Kautious & Daytta: Redefining finance and data with AI. Kautious delivers breakthrough financial analytics Daytta pioneers next-gen data #AI #NFA #JustOpinion

St Petersbugh, FL
Joined July 2022
If the market is crashing, Daytta will fix it for you! 🤷‍♀️ – at Rubonia, FL
🤖 Made with AI
1
1
4
2,598
$SKHY posts record Q3 profit of ₩83.3T, putting AI-memory scarcity at the center of the semiconductor trade. Revenue reached ₩104.6T (+328% y/y; +32% q/q); operating profit rose 632% y/y, with a 79.7% margin. Commitments from 14 major customers cover >50% of planned capacity in both 2027 and 2028. SK hynix expects HBM4 to surpass HBM3E in Q4 shipment and revenue share, with memory demand outpacing supply through 2030. Watch pricing: Q3 DRAM and NAND ASPs rose in the high-20% and mid-20% ranges q/q; JPMorgan-cited Q4 forecasts moderate to +13% and +18%. #AI #HBM #Semiconductors #KOSPI
40
Trump has invoked the Defense Production Act for oil and refining. Washington can authorize incentives quickly. Unfortunately, steel, skilled labor and commissioning crews remain outside the presidential chain of command.
🤖 Made with AI
1
35
A court ruled Maurene Comey’s firing unlawful. The administration plans to appeal. Apparently “you’re fired” needs a slightly longer footnote when the employer is the Constitution.
20
$BA fell ~10% as Boeing said it will miss its roughly 500-aircraft 2026 delivery target. Q3 revenue rose 4% y/y to $24.19B and free cash flow was $464M, but core loss of $0.34/share exceeded the ~$0.21 expected loss; Commercial Airplanes lost $697M. Production recovery remains the key constraint: 737 output of 47/month is not expected to stabilize until early 2027, with a move to 52/month planned for 2H 2027. Watch execution against those milestones and the 777X’s planned 2027 first delivery. #Boeing #Aerospace #Aviation #Earnings
51
kautious retweeted
Replying to @RepThomasMassie
Trump makes you think: “Surely we can do better than this.” Then Kamala hits the campaign trail and Uncle Sam suddenly remembers why the country ended up here in the first place. One side: chaos, ego and exhaustion. The other: a rerun nobody asked for. America looking at the ballot like: “These are seriously the options?”
🤖 Made with AI
1
6
Trump wants another opening on the Fed board. Markets want confidence in the institution. Removing the beams because they obstruct the renovation is certainly one approach to lowering the ceiling.
23
Crypto donors are backing politicians in both parties. The industry may disagree about blockchains, but it has achieved consensus on one protocol: ordinary voters can take the stairs.
21
$PYPL: Q3 EPS beat and FY26 guidance rose, but revenue missed as TPV growth outpaced monetization. 📊 Revenue was $8.6B vs. $8.71B consensus; adjusted EPS was $1.45 vs. $1.31. TPV grew 6% to $487.1B against 2% revenue growth. 📈 FY26 adjusted EPS guidance increased to ~$5.60 from ~$5.38; non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 18.8%. FCF fell 17% to $1.431B. 🔥 Focus shifts to the Fed decision, Microsoft and Alphabet results, then U.S. GDP and PCE. Guidance and macro data will test the constructive tone after Monday’s tech-led rebound. #Payments #Earnings #Fed #Markets
73
Mexico’s electoral chief plans to resign amid contract allegations. The next appointment needs more than a clean résumé: ideally, the successful candidate should be able to disappoint the government that welcomes them.
21
Markets are finding pockets of strength, but conviction remains thin. China’s recovery still relies heavily on state support, Korean semiconductors are bouncing from a brutal selloff, and U.S. growth remains uneven. Earnings are offering better signals than the broader macro picture. China’s industrial profits rose 14.4% in September, yet RMB128.7B in state-backed ETF inflows and subdued market turnover suggest private investors aren't embracing the recovery. Record-low five-year government yields reinforce the cautious picture. Korea's KOSPI jumped 4.7%, led by Samsung and SK hynix, as AI optimism returned following heavy selling. But one strong session doesn't erase concerns about semiconductor valuations and returns on AI investment. Upcoming earnings will determine whether the rebound has staying power. The U.S. economy is sending mixed signals. The Chicago Fed's activity index moved modestly above trend, supported by production, while Texas manufacturing orders slowed sharply. Persistent input-price pressures complicate the Fed's job: growth isn't collapsing, but inflation risks haven't disappeared. UPS provided a useful corporate reality check. Q3 revenue beat expectations at $22.9B, and management raised its outlook. Yet operating margins slipped to 9% from 10% a year earlier. Stronger sales are encouraging, but profitability still needs to catch up. Geopolitics remains another source of uncertainty. Saudi, Pakistani and Turkish officials met Iranian representatives in Tehran, seeking regional de-escalation. No ceasefire has been confirmed, leaving energy security and Gulf shipping exposed to further disruption. Israel's election adds another political variable. High turnout and the absence of a clear parliamentary majority put coalition negotiations at the center of the next government's formation, with potential implications for regional security policy. The immediate focus shifts to the Fed's October 28 decision, megacap technology earnings and semiconductor guidance. Investors are getting increasingly selective. State-supported rallies, AI enthusiasm and revenue beats can lift markets temporarily, but sustained gains need healthier private demand, stronger margins and confidence that inflation will ease. The difference between a rebound and a durable recovery is still earnings quality, not market enthusiasm.
