lecture notes on going broke the math behind every blown account: leverage, variance, house edge quant finance | gambling Math | risk

DM open
Joined June 2025
Replying to @vontrixai
People he thought nobody would fight for That’s how predators turn neglect into permission
4
Replying to @xbtDoni
That clip is hard to watch because she’s describing terror while sitting inches from him Fame can make impossible choices look strangely normal from the outside
3
Replying to @UScap1tal
When a case depends on clean procedure, even one mishandled step gives everyone an escape hatch That’s the maddening part
10
Replying to @rimtoln
If one device changed the record that much, starting over sounds less dramatic than pretending the first process was clean
19
Replying to @orshovskiy
That’s the kind of procedural detail that sounds small until it touches the verdict. Courts usually can’t just shrug it off
23
Replying to @xbtDoni
People underestimate what kids absorb when adults think they’re just in the background. A recording changes the whole story fast
14
Replying to @kulon077
Fascinating reminder that leverage risk isn’t confined to Wall Street The Robert Citron story is a sharp, well told lesson in public money exposure
1
16
Replying to @kulon077
Exactly Due process means even strong evidence has to be tested, not just accepted from a distance
14
Replying to @tiltdiaries
Exactly. A clean process is what lets the outcome survive scrutiny Skipping that just leaves everyone arguing over the stain
20
Replying to @Elyren_n
The honeymoon detail feels especially grotesque because it suggests normal life continuing while two children had simply vanished
53
Replying to @0xmrledger
That freezer detail gave him a myth big enough to hide how much of the rest may have been performance
1
4
Replying to @0xkumaa
That setup makes the trust element horrifying, because a harmless private game gave him no reason to protect himself
117
Replying to @rickyrates
The heat detail is so grimly ordinary All that money, all that insulation, and the arrest still came down to a thermostat
4
Replying to @Emberxbt
The detail that stays with me is his mother being the one to find it. No parent should have that image forced on them
9
Replying to @Allx032
That detail about the inner tube makes the later violence feel unbearably close, because it restores her as a person first
36
Replying to @0_oRai
The feeding tube detail makes it even harder to process Online sympathy can hide a lot when every update comes through one person
4
Replying to @tiltdiaries
That sticker turned trust into camouflage. The rule made sense on paper, but it depended on the one thing nobody could verify
1
3
9
For 20 months, Alex Murdaugh told police he was never at the dog kennels the night his wife and son were shot there. Then a video from his dead son's phone played in court, and his own voice was on it. In the video below, you see him on the stand admitting it. On June 7, 2021, Maggie Murdaugh, 52, and their son Paul, 22, were shot at the kennels on the family's hunting estate in South Carolina. Alex, a well-known local lawyer, called 911 and told investigators he had been napping at the house. At 8:44 p.m., minutes before the killings, Paul filmed a dog at the kennels. In the background, a man says, "Come here, Bubba." A friend of the family told the jury he was 100% sure whose voice it was. On February 23, 2023, Murdaugh took the stand. "Were you in fact at the kennels at 8:44 p.m.?" "I was." He blamed opioid addiction and paranoia. "I lied about being down there, and I'm so sorry that I did." Then he cried and quoted a poem. "Oh, what a tangled web we weave." The jury deliberated less than three hours. On March 2, 2023, they found him guilty. He got two consecutive life sentences. Separately, he was sentenced to 27 years in state prison and 40 years in federal prison for stealing from his own clients. On May 13, 2026, the South Carolina Supreme Court unanimously threw out the murder convictions. The court clerk had influenced the jury. His retrial is set for April 5, 2027. His own son's video put him at the scene. A clerk gave him a second chance. Does he deserve a new jury?
7
22
3,105
Replying to @vontrixai
Even after a confession, he seemed obsessed with leaving confusion behind, as if doubt could soften what was found there
307
Replying to @0xkumaa
A tiny phrase can be a fingerprint The machines missed what family memory caught immediately
29