In Europe for The Wall Street Journal. Cover Iran nuclear, Ukraine war, EU, Europe foreign policy & anything else that comes my way. My RT, someone else's view.

Europe
Joined May 2010
That’s nine seconds of silence by the way. Then the smile.
If a picture is worth a thousand words, a comic silence can be eloquent enough for a million. As demonstrated by @ZelenskyyUa.
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חשיפה עכשיו במהדורה | עימות חסר תקדים בין הרמטכל לבין ראש הממשלה שהגיע לשיא או לשפל ביממה האחרונה הנושא ברקע: הסוגיה האיראנית וחשש של זמיר שנתניהו והדרג המדיני עלולים להוביל לתרחיש של מיסקלקולציה מול איראן רגע לפני הבחירות גורם ביטחוני: מדובר בפעולה שעלולה להוביל לעימות בזק מול איראן בעיתוי רגיש ודרמטי, ולייצר מיסקלקולציה גורמים בקיאים בפרטים: חשש של הדרג הצבאי מניסיון לנצל את הסוגיה האיראנית לתנופה פוליטית , טענה שגורמים מדיניים מכחישים וטוענים שמדובר בשקר של ממש כך או כך, 2 מקורות מספרים לי שזה הגיע לרמה שהיום בביקור בפלמחים האווירה בדיון הייתה עכורה עד מאוד בימים האחרונים זמיר קיבל איזושהי הנחיה מהדרג המדיני אבל ביקש דיון מעמיק לפני ביצוע הוא גם ביקש אסמכתאות חוקיות וחתומות של הדרג המדיני על המהלך בכיר ביטחוני: ההיסטוריה לא תשכח את התפקיד שמילא פה זמיר בימים האחרונים ובשורה התחתונה: עימות יוצא דופן בחריגות שלו בין זמיר לנתניהו, סביב הסוגיה באיראן, רגע לפני מועד הבחירות. נדגיש: כל הפרטים בידיעה הזו עברו את אישורה של הצנזורה הצבאית
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Russia has worked out that Europe has cards too.
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laurence norman retweeted
Emotional exit by Michael Carrick as fans sing his name. A farewell? Supporters turn on players once Carrick down tunnel. #MUFC
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laurence norman retweeted
NEW headline voting intention from Ipsos 📊Labour on 32% with a lead of +8 – the largest Labour lead Ipsos have recorded this parliament 📊Conservatives take second place the first time since June 2025 📊Reform UK down 3 points and Greens down 5
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laurence norman retweeted
🟢دیپلماسی فشرده میان ایران و میانجیگران رسمی تهران-واشنگتن برای خروج مذاکرات خاتمه جنگ از بن‌بست، ادامه دارد. 🟢ناگفته پیداست که تداوم دیپلماسی، تناقضی با ضرورت آمادگی ۱۰۰ % برای دفاع ندارد.
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laurence norman retweeted
❗️EXCLUSIVE❗️ Andy Burnham has opened the door to Britain rejoining the EU’s free movement rules, arguing an “honest discussion” about the idea is needed The PM said the nature of immigration has been “different” since Brexit, with more foreigners moving permanently to the UK rather than returning home Burnham noted how his father, Roy, an engineer, took advantage of the EU rules in the 1990s to work in Germany He also said since leaving the bloc Britain has lost access to ‘Eurodac’, an EU database on border crossings “I think you have to have a very factual, quite evidence-based debate about this,” he said Burnham made clear staying out of free movement would **not** be a red line for talks (unlike adopting the Euro or rejoining the Schengen Area) Burnham made the comments to me in one of four interviews conducted during his first 100 days in office. All unpacked in tomorrow’s Sunday Times. It’s big news. Free movement seen as a key reason why the country voted Brexit in 2016. No PM has made the argument for potentially rejoining since… until now. (Important to note: Burnham accepts there were ‘very significant challenges’ too with free movement. Hasn’t reached a firm decision yes or no. He continues to mull over ‘options’ for closer EU ties) KEY BURNHAM QUOTE “Freedom of movement had very significant challenges associated with it and I spoke about them in my previous time in Parliament. But, at the same time, it was a type of immigration that perhaps wasn’t as difficult (as now). “Revolving door migration where people would come and then go back is different. The balance of migration has changed, hasn’t it, since then? I think we’ve just got to have an honest discussion about those things.” Read the full story here: ‘Andy Burnham is open to adopting EU free movement’ thetimes.com/article/491a046…
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laurence norman retweeted