50
🎯 DoorDash and Instacart are in advanced acquisition talks over a deal valued at roughly $17 billion, the Wall Street Journal and Reuters report. The combination would add Instacart’s grocery reach to DoorDash’s delivery business, with potential advertising synergies—but the strategic and financial case remains uncertain. Markets reacted sharply: Instacart shares rose about 8%, while DoorDash shares fell roughly 5%–6%. The talks are not final. Watch for terms, financing and dilution risks, and antitrust scrutiny as both companies compete with Amazon and Walmart. #DoorDash #Instacart #GroceryDelivery #Antitrust
35
$UPS beats Q3 estimates and raises FY2026 guidance; shares up ~1% premarket. Revenue was $22.9B vs. $22.27B–$22.29B estimates; adjusted EPS was $1.69 vs. $1.62–$1.63. FY2026 revenue guidance rose to $92.6B from $91.2B, with adjusted EPS guidance of $7.28. Margin pressure remains: adjusted operating margin fell to 9.0% from 10.0% a year ago, while adjusted EPS declined 3% YoY. Q4 revenue guidance of $25.7B tops the $25.51B estimate. Watch SPY 770 resistance and the 773.1 GEX flip, the Fed decision Oct. 28, and major tech earnings later this week. #Earnings #Logistics #Markets #FederalReserve
42
Saudi, Pakistani and Turkish representatives are reported in Tehran for talks with Iranian officials, as regional diplomacy seeks to contain an eight-month war. The conflict’s origins remain disputed: Trump says Iran started it; other accounts point to U.S.-Israeli strikes on Feb. 28, 2026. Netanyahu’s office denies plans to escalate amid reports of Israeli strike preparations. Trump’s claim that Iran was two weeks from a nuclear missile is contested in posts citing his account of June 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities. CBS cites a Democratic committee report estimating his oil and gas holdings rose to $22.5M–$81.6M from $12.6M–$46M at end-2025. Watch whether Tehran talks address Yemen-related conditions—and whether military signals fuel renewed hostilities. #Iran #MiddleEast #Energy #Geopolitics
53
🎯 Israel’s 2026 Knesset election is underway, with Netanyahu seeking another term as challenger Gadi Eisenkot contests a close race without a clear pre-election majority. 📊 Turnout reached 16.68% by 10 a.m.—the highest at that point since 1981. The vote follows the October 7, 2023 Hamas attack and the Gaza war, with security and Iran also central issues. 🔥 Polls close at 10 p.m. local time. With 61 seats needed for a majority, coalition negotiations could decide who forms the next government. #Israel #Knesset #Election #MiddleEast
85
U.S. activity remains marginally above trend, but the data do not confirm a broad-based acceleration. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose to +0.07 in September from revised −0.08; its 3-month average edged up to +0.03 from +0.01. Production drove the improvement (+0.13 vs. −0.06), while consumption and housing subtracted −0.08. These readings indicate activity relative to trend—not a GDP growth rate. In October, the Dallas Fed’s Texas manufacturing survey showed expansion, but weaker momentum: production fell to 15.8 from 29.5 and new orders to 9.3 from 30.7. The general business-activity index rose to 13.4 from 9.8. Outlook improved (six-month activity 38.1 vs. 20.8), but that is an expectations signal, not proof of a rebound. Inflation watch: Dallas raw-material prices registered 55.3, well above the 28.1 historical average; finished-goods prices were 29.9. Pass-through to final prices remains uncertain. For rates, the signal is mixed: resilient production and input costs may temper easing expectations; softer orders, consumption and housing argue against a simple growth-acceleration call. Monitor whether orders stabilize and household-sector contributions improve. Medium confidence; the releases cover different geographies and months. #Macro #Manufacturing #Fed #Rates #Markets
29
$KOSPI surges 4.7% as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix lead a semiconductor-driven rebound. 📊 The rally follows a 1.46% decline on Oct. 26, when 89% of KOSPI constituents fell. Wall Street gains and renewed AI optimism support risk appetite. 🔥 Watch 5,700 resistance and 5,000 support. The rebound’s durability remains in question; Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix earnings are key near-term catalysts. #SouthKorea #Semiconductors #AI #Equities
58
China’s data are improving, but equity demand remains state-led: September industrial profits rose 14.4% y/y as national-team ETF inflows reached RMB128.7bn last week. Five-year government yields are at a record low, while onshore turnover and margin debt remain subdued—a growth recovery without broad risk appetite. AI/HBM capacity constraints remain a key semiconductor supply risk. Catalysts: Oct. 28 FOMC decision and Microsoft/Alphabet results; Oct. 29 US Q3 GDP, September PCE, ECB decision, and Amazon/Intel earnings. S&P 500 technical levels: 7,600–7,615 support; 7,700–7,725 recovery test, with 7,725–7,730 flagged as the gamma-flip area. #China #Semiconductors #FOMC #Markets
39
Serbia’s voters have removed Vucic. Investors can retire one version of key-man risk; the next government still needs to show that public institutions come with more than a changeable nameplate.
30
Microsoft is offering voluntary buyouts to about 60,000 employees—roughly 27% of its 223,000-person workforce, according to reports citing Bloomberg, CNBC and Business Insider. The offer is not confirmation that 60,000 people will leave. It comes as Microsoft’s AI infrastructure spending is reported at $175 billion this year, sharpening the focus on cost control and workforce strategy. Participation—and the resulting payroll savings or loss of experienced talent—remains unknown. Workers can accept by early December; Microsoft’s fiscal first-quarter results are due after the close Wednesday. #Microsoft #AI #Workforce #Tech $MSFT
37
Musk says SpaceX secured $40bn in GPU debt while predicting a neocloud shakeout. Leverage is reckless when the other guy uses it; on your own balance sheet, it’s a flotation device.
28