@johnmsides

Professor of political science at Vanderbilt University. Publisher of @goodauth. Co-author of THE BITTER END (https://xitter.cf/t.co/S984rgq1Yq?…).

 Nashville TN
johnsides.org/
Joined June 2018
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  • Following1K
  • Followers8.8K
271Media
John Sides retweeted
Good Authority@goodauthOct 22
There is an epidemic of partisan wishful thinking. More and more people expect their party to win. Is that a problem? Read the latest from @johnmsides: goodauthority.org/news/the-e…

The epidemic of partisan wishful thinking

Most people now expect their party to win. Here's why those expectations can be harmful for U.S. democracy.

goodauthority.org
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John Sides retweeted
Gary King@kinggaryOct 16
New 2026 US House & Senate election forecasts, using all political science knowledge we could systematize, & our statistical methods from “If a Statistical Model Predicts That Common Events Should Occur Only Once in 10,000 Elections, Maybe It’s the Wrong Model” with @DannyCEbanks and @Jonathan_N_Katz. GaryKing.org/electit We make these forecasts available (including all the input data, methods, and procedures), not only for their possible public interest, but because academics learn by making themselves vulnerable to being proven wrong. We will make no changes to our post-primary forecasts (which do not use polls) but will update two other sets on this site incorporating poll results as new ones appear. Comments on the paper or forecasts are welcome!

ElectIt: forecasts for all US House and Senate seats in the 11/3/2026 election

By Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King. We make these forecasts (including all data, methods, and procedures) public because academics learn by making themselves vulnerable to being proven...

gking.harvard.edu
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It looks like every political science degree program will meet the education department threshold theheagroup.com/blog/earning…
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My book, "The Fog of Accountability: How Institutions Keep Voters from Holding Their Local Governments Accountable," is here! I hope you'll grab a copy if you're interested in cities 🏙️, elections 🗳️, and how we can make them better 📚📦 amazon.com/Fog-Accountabilit…

The Fog of Accountability: How Institutions Keep Voters from Holding Their Local Governments...

The Fog of Accountability: How Institutions Keep Voters from Holding Their Local Governments Accountable (Chicago Studies in American Politics)

amazon.com
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John Sides retweeted
Good Authority@goodauthSep 23
Does vote buying even work? Trump offered every American $5,000. But it might not help Republicans in November. Read the latest from @johnmsides & Kenneth Greene: goodauthority.org/news/does-…

Does vote buying even work?

Donald Trump's $5,000 midterm pledge raises a critical question: Can politicians actually buy votes effectively? Research by Kenneth Greene explains the big flaws in this approach.

goodauthority.org
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John Sides retweeted
Good Authority@goodauthSep 17
Mexico’s cartels rule alongside government institutions. Here's how. Read the latest: goodauthority.org/news/how-m…

How Mexico’s cartels rule alongside government institutions

Research in Michoacán shows how criminal groups survive leadership turnovers, expand into new markets, and retain power.

goodauthority.org
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John Sides retweeted
Good Authority@goodauthSep 16
Inflation anxiety looks very different than two years ago. Republicans tend to “cheer louder and boo harder” in their evaluations of economic conditions. Ready the latest: goodauthority.org/news/infla…

Inflation anxiety looks very different than two years ago

See how Democrats and Republicans have now flipped their concerns about inflation.

goodauthority.org
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New paper with @johnmmurph just conditionally accepted at @apsrjournal: Can people guess how majorities of each party in Congress voted on bills? Mostly yes. Can they guess how their own representatives voted on bills, above what is accounted for by party? Mostly no. 🧵
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John Sides retweeted
Good Authority@goodauthAug 21
What is important to being truly American? A new survey shows how people’s views of American identity are changing. Read the latest from @johnmsides. goodauthority.org/news/what-…

What is important to being truly American

A new survey shows how people’s views of American identity are changing.

goodauthority.org
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John Sides retweeted
Good Authority@goodauthAug 13
How do people decide who’s deserving in politics? A lot of it comes down to partisanship. Read the latest by @johnmsides: goodauthority.org/news/how-p…

How people decide who’s deserving in politics

It turns out we're more likely to support policies that benefit people we assume share our political views.

goodauthority.org
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we have an op-ed out in today's @nytimes print edition that comes out of the work that we have done for our book project American Mosaic. the book shows how half of Americans' adhere to identity politics while the other half, the Mosaic Middle, do not. 🧵
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The Vicious Cycle of SEO @lilyraynyc named—spam, spam updates, repeat—has an off-ramp. In my new case study at @sengineland I show how being explicit about topical authority via entity schema and internal links protected SEL from a traffic decline. searchengineland.com/guide/t…

Topical authority, declared: How Search Engine Land bucked the editorial traffic decline

Can entity SEO transform publisher performance? See how Search Engine Land increased organic visibility and AI Overview citations using topical authority and Knowledge Graph optimization.

searchengineland.com
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in my newest @goodauth post, I adjust the approval ratings for statewide politicians to see what they would look like if those states had the same partisan balance as the country as a whole. @AndyBeshearKY stands out even more with these adjusted ratings
Good Authority@goodauthJun 23
Not all popular state politicians are created equal. Andy Beshear stands out for being remarkably popular given the politics of Kentucky. Read the latest from @b_schaffner : goodauthority.org/news/not-a…

Not all popular state politicians are created equal

Think you know the 2028 frontrunners? A deeper look at current approval ratings reveals some surprises about the presidential race contenders.

goodauthority.org
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John Sides retweeted
Dan Hopkins@dhopkins1776May 21
Per the @PhillyInquirer, the Israeli-Palestinian issue loomed large in Tuesday's PA-3 primary. Does that mean that it is a top priority for Democrats or Democratic activists? I use @YouGovAmerica data to show the answer is "no" in a new piece for @goodauth (link in the reply).
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On April 10th, CEL Co-Director Alan Wiseman, PhD, was a keynote speaker at CIVICS CON, a civics convention in Midwest City, Oklahoma. There, he presented on effective lawmaking in state legislatures, with a focus on Oklahoma.
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earlier this month @TuftsUniversity senior Miles Kendrick and I fielded a survey with @YouGovAmerica to better understand what acts people think are political violence. there are some points of agreement & some clear differences of opinion. link to our @goodauth write-up below
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Structural model suggests the key is a Political Science PhD running things. But the PhD is from Rochester so no one cares about estimating the reduced form.
Bloomberg
@businessApr 8
Vanderbilt University accepted 2.9% of regular-decision applicants looking to enroll in the freshman class next fall, signaling that one of the most selective colleges in the US has become even more competitive bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Vanderbilt Acceptance Rate Drops to 2.9% for Regular Decision Hopefuls

Vanderbilt University accepted 2.9% of regular-decision applicants looking to enroll in the freshman class next fall, signaling that one of the most selective colleges in the US has become even more...

bloomberg.com
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See chart & explanation from economist.com/united-states/….
John Sides@johnmsidesMar 30
Once you account for education and income simultaneously, wealthier people are more likely to be *Republican* in almost every education group.
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Trying my hand at the delicate genre of accessible, opinionated prognostication by launching a Substack. First up: deception, delegation, and what opinion research might look like in the not-too-distant future. newinstruments.substack.com/…
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there's a new comprehensive report out from @YouGovAmerica using CES data to plot trends in partisanship over the past two decades. i've got a piece up today in @goodauth summarizing some key findings. links to both in the reply!
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