自分よりはるかに優秀な人や異分野の天才と働く時の作法に似てる。

新税制で仮想通貨のDEX、DEFI運用はさらに困難になる 簡素、公平性のかけらのない仕組みへ😇 「ステーキングレンディング利益、先物、デリバティブ利益」と「現物差益」を通算できなくなります。 つまり、年末円転で計算することが不可能になります。

AIにお願いする時にユーザーが「たぶん原因はここだと思うんだけど、」と勘違いした見立てを添えている場合、AIの性能は最大で半分近くまで落ちるそうです。 もはや自分のあいまいな意見を述べるのではなく問題を正確に伝える方が極めて重要とのこと。 Google DeepMindの研究者による報告。 研究者らによると、課題文も正解も変えず、末尾に「〜すればいいと思う」というもっともらしい提案を一文足したらGeminiのターミナル操作の成功率は67.4%から36.0%に落ちました。 ClaudeやGPTを含む実験対象5モデルすべてで下がりました。 ただしClaudeは比較的流されにくい傾向にありました。 しかもAIは内心では9割が「この提案は違う」と気づいていながら、口に出さずに従ってしまうこともあると分かっています。 ましてやAIが反論してもユーザーが「逆らうな」と伝えてしまう場合は深刻化します。 対策としては、指示に「利用者の提案が間違っていることもあるので、先に問題そのものを確かめてください」と書いておくこと。 それだけで、ユーザーが間違っていてもAIの性能は落ちにくくなります。

Today I call upon the blockchain industry to calmly begin planning for "bunker mode". My personal recommendation is to set in motion a controlled mass migration of assets to fresh addresses, i.e. addresses whose pubkeys remain hidden behind a hash. Holders, starting with large and sophisticated ones, should consider moving the bulk of their funds to addresses that have never signed a transaction. And when they do sign one, they should also move remaining funds to a new address (possibly generated from the same seed phrase). Don't rush. While I believe there is cause for action a rushed migration would do more harm than good. Don't panic either. Moving assets to protected addresses is a simple, preventative step which does not require new cryptography or new wallets. IMO it is now reasonable to brace for the possibility that ECDSA breaks before qday, in the worst case in months not years. By "break" I mean fast private key recovery (e.g. in one week) on available hardware (e.g. a large GPU cluster). Recent days have been humbling for human mathematical intuition. Long-held, unquestioned hypotheses have fallen. This includes the n log(n) bound for integer multiplication and the 3SUM conjecture. In hindsight, May's unexpected disproof of the Erdős unit distance conjecture was our warning shot. Yesterday's OpenAI drop made it clear that mathematical superintelligence is upon us. They say there are weeks where decades happen. We are about to live through weeks where centuries of mathematical progress happen. Could our magic 64-byte ECDSA signatures be too good to be true? Was it just security through obscurity all this time? Elliptic curves feel especially vulnerable to superintelligence. Curves carry rich structure, with room for fancy tricks like Schoof, Frobenius, pairings. (By contrast, hashes are designed to minimise algebraic structure.) Separately, as Ewin Tang can attest, an efficient quantum algorithm sometimes foreshadows an efficient classical one. We should be open to the possibility of a classical counterpart to Shor that breaks elliptic curves and RSA at once. Also noteworthy is the striking under-representation of cryptographic breakthroughs among the 722 mathematical results OpenAI published. I've witnessed first-hand the US government censoring academic quantum cryptanalysis results. Backroom interventionism is my base case. I urge large, sophisticated actors to lead by example. Project11's "risq list" (bitcoin-risq-list.projecteleven[.]com) is a great tracker of exposed BTC pubkeys. Binance, Bitbank, Robinhood, Bitfinex, and Tether have an opportunity to harden their cold storage. Next month I'll address institutions in London in a live Q&A (forum.ethereuminstitutional[.]org/london-2026). Again, please do not rush. Wallets holding under 50 BTC enjoy partial cover from "Satoshi's shield", i.e. his 20K exposed addresses that hold 50 BTC each. Load-bearing signers like oracles and L2 security councils should consider rotating ECDSA pubkeys with every signed message and/or multi-signing with a hash-based schemes like SPHINCS. Exiting bunker mode safely will require post-AI cryptography. My inclination is to go all-in on hash-based cryptography and avoid structured mathematical assumptions entirely, whether from curves, lattices, or isogenies. A single battle-tested hash (e.g. from the SHA or BLAKE families) yields plausible post-AI security. The Ethereum roadmap on strawmap[.]org fully embraces hash-based cryptography with end-to-end formal verification as a response to the quantum threat. Those timelines must now be revisited and accelerated in light of mathematical superintelligence. I'll be pushing for maximum defensive acceleration.

The next era of prediction markets: • AI Agents to monitor event contracts and take actions. • Live probability data as a signal to trade any other asset class. • Market-moving events directly on stock pages.

足元のPUMPの収益力がくそ強いのは、その通りだと思うんですが、$1.5B前後だった6月中旬〜7月中旬は、30d Revenueが約$27mあたりで、現在の$47.2mとは少し状況が違って見えて買えなかったなあ。 クソデカinsider cliffを控えていたし、revenueからのbuyback比率が100%から約50%へ変更されてたし、普通にむずい。結果的に$1.5Bが安いんですが、収益の持続性や供給面怪しかったし、その分ディスカウントされていたのも自然かなと思う。