@lukas_ohl

Just an ordinary Brit observing the problems and wondering why we