Pinned Tweet
Elvira Bary @ElviraBary’s channel is a must
And this is one of her best
My dream is to hear her in conversation with @VladVexler one day.
But if you see any, watch this one
ⓘ jseths retweeted
She’s more than just a disgruntled employee. She was Melania’s right hand. She helped plan the inauguration and was accused of “mismanaging “money that was most likely stolen by the trump campaign. MAGA wants you all to forget so they are called her a disgruntled employee
ⓘ jseths retweeted
The pilots on this private jet were on the radio with air traffic control while it fell from higher than Mount Everest to a Florida street in about 80 seconds. You can hear them realize they aren't going to make it.
Their trouble started right after a request that sounds totally reasonable. They asked to fly higher.
This was a Learjet 60 carrying nine people from Austin to the Bahamas, a little over two hours into the trip. When they checked in with Miami Center at 35,000 feet, they were getting bounced around hard enough to swing their altitude 600 to 700 feet. They also had a thin layer of clear ice on the plane that the pilot called manageable. It was minus 47 Celsius outside. Then it started precipitating, so they asked to climb to 37,000 to get out of it, and Miami said okay.
Climbing out of bad weather is standard stuff for pilots, and up that high it comes with a catch most of us have never heard of. The air is so thin that a jet has a weirdly small window of speeds it can safely fly. Go too slow and the wings stop holding it up, and if you go too fast, shockwaves start forming on the wings. Every thousand feet you climb, those two limits squeeze a little closer together. Pilots literally call the spot where they meet the coffin corner.
A Learjet 60 normally cruises right around Mach 0.76, and its limit is 0.81. So even on a calm day it's flying pretty close to the edge, and turbulence knocks your airspeed up and down inside that window.
Within seconds of starting the climb, the tracking data shows their groundspeed jumping from 437 to 505 knots as the jet started falling at almost 20,000 feet per minute. The pilot's mayday said the same thing. "We are in an overspeed condition, descending 20,000 feet per minute." Another call said they were banking.
When you get those two at once, things get ugly fast. Once a jet blows past its speed limit, the wing can start pushing the nose down by itself, which adds speed, which pushes the nose down even harder. If the wings are tilted on top of that, the lift that normally holds the nose up is pointing off to the side. The nose keeps dropping and the plane winds into a spiral. Your gut tells you to pull back on the controls, and with the wings banked that mostly just tightens the spiral. You're supposed to level the wings first and only then pull up. Now try doing that inside a cloud where you can't see the horizon while the overspeed alarm is going off.
By 12:49 Eastern they were down to 8,750 feet and dropping more than 32,000 feet per minute. That works out to about 360 miles an hour, straight down. At that speed the last 8,750 feet goes by in around 16 seconds.
The dashcam video shows the jet coming in nearly vertical over Military Trail, with cars still driving on the road under it. It hit right next to a mobile home park. About 600 people who live there are being moved out, and officials say nobody on the ground was hurt, which is honestly hard to believe when you watch that fireball.
The NTSB will probably take a year or more to officially say what caused this. The last thing on the radio was the controller repeating their tail number, November seven two two Bravo Delta, over and over, with nobody left to answer.
ⓘ jseths retweeted
Probably the best explanation of what happened that I can find. RIP.
Im in Aerospace, just my perspective.. about todays plane crash in Florida.
Icing and moderate turbulence lead to a phenomenon called Mach tuck. It is common in Learjet 60’s and older Learjet’s. Essentially, you exceed the maximum airspeed at altitude and it is unrecoverable to the point that you continue to speed up while not being able to produce lift with your wings.
Further description: your coefficient of lift eventually moves too far behind the wing making it impossible to produce lift, this causes the aircraft to lose altitude like a falling dart, in turn gaining airspeed and crashing.
All Pilots are aware of this, some just push too close to the maximum speed threshold, and when you experience clear air turbulence or other factors like icing that would push you too far past the maximum speed threshold without the capability to control the wing normally, this happens.
Long story short...icing changes the shape of the wing critically and adds weight to plane (double whammy, but mainly airflow issue over the wing), Learjets are vulnerable to over speed situations because of the type of wing is small, sleek, and unforgiving in the name of efficiency and performance, mix all of that together with moderate turbulence which can fluctuate your airspeed, this causes the aircraft to enter Mach tuck over speed condition. The result is a lawn dart scenario that you see here. Very sad.
ⓘ jseths retweeted
Trump's reaction to the midterms will be unhinged - some notes with broader historical context
(1) Trump's brain is not in a good way. (a) His narcissistic personality disorder, impulsivity and rigidity are all getting worse with age. (b) He is going to hate the "fake" mid terms result, especially if the Democrats take the Senate. (c) Trump is going to hate the formal beginning of his lame duck period.
