New York Times bestselling writer. A ‘rebellious’ dreamer and ‘borderline’ maniac.
California, 10 yrs Manhattan
Joined February 2013
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Wisdom from Sgt. Hulka for all the “really, really profoundly sad and completely enraged” commenters for this post.
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You gotta read this. Measurable, clear, time proven guidance for giving feedback that doesn’t end up being “completely worthless”.
How to help someone change — the samurai guide to giving feedback themarginalian.org/2026/07/1…
True of management too.
“Parenthood is not learned… parenthood gives us [challenges us with] another chance to grow.”
Mister Rogers on the most important mindset for a parent themarginalian.org/2026/10/0…
“Researched” this post using AI…
“The direction is defensible, but the argument is built from a vague empirical claim, a trivial one, a prediction with no timeline, and a rhetorical move that makes disagreement look like denial.”
Grade D+.
1. AI is already better at doing research than 90+% of “professional” researchers. Especially in highly verifiable fields.
2. This is the worst that AI will ever get at research.
3. Very soon NOT using AI for research will be tantamount to malpractice.
4. Being in a state of willful denial about any of this is not going to get you anywhere.
Can we start at # 1? “Get all human knowledge for free”
How did they do that? Scrape the digital world? How is that “all”?
Additionally did it scrape the limited knowledge (digital) comprehensively or scan parts a leap to patterns and assumptions?
The chain of events for AI and the economy:
Get all human knowledge for free -> repackage and sell -> scare and preach -> act fast and reckless without thinking -> fail to scale -> fail to reach profit -> investor illusions disappears (“naked king” moment) -> go bust -> pull everyone down with them -> try gov bail out -> create a big economic crisis -> trillions datacenter CAPEX written off -> dust settles -> a few real AI enabled businesses emerge -> new approaches to AI get cheap compute -> something real emerges.
We are between “act reckless” and “fail to scale”
So AI just told you how to fix your dishwasher?
(My dad told me.)
How soon will AI walk around shutting off the lights? “What? Do you think we own stock in Southern California Edison?”
Regarding the BofD at Theranos.
“Bad men need nothing more to compass their ends, than that good men should look on and do nothing."
Frist, Mattis, Schultz, Kissinger etc deserve that the reputation varnish gets stripped from their resumes.
“…the supreme goal is to make the irreducible basic elements as SIMPLE and as FEW as possible without having to surrender the adequate representation of a single datum of experience.” A Einstein
IOW - Make everything simple as possible BUT never simpler.
Yesterday it was “boosting”, a pay for play scheme to inflate momentum for slop. Today it’s this. 👇🏼
Who audits social media? Who audits the auditors?
How many impressions, likes, posts are fake, fake, fake?
300 years before Jesus (300BC) Aristotle’s friend saw half of all the posts on I’m seeing today on Twitter. 👇🏼
Perception bias. 1951.
psycnet.apa.org/record/1954-…
It’s amazing how two people can experience the exact same event and walk away with wildly different versions of what happened, each shaped by their own theory of mind.
We often assume we speak the same language, but if we can’t even agree on what we experienced, it may be a fallacy to believe we can ever fully understand one another.
Cheapo burritos? That doesn’t take a cook. More like “Lunch Lady Doris”.
Home cooked meals are too important to serve cafeteria slop.
The last time a movie was as polarizing as “The Odyssey” it got Elaine fired. youtu.be/c5VluH1BeXo?is=4p3d…
