTH selling. @_Checkmatey_
Some Bitcoin whales are doing custom creations of $IBIT (trading in their physical Bitcoin for shares of the ETF) for a variety of benefits after discovering TradFi has its perks. BlackRock has done $3b of these. These are called portfolio trades and popular in bond land. Great piece on it from @emily_graffeo
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When different assets draw the same triangle, they’re telling the same story if they break up. BTC/Gold = repricing of trust in money without intermediaries LINK/USD = repricing of trust in data without intermediaries. Seeing how the world is today… would you bet against?
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Case and point that the permabulls are constantly wrong
Replying to @TechDev_52
Let’s subtract USDT & USDC and paint the real picture which suggests it could coil for another 9 months. Looks like a range that doesn’t have to breakout either and could comfortable come back to the mid range without breaking HTF structure which would extend it more.
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“It’s so good that they will required ID to view it soon” My copywriters response sums it up 👏🏼 @coinbase
If everything is fine, then don’t change anything at all. But when the financial system isn’t working for so many people in the UK, it needs to be updated.
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