ISCB45

5/5 Based on mathematical modelling, it is estimated that the proportion of the Greek population that was infected between mid February-end of April did not exceed 0.26%. Recent data from seroprevalence surveys in adults (blood donors, residual sera) corroborate this finding.

4/5 The reduction in R0 attributed to multiple social distancing measures implemented simultaneously was 81·0% (95%CrI: 71·8%, 86·0%). The reduction attributed to each measure separately (reduction of contacts at work, school, leisure activities) ranged between 10%-24%.

3/5 The effective reproduction number reached 0.46 (95% CrI: 0.35,0.57) during lockdown.

2/5 This was assessed using a social contacts survey in a sample of children and adults. The decline is similar to that estimated in two other surveys in China (science.sciencemag.org/conte…) and UK (adults only in UK) (bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.co…)

Main points presented in our preprint medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/… on the #COVID19 first epidemic wave in #Greece @VanaSypsa @dparask69 @STsiodras: 1/5During lockdown, the number of daily contacts was reduced by 86.9% as compared to pre-pandemic