Starting to post a lot more on Boosty - entry points, indicator breakdowns, full setups, and deep dives on projects. It's in Russian, but the info is language-agnostic - Google Translate handles it fine. If you want the deeper stuff, that's where it lives. Link in bio. Glad to have you along!

Price usually trades near max pain and volatility declines, so: Until Friday (expiry) $BTC will most likely range or slightly drift down toward the $78-80k zone (max pain is close). No strong directional move expected before settlement. After expiry, volatility may increase and price can move more easily away from the current range (direction depends on spot flows and macro). $ETH is closer to its max pain ($2450), so it should be even quieter there. Let’s see. 👀

With some simple math you can roughly estimate what one @TxFlow_L1 point could be worth. The supply side is fixed and public: ▫️10.76M Season 0 points already distributed ▫️~36.6M Season 1 (24 weekly epochs × 1.25M trader pool + referrals + growth reserve) = ~47.3M points The only real unknown is what share of supply goes to the airdrop. 15% share $500M FDV → $1.58 per point 25% share $1B FDV → $5.28 per point For context: Hyperliquid dropped 31% of supply, Lighter 25%. Both fair launches, no VC, no insider allocation - same setup as TxFlow. Realistic range is 10-20%, with ~15% as the base case. 25% is the optimistic scenario, not the base. Caveats: no official tokenomics yet - no supply, no allocation, no TGE date. A Season 2 would dilute all of this. Still, the supply side looks better than most people assume. If you're planning to farm points, you can join with my link: app.txflow.com/r/1AQXQO5Q3M This one looks genuinely promising for a future drop.

$STRK recently pumped ~450% and gave almost all of it back. Comment if you FOMO d in on the top. The chart looks like shit.

I'm allowing for a push to ~$82.4k on bitcoin:native , before an even deeper plunge down. Just thinking out loud.

Most likely, we will see a test of $75k on $BTC this week.

GM ☀️ it's Monday! ready for the new week?

G2 - Aurora, do you like CS 2?

Touching sand today, happy mid Sunday everyone ✌️

Key resistance - the $82,000-82,500 zone (50 MA + local highs). Nearest support - $79-80,000, then $76-78,000. A weekly close below $78-79,000 would open the way to the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci zone ($72 - 75k), similar to March 2023. The structure currently looks quite similar 🤔

Alts are obviously not happy about this 🫣

bitcoin:native had a small fake rally yesterday, the asset is back in a sideways range again, and it seems the chances of a downward move are high. what do you think?

My friend said it's GEM 💎 let's see.

If the move in $BTC continues, $87k looks like a solid barrier. There are noticeable limit orders + a liquidation cluster.

$SUI breaks the pattern upward and holds the breakout on 4h. So far it's looking good.

If there's no major crash, if $SUI breaks this pattern upward, the show continues. Ifs, ifs, ifs - but it looks good.

GM 👋 happy new week to everyone! Monday starts off green - how’s your mood?

Maybe I’ll get myself one of those after the altseason

Q3 Proof of R3ACH am i cooked? or am i washed?

+2 points on Arcus for this week, nothing outstanding. I traded $BTC and held a $GLD position for a long time, which as you can see didn't really bring in many points. What's your result?