Cross-Asset PM, predominantly L/S equities, commodities and FX. Sometimes rates, sometimes memes.

London, England
Joined October 2017
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Being right about where the market is going means very little if you cannot survive the journey there. Fresh NBIS trade and a few thoughts on what I’m seeing. lordfed.co.uk/p/positioning-…
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Only one Noble
AI names getting close to a bottom
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*ANTHROPIC WARNS OF CATASTROPHIC, EXISTENTIAL RISKS TO HUMANITY really selling their ipo
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Oof EWZ -25% Thanks for playing
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AI names getting close to a bottom
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A five-year view is worth nothing if you’re forced to sell in five weeks. Sometimes the reason to hedge is precisely because you don’t want to sell what you own. lordfed.co.uk/p/why-hedge-wh…
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free for all to read btw. nothing too long!
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TRUMP: WE COULD END IRAN WAR VERY QUICKLY (We could send stocks back to all time highs very quickly)
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I was told repeatedly that AI was supposed to kill software. Bit awkward watching the victim outperform the murder weapon.
The most expensive misread in markets right here is thinking AI kills software. I think it gets absorbed by it which is a completely different trade. Spent several weeks on this post and built a 15 name basket around the idea. lordfed.co.uk/p/why-software…
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derp
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Feels like sentiment got properly zapped today. Wouldn’t surprise me if stocks and bonds both rally tomorrow just to mess with everyone’s heads.
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I'd say that "AI will change the world” is a perfectly reasonable investment thesis. Unfortunately your broker would still like the additional collateral by Friday.
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Putting this back on your radar. Increasingly think this could be one of those trades you look back on and wonder why you didn’t pay more attention.
Starting to think the next big move in bonds is up
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monster move brewing
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Minor volatility but won’t show your % pnl?
Yeah… minor volatility in October. Figured I’d share some personal drawdowns too for transparency.
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Capex cuts ≠ AI demand is slowing
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This app is unbeaten
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The bear case doesn’t have to be wrong for the bears to lose money lordfed.co.uk/p/this-is-how-…
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be a good cover photo tbf
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