(2) Trump is in a political bind - because he represents the buffoonish 1.0 wave of post-truth authoritarianism. After his first term, he realised he needed to build a revolutionary elite around him. As the vandalism of his second term shows, he accomplished this to a degree. But he couldn't do it properly - the way an Orban or a Putin may have done. He failed to cultivate an elite capable of substance beyond theatrics, animated by a coherent political vision. He also failed to reform the Republican party - it is emaciated, but not remade in the image of any new political project.
(3) There cannot be Trumpism 2.0. Trumpism was always going to collapse, and it will not be possible to substantively call what comes after it "Trumpism 2.0". Rather, it will be the next post-Trump wave of authoritarian populism.
(4) The Republican party cannot return to "normal". The social fabric for this no longer exists. Economic, political, cultural and social forces mean that the desire to revert to a Reagenite or Bushite "normal" a fantasy.
(5) The Democratic party cannot return to normal either - technocratic centrism, partly a cause of Trumpism, is now a politics of the past.
(6) It is however possible that a centrist Democrat or, less likely, an old school Republican, is elected as president in 2028. However, this would accelerate the demise of these politics. Biden himself was a product of unconsummated progressive momentum - contingently propelled to the presidency by the selection process. It is still possible he was not the last one.
(7) What will follow Trumpism on the right will be a more disciplined and strategic authoritarian populism 2.0. What will follow on the Democrat side is regrettably still unknown. What is needed is a progressive project that is big on solidarity over identity politics, tough on the border, and committed to taking on gross economic exclusion and re-establishing a dignity of labour.
(8) Geopolitically, Trump will want to escalate in Iran after the mid terms. However, whether he extends the escalation to large scale attacks on civilian infrastructure and assassinations is uncertain. It is worth noting that Trump is able to recognise strength - we have seen him get bullied by Russia and China. He is beginning to perceive Iran's unwillingness and inability to give him what he wants as a kind of strength.
On Ukraine, Trump will carry on lashing out at Zelensky, and will think more urgently about deals he can make with Putin that will benefit him once he is out of the White House. - a younger Trump would be doing everything to stay in the White House beyond his term; this Trump does not have the energy or concentration to focus on this task properly.
(9) Behind all these points, is a progressing decline in citizen trust. I've spoken about this at length, so here I will add only one detail. Citizens find the 'might is right' neoliberalism of political and economic elites sickening. Are the new elites really that different? The answer is yes, it two ways. First, 'might is right' politics now takes up - let's be rough - 90% and not 60% of elite horizon. Two, this horizon has not be ideologised. For instance, a new kind of might is right worldview now obtains among many billionaires. As Nietzsche would say, if there is anything worse than a very bad thing, it is justifying it at the level of principle.
ⓘ jseths retweeted
I'm no fan of Stephen Bartlett, but I think it's actually good that he is exposing his audience to Zelensky and Sarah Paine. It is unlikely to herald any change, but it does make a change from the credulous repetition of Russian propaganda that you usually see in that ecosystem.
ⓘ jseths retweeted
Has anyone had a track record of consistently cultivating and producing worse talent than The Young Turks?
It's like a "who's who" of the dumbest people in media.
ⓘ jseths retweeted
You will be shocked, shocked to discover that Russia's Storm-1516 influence operation has MAGA accounts, some of which have now been suspended by X. Others are still active, with a collective 2.7 million followers. See David's thread below. More on Storm-1516 and its role in Russian election interference in the U.S. in 2024: blogs.microsoft.com/on-the-i…
A ce jour, j'ai pu identifier en sources ouvertes 27 comptes d'influenceurs Maga affiliés à Storm-1516 qui ont primo-diffusé du contenu ciblant la France depuis juin 2026, et 1/3 de ces comptes ont été suspendus hier par X. Il ne faut pas perdre de vue que ce que l'on appelle en France "Magasphère" est bien souvent, et de longue date, une "Poutinosphère".
ⓘ jseths retweeted
We will now be supplying Russia with parts for the jets they stole.
The United States has lifted restrictions on the Boeing Corporation’s engagement with the Belarusian national airline, Belavia -Igor Cherginets, Director General of Belavia, as reported by the news agency BelTA.
The U.S. Department of Commerce has granted Boeing authorization to work with the Belarusian airline. "This will allow Belavia to directly obtain spare parts, components, and software for the aircraft currently in its fleet. Furthermore, it paves the way for negotiations regarding the direct acquisition of aircraft from Boeing. It is worth noting that a similar authorization had previously been issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, which provided the technical framework for direct cooperation between Belavia and Boeing. A year ago, the U.S. government issued an authorization that removed all sanctions—specifically political sanctions—against Belavia," the airline’s Director General stated.
ⓘ jseths retweeted
🇺🇦 UKRAINE STRIKES BACK! MOSCOW UNDER MASSIVE DRONE ATTACK, EXPLOSIONS REPORTED ACROSS RUSSIA!