There are growing reports these days of military preparations and the possibility of a renewed war involving Iran. Yet, at the same time, there are also some signs that diplomacy may still be moving behind the scenes. These signals are emerging both from within Iran and from external sources. - The latest example comes from Al Arabiya, which, citing informed sources, reports that Iran has submitted a proposal to the US through Pakistan. - According to the report, Tehran would offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for Washington lifting its blockade of Iranian ports. Iran has also reportedly informed Pakistan that it is ready to resume negotiations with the United States. - If accurate, this would suggest that Tehran is exploring a reciprocal arrangement rather than making unilateral concessions, with Pakistan continuing to serve as an important diplomatic channel. - Of course, this report, like the other diplomatic leaks circulating in recent days, should be treated with the utmost caution until independently confirmed. #Iran #Pakistan
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1/ Benjamin Netanyahu got the last set of polls last night. They argue Likud and his block are eroding fast. Then, came his remarks on Israel's economy. These are among the most extraordinary he has made in a long political career. Whatever their intent, they carry real weight for the Israeli economy – before Tuesday's election, and regardless of who forms the next government. In an interview with journalist Roy Katz, aired Friday, the prime minister said American military aid to Israel is coming to an end. "It's over. It's only a question of time," he said. Israelis should get used to no longer receiving tens of billions of dollars in U.S. defense assistance, he added, "because America has changed." That alone is remarkable. There is a growing recognition in Israel that U.S. military aid in its current form will have to change, and might end, as bipartisan support for Israel erodes in Washington. Netanyahu himself has spoken before about wanting to wean Israel off the aid. But there is a distance between that recognition and a sitting prime minister effectively announcing the end of one of the pillars of the U.S.–Israel strategic relationship. The current Memorandum of Understanding – $38 billion over ten years – runs through September 2028. It is embedded in a web of interests that includes the American defense industry, and Israel's diplomats in Washington work hard to sustain it. Israel's friends in Congress, operating in an increasingly difficult political environment, are still fighting to preserve the special relationship. When the prime minister himself says "it's over," that is a hard message for Israel's defense establishment, and for those in Washington still trying to help. And that was only the opening. "There could be sanctions, including banking sanctions," Netanyahu said. Israel, he explained, must prepare an economy capable of bypassing them. This is a different order of magnitude entirely. Some background is needed. In the world of international sanctions, comprehensive banking sanctions against a country are among the most powerful tools available to major powers. They are not import restrictions, consumer boycotts, or even arms embargoes. Broad financial sanctions go after an economy's circulatory system. Israel's banks depend on the global financial system: correspondent banks, clearing, credit lines, the ability to move money across borders. Without access to banks abroad, the Israeli economy stops functioning. And such sanctions don't hit only the banks. They hit everyone who banks with them – companies, exporters, importers, investors, employers. When foreign banks become nervous about a country's financial institutions, they tend to cut ties well beyond what the law strictly requires. In other words, a sweeping financial sanctions regime would push Israel toward the category of Iran or Russia. It would be worse. Iran and Russia sit on vast oil and gas reserves. Even under sanctions, they keep selling – mainly in Asia and parts of the Global South. Israel's economy is not built on commodities. Its strength comes from integration into the global economy: human capital, technology, research, advanced services. According to the Israel Innovation Authority, Israeli high-tech exported roughly $85 billion in goods and services in 2025 – 58 percent of all Israeli exports – and accounted for about half of the economy's growth. It is the engine of the economy, and it depends on foreign markets, foreign capital, and the free movement of money. Netanyahu did not say who might impose banking sanctions. A prime minister raising this possibility, in the same breath as forecasting the end of U.S. aid, should prompt immediate questions. Is he referring to European sanctions? American ones? above all: how did Israel get to the point where this is being discussed at all? There was more - and much worse.
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laurence norman retweeted
In my new piece for @TheAtlantic yesterday on Trump’s Russia - Ukraine negotiations I have a short section on how to deter Putin from escalating its shadow war against Europe. Three concrete ideas that may work— threaten to place air defense in western Ukraine, extend Ukraine’s use of Starlink into Russia, and in the event of a mass casualty event in Europe, designate Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism. The last one we used successfully in 2024. All of these, if communicated privately, may given Putin pause. theatlantic.com/internationa…
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laurence norman retweeted
The R4 (Pakistan, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Egypt), which played a key role in the mediation that led to the Islamabad Memorandum and the temporary halt in the Iran-US war, now faces a delicate balancing act. - Their Istanbul statement backs the memorandum and calls for diplomacy to prevent renewed escalation. Yet it also demands the reopening of Hormuz and condemns Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia. - There is a tension here. While the R4 supports engagement with Tehran, its positions on Hormuz and Yemen place greater pressure on Iran and its regional allies than on Washington. - This may be understandable given the different interests within the group, but it also exposes the limits of their common diplomatic position. - The question is how Tehran will interpret this balance, and whether the R4 can remain an effective channel for mediation while increasingly aligning around Gulf security priorities. - Much may depend on how these four countries manage that contradiction in the months and years ahead. #Iran
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E3 will Negotiate what precisely with Iran? How? And with what leverage?
Another attack on Iran would escalate regional tensions and lead to further violence, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said Friday, while his German counterpart Johann Wadephul said Germany, France and Britain were ready to negotiate with Tehran. The two ministers were attending diplomatic talks in Istanbul involving European and Middle Eastern countries, with the conflict involving Iran and threats to regional shipping among the main issues. Wadephul also called for supporting Saudi Arabia and Yemen's internationally recognized government in defending themselves, according to Reuters.
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laurence norman retweeted
German Foreign Minister Wadephul on Iran: What is needed above all is a genuine willingness on Iran's part to reach a sustainable diplomatic solution. That also means setting aside maximalist demands and engaging in negotiations.
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“Entitlement cannot be at this football club?” As journalist, I’d have asked. How many players at club currently do you think have sense of entitlement? A few, some, many? And you say ManU have lost their way. What’s the way you actually want them to play. Can u get them there?
🚨🗣️ This speech from Michael Carrick at the start of his press conference is heartbreaking. 💔 He looks completely broken. You can hear the pain in his voice. He doesn’t deserve this. 😭 #MUFC
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laurence norman retweeted
And just like that Trump confirms he has just spoken to Burnham. Praises Jackdaw decision. Says there was some discussion of Iran and Ukraine but doesn’t elaborate
Top exclusive by @ChaplainChloe @josh_wingrove Andy Burnham scheduled to speak to Trump today as tensions on the Russia-Ukraine and Iran wars mount UK officials are concerned Trump is preparing for a new offensive against Iran which could further hamper energy flows and put upward pressure on inflation Britain wants Trump to pursue a diplomatic solution as a result, officials say It’s also the first time Burnham and Trump have spoken since Trump’s diesel deal with Putin
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It’s not been much noted that the E3 meeting with Gulf countries, Turkey and Pakistan today is not actually an E3 meeting. It’s E4. Italy, which has long fiercely resented being locked out the E3, is also there. Next up will be Spain spitting fury at being kept out.
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BREAKING: Austria on Friday ordered 4 Russian diplomats to leave the country. An Austrian official said the expulsions were linked to espionage and that the diplomats were told to leave in the coming days. 🕵️‍♂️ My story for @AP apnews.com/article/austria-r…
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laurence norman retweeted
"Belgium to probe Russia links of former EU commissioner". A great story by @euobs, that reads like the intro to a Netflix-series. This timeline we are living in is wild...just...wild😱 euobserver.com/30344/belgium…
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laurence norman retweeted
In this 2021 clip, Ali Khamenei is heard telling then-newly elected Raisi how "the people are happy" and how his presidency is a "fresh breath". The 2021 elections saw the lowest voter turnout in the history of the Islamic Republic. Majority of voters sat home.
خیلی بامزست این ویدیو که در‌اوج کووید و قبل واکسن گرفته شده و خامنه‌ای از رییسی فرار میکنه و میگه «نه دیگه...»!
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laurence norman retweeted
Freedom of navigation is vital to global trade. Yet crises in the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab al-Mandab Strait threaten key shipping routes. Today, @AussenMinDE 🇩🇪 is discussing solutions with 🇫🇷🇬🇧🇮🇹🇹🇷🇸🇦🇪🇬🇵🇰 partners in Istanbul. Find out more 👉 diplo.de/2807008
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