Leslie Falvey retweeted
Ethiopia is now on Scamstats.
8.6 million adults were scammed in the last 12 months 65.5% of them lost money 4.6 million told the police
scamstats.org/country/et/
Leslie Falvey retweeted
Egypt is new on Scamstats. 11.6% of adults were scammed in the last 12 months US$375 million lost to scams Most common: online shopping, prizes, investment
scamstats.org/country/eg/
I am pleased to announce the launch of @scamstats. This is an initiative lead by @armidalecompany to provide a unified and comparable set of data that sizes the problem of scams and fraud globally.
scamstats.org
Every country counts scams differently, if at all, so nobody could say how many people are scammed worldwide.
@scamstats is our answer: one method, every country, every figure traced to an official source.
Our first estimate: 655 million people a year.
scamstats.org
My new report from @armidalecompany: what a national fraud figure is actually made of, and why one of its numbers was wrong for a year.
A spreadsheet ran out of rows. Nobody caught it.
armidale.co/perspectives/the…
Ask anyone in financial crime what share of alerts are false positives and you will hear 90 to 95%.
We traced the figure. It rests on one interview remark and a paper that gives no source.
Nobody is required to count who gets shut out.
armidale.co/perspectives/nin…
A @panaynewsdotnet column on the Philippines’ anti-scam law cites the @GSMA ASEAN Consumer Scam Report 2026, which I wrote at @armidalecompany.
Only 16% of Filipino scam victims go to the police. 49% report to digital platforms, the highest in ASEAN.
panaynews.net/understanding-…
Fortune India on the GSMA India Consumer Scam Report 2026, which I wrote at @armidalecompany.
43% of Indian scam victims say the biggest impact was ongoing anxiety or a loss of confidence. 67% of those who lost money recovered nothing.
fortuneindia.com/technology/…
The420.in’s daily cyber brief covers the @GSMA India Consumer Scam Report 2026, which I wrote at @armidalecompany.
Indian scam victims who report contact two organisations on average. For 35% of reported cases, none takes responsibility.
the420.in/india-cyber-tech-b…
I wrote this year's GSMA India Consumer Scam Report.
49% of Indian victims go to the police, up from 37% last year. Government or the police resolved 32% of the cases taken to them, more than any other organisation.
India already publishes the money saved. Next: cases resolved.
Our GSMA India Consumer Scam Report 2026 is out.
87% of Indian consumers are comfortable with their bank or financial provider using their data to detect fraud. 86% of victims take the case to an organisation.
A third of reported cases end unresolved.
gsma.com/about-us/regions/as…
Leslie Falvey retweeted
The largest cost of scams falls on people who were never scammed.
In our GSMA ASEAN report, 56% of consumers in Southeast Asia now avoid inbound contact or transactions because of scams. The never-scammed do it just as much.
No government counts it.
armidale.co/perspectives/nob…
In 2001 the US gave banks a safe harbour to share financial crime intelligence. By 2020, 7,000+ had signed up. 22% used it.
The law removed the wrong risk. And no competition regulator has said if rivals may even discuss fraud.
armidale.co/perspectives/the…
Leslie Falvey retweeted
Governments measure reports received, arrests made, websites taken down.
Not whether the case ended for the victim.
One regulator anywhere publishes a victim outcome rate. The FBI's 66% recovery rate? Calculated on 3,020 of 859,532 complaints.
armidale.co/perspectives/the…
I am speaking at #M360APAC in Kuala Lumpur, 9-10 Sept: policy and governance responses to scams and fraud.
First look at the GSMA ASEAN Consumer Scam Report 2026. This year we followed what happens after the scam, and what it costs when it goes nowhere.
m360series.com/asean
This is a great summary of YCC
Yield curve control, or YCC, may sound like an obscure technical policy.
It is not.
It is one of the most important tools of financial repression.
In plain English, yield curve control means the central bank decides what interest rate the government should pay on its debt—and then uses its money-printing power to enforce that rate.
If the free market demands 6% to lend to the government, but the central bank wants the government to borrow at 3%, the central bank steps in and buys enough bonds to force the yield down.
In other words, YCC is price fixing for government debt.
And like all forms of price fixing, it creates distortions, misallocations, and unintended consequences.
Of course, they may not call it “yield curve control.” They will probably invent some new euphemism or acronym. They may call it financial stability policy, emergency asset purchases, market functioning support, temporary intervention, or something else entirely.
But the label does not matter. The result is the same. The central bank buys government bonds with fake money it creates out of thin air to suppress yields and stop the system from breaking.
Remember, the Fed has only two tools in its toolkit: currency debasement and gaslighting.
That explains how YCC works mechanically. But the more important question is why politicians and central bankers would be able to get away with it.
It is not hard to imagine how YCC would also be politically popular.
Rising yields mean lower home prices. Home prices are especially important to Baby Boomers—about 22% of the population—and other politically active demographics because home equity is a major component of their wealth. So a policy that keeps yields from rising, and therefore helps keep home prices stable, could easily be sold to them. They would cheer YCC.
Likewise, YCC could be spun as a positive for younger voters because it would keep mortgage rates lower and make housing appear more affordable.
Of course, this is a Faustian bargain. There is no free lunch.
The benefits are illusory because Boomers and younger voters alike would end up paying for it through inflation. But perhaps not 1 in 100 would understand the dynamics. And that is why I think YCC would be politically popular.
That is the political sales pitch.
But beneath the slogans and euphemisms, YCC suffers from the same fatal flaw as every other central bank policy.
With any discussion about the Fed and central banks, it is essential to keep the basics in mind.
Start with the most fundamental point: central planning does not work.
That is the first principle.
Central planning of shoes does not work. Central planning of wheat does not work. And central planning of fake money does not work.
Central banks in general—and the Fed in particular—are on a mission impossible.
They do not know what the 10-year Treasury yield should be. Nobody does. That is an exclusive function of a voluntary market of savers and borrowers.
A politburo cannot centrally plan interest rates any more than it can centrally plan potatoes.
It will inevitably fail and cause enormous damage.
And once the monetary central planners start with YCC, there is no reason to believe they will stop there. YCC would likely be only the initial step in financial repression.
If YCC does not suffice, the US government will turn toward more aggressive measures.
Capital controls. Mandates forcing banks, pension funds, and insurance companies to buy government bonds. Regulations that make Treasuries appear “safe” or “risk-free” on institutional balance sheets. And countless other policies designed to trap capital inside the system and push it toward unwanted government debt.
What is going on with #claudeai? Second session this week where the answers are clearly going to far more quantized models...
I think that @AnthropicAI should just tell you when they are serving you a lower quality product.
#ai #llm #artificialintelligence
Leslie Falvey retweeted
Inflation is moving in the wrong direction.
The latest PCE report showed both headline and core inflation pushing to their highest levels since 2023.
The problem isn’t just that inflation remains elevated.
The problem is that inflation has been moving away from the Fed’s target for more than a year now.
That is one reason interest rates have been moving higher and why the macro backdrop has become more difficult for Bitcoin.
It’s incredibly rewarding to see our GSMA research on ASEAN scams being cited in the current debate over international termination charges in India.
Seeing these insights now informing high-level regulatory conversations is exactly why we do this work.
Great to see our GSMA ASEAN Consumer Scam Report informing the current debate on International Termination Charges in India. Our research highlighted how scams are becoming industrialized
Read the original report: gsma.com/about-us/regions/as…
#Telecom #CyberSecurity #GSMA #AntiScam
It is good to see that AI struggles and makes so many mistakes with networking and ip configurations. Make me feel not so bad that it always happens to me...
One of the most annoying things about @GeminiApp is linking 30 minute @YouTube videos that are only tangentially related to your query. @Google, please drop these and add a “More Information” for the 1% of times people want it…