Following Russia’s devastating strikes on Kyiv, Ukraine has reportedly launched a large-scale wave of drones and missiles against targets deep inside Russian territory.
Moscow is facing hours of aerial alerts, explosions, and unprecedented security measures.
According to Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, at least 17 drones were intercepted while approaching the Russian capital.
All four major Moscow airports — Sheremetyevo, Vnukovo, Domodedovo, and Zhukovsky — reportedly suspended flights. Russian media reported 117 delayed flights, while passengers at Sheremetyevo were directed to safer areas.
Videos circulating online show additional security measures near the Kremlin, including mobile air-defense teams and Pantsir systems positioned around sensitive locations.
Russian reports also describe unusual aerial objects approaching Moscow, including balloons allegedly carrying explosive devices or smaller drones. These claims remain unverified.
Meanwhile, employees were reportedly evacuated from the IQ Quarter tower in Moscow City, which houses several Russian government agencies.
But Moscow is not the only target.
In Oryol, Ukrainian forces reportedly struck the Proton electronics plant, a facility involved in manufacturing components used in Russian military equipment.
Its products reportedly support systems associated with Iskander-M ballistic missiles, Pantsir-S1 air-defense systems, and other Russian weapons.
Local reports described multiple explosions followed by a fire. The extent of the damage remains unclear.
Another reported target was Russia’s 75th Main Missile and Artillery Directorate arsenal near Serpukhov in the Moscow region.
The facility is associated with the storage and maintenance of Russian air-defense equipment, including Buk and S-300 systems.
Several explosions were reported, with preliminary claims suggesting damage to a workshop inside the military complex.
There were also reports of a strike on a Federal Tax Service data center in Gorodets, Nizhny Novgorod region, although the extent of any damage has not been independently established.
Russia's war is increasingly reaching locations far from the Ukrainian battlefield.
For years, Moscow has launched missiles and drones against Ukrainian cities, homes, energy infrastructure, and civilian facilities.
Now Russian authorities are confronting the security and economic consequences of attacks deep inside their own territory.
Airport shutdowns, emergency deployments, evacuations, and threats to military-industrial infrastructure demonstrate how long-range warfare can disrupt even heavily defended regions.
Ukraine's ability to challenge Russian military infrastructure far from the front line has become an important dimension of the war.
However, reports of destroyed air-defense bases, major strategic damage, and panic inside the Kremlin still require independent confirmation.
One thing is clear: the war Russia brought to Ukraine continues to reshape the security situation inside Russia itself.
And the full consequences of these reported strikes are still emerging.
ⓘ jseths retweeted
If you haven’t had a chance to watch President Zelenskyy’s interview with Steven Bartlett yet, please at least watch this part about Bucha. 💔
Full interview: youtu.be/5x9dkYIRb58
ⓘ jseths retweeted
The jokes about Trump giving Alaska back to Russia can't keep up with reality...
This is the kind of deal the Democrats need to investigate immediately if they take Congress. An oil deal in Alaska which actually might be a gift to the Russians with Trump involvement. ft.com/content/e9cfbfbb-e65a…
ⓘ jseths retweeted
US energy company execs have resigned in disgust as the Trump family is caught secretly expediting the funneling of $25 billion from a sanctioned Russian energy giant in exchange for allowing Russians to obtain a natural gas project in Alaska.
According to investigations by The New York Times and Financial Times, Russia's Novatek allegedly concealed its financial involvement in the American project through a UAE-linked intermediary.
Gentry Beach, a longtime Trump ally and close friend of Donald Trump Jr., signed an agreement with Novatek to pursue natural gas development in Alaska. Reuters documented the arrangement in February.
Meanwhile, Vladimir Putin discussed this cooperation on the Alaska energy project with Trump's representatives, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, during negotiations involving Russia and Ukraine.
The controversy deepened when Polar Train LNG's CEO, Joel Riddle, raised concerns about concealed Russian financing and possible sanctions violations. He departed in September, followed by other senior executives.
The Financial Times also described discussions about a potential arrangement under which Novatek would provide technology for the Alaska project in exchange for sanctions relief benefiting its Arctic LNG 2 development in Siberia.
According to The New York Times, Riddle and two other departing executives warned the Trump administration about the Russian financing and urged officials to investigate.
The White House maintains that the project was mentioned only briefly and that no detailed discussions took place. There is no established evidence that Kushner or Witkoff knew about the allegedly concealed financing. Polar Train LNG denies wrongdoing.
The central question is how a sanctioned Russian energy company became involved in a major American energy venture while Putin was discussing potential economic cooperation with Trump's representatives and a longtime Trump family associate was pursuing a separate agreement with the same Russian company.
Selling Alaska to the Russians or selling Ukraine to the Russians - to the Trump family it's all the same.
ft.com/content/e9cfbfbb-e65a…
