PΞPΞ SILVIA retweeted
Fortunately, I have 35 years of experience in biomedical research (anyone is welcome to check my scientific record), and I have been saying the same thing for years. I completely agree with Demis: we will cure all diseases within 10 years AND reverse aging in approximately 15 years!
I realize I am an exception among my colleagues, but what I find truly messed up is denying people, whether sick or healthy, this very real hope for the future.
Let me explain the main reason why even brilliant scientists and experts struggle to imagine how this could possibly happen. It comes down to extreme cognitive dissonance and the enormous ego of human intelligence: if WE cannot achieve something, we find it inconceivable that MACHINE intelligence could. In fact, the smarter people are, the harder it often becomes for them to accept this possibility, and the more elaborate their coping mechanisms become.
Top mathematicians have just lived through this realization, and physicists will be experiencing it soon.
Yet biologists somehow feel more secure. Not because they are smarter, but because biological systems are vastly more complex. After centuries of research by some of the greatest minds in human history, the idea that AI could solve problems in biology that have eluded us for so long, and do so within just a decade or two, seems utterly inconceivable to them.
Well, they will find out soon enough!
As someone who understands biology deeply, I know that its complexity is not insurmountable. Yes biology IS extraordinarily complex, but it is ultimately a system governed by physical laws and principles that can be decoded, which we have been doing albeit very slowly. Achieving this in a decade will require superintelligence, vastly greater computational power, and enormous amounts of biological data. That is why I believe it will take a decade or two, compared with mathematics and physics, where AI is already making extraordinary progress at a much faster pace.
The fundamental mistake is assuming that the limits of human intelligence are also the limits of intelligence itself. We have spent centuries trying to understand biology with human brains, same substrate it is made of. We are about to bring an entirely different level of intelligence to the problem, one that will eventually surpass the collective intellectual capabilities of all scientists who have ever lived.
As such, I stand 100% behind Demis and others, including Dario Amodei, who have made similar predictions.
Mark my words: the coming revolution in biology and medicine will be unlike anything humanity has ever experienced!
When Demis Hassabis talks about curing all diseases within 10 years, @dawallach says scientists who have spent decades studying these problems aren't necessarily buying it.
"When [scientists] hear AI people say smart things, they go, 'Cool, yeah, let's run it.' Everyone respects Demis."
"But when Demis says we're gonna cure all diseases in 10 years, I think people who have two PhDs and have been doing this for 40 years go, 'Come on, man.'"
"You're giving a sort of false hope to a lot of people who are legitimately out there suffering or have a loved one who's on death's doorstep. That's a little messed up."


