Kevin McConway (@kjm2) profile picture

Emeritus professor of statistics @OpenUniversity; Milton Keynes inhabitant; choral singer; perpetually puzzled person, interested in anything interesting.

Milton Keynes, England
Joined May 2007
Photo by Kevin McConway (@kjm2)Photo by Kevin McConway (@kjm2)Photo by Kevin McConway (@kjm2)Photo by Kevin McConway (@kjm2)Photo by Kevin McConway (@kjm2)Photo by Kevin McConway (@kjm2)Photo by Kevin McConway (@kjm2)Photo by Kevin McConway (@kjm2)Photo by Kevin McConway (@kjm2)Photo by Kevin McConway (@kjm2)
No. This is not acceptable. The methods section is the single most important part of a scientific paper. If those details are relegated to supplementary materials, then it's not a scientific paper in a scientific journal.
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Replying to @Pouriaaa
I am so pleased to see this! You and the whole team deserve the gratitude of the whole country
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#OTD 1948 Douglas G Altman b (d 3 June 2018)🇬🇧Co-founder of the Equator Network. “One of the most influential medical statisticians of the past 50 years” he spearheaded massive reforms in medical research reliability & role of reporting guidelines. 1/6🧵
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Kevin McConway retweeted
Don't miss our next members' event with @kjm2 book now absw.org.uk/events/statistic…
Similar pattern on incidence (new infections) in this week's @ONS infection survey results as last week. Total modelled new infections for latest week available (ending 9 March) from ONS is about 3.1m, with wide error margin. New cases on dashboard for that week about 380k. 1/n
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..then the previous week, and despite the error margins, that must surely be a real and large increase (in early March). 4/n
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Graph of the ratio (just for England) of 'official' incidence estimates (new infections) from ONS to dashboard new cases 5/5
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Today's @ONS Covid-19 survey results show something interesting in the incidence (new cases) estimates. They are always behind the positivity estimates for technical reasons - this week they go up to 26 Feb with modelled estimates up to 2 March. Historically they've usually.. 1/n
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...margin of error) and the dashboard has about 250k, so survey has 8 times as many. Not just rogue week - the proportion has been changing in that dirn for over a month. Presumably because people aren't being routinely tested &/or not reporting LFDs. On the bright(?) side.. 3/n
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...it could mean that some of the recent increase in dashboard cases is because of more testing than real new cases (though I'm sure that most of it is likely to be real). 4/4
“Investing in random sampling can better prepare governments for the future” by @nataliexdean nature.com/articles/d41586-0…
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Has something happened to the @Eurostar Android app? I tried to save some tickets from it to Gpay, nothing happened. So I tried to check on the Play Store whether there was an upgrade, Search for Eurostar revealed nothing, and links to app on Eurostar website said URL not found.
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Kevin McConway retweeted
My strongest possible agree with this piece. And then even more times ten. The ONS has improved from good to excellent in the past 5-10 years. On regional statistics. The website. The accessibility. And it overachieved enormously during Covid. economist.com/britain/2022/0… – at Leeds, England
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Kevin McConway retweeted
. @CamdenCouncil has agreed a new Data Charter, drafted by a Residents’ Panel involve.org.uk/resources/blo… The development of the Charter didn’t happen in darkened rooms, hidden in the Council buildings. #open #transparent #democracy
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ONS's new estimates from their Coronavirus Infection Survey cover the week to 23 December. Not so much detail even as last week's interim results. But estimated numbers who would test +ve is up by more than half a million on the estimate for 13-19 December.
Latest #COVID19 estimates show infection rates increased across all four countries of the UK in the week ending 23 Dec 2021 ow.ly/3tN150Hli2z
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...In UK as a whole, about 1 person in 7 is aged 70+, and that's also true for most English regions and for Scotland. Slightly more 70+ in Wales and SW England (1 in 6) and slightly fewer in NI (1 in 8). But in London it's 1 in 12. (Based on @ONS mid-2020 popn estimates.)...
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...But vax rates a lot different too. In all English regions but two, according to the Govt dashboard for 29/12, between 50% and 60% of 12+ have had 3rd jab. Same for Wales and NI. SW England is 61%, Scot is 62%. London is 38%.