Leo | Analyzing Alpha

Discipline over dopamine

Pick and shovels for humanoid robotics starting to pick up. Supply chain wins first Companies, such as $amzn and others who can use the technology will run second. We’ll see RaaS — and likely distribution plays like AWS for both robotic tasks and logistics.

Feel like you missed $WYFI? $BTBT’s WhiteFiber ($WYFI) stake alone is worth about $688M, which is ~11% more than BTBT’s entire market cap—before giving any value to BTBT’s ETH or other assets.

Don't outsource your thinking. If you're letting models make decisions, you're rolling the dice.

50% of my portfolio is in $amzn. Such an asymmetric risk reward here. Looks like @ChrisCamillo has the same idea.

Non-trading portfolio for those who are interested: AI commoditizes intelligence, but concentrates value in power, chips, robots, regulation, and execution. Overweight robotics, own the constraints, keep distribution, add durable compounders, cap optionality. Portfolio (weights): •Brookfield — 20% •Tesla — 20% •Amazon — 15% •Alphabet (Google) — 9% •ASML — 6% •Microsoft — 5% •Coinbase —6% •Palantir — 4% •TransDigm — 4% •Danaher — 4% •Amphenol — 4% •Perimeter Solutions — 3% Robots > models

Can anyone provide insight? If a Ghost Shark lasts 10-15 years, won't Kraken supply at least one full refresh of batteries -- meaning the Anduril impact may be significantly understated?

Is Brookfield $bn the best positioned risk-reward investment in the #ai world?

Market showing some cracks, may just need some time to digest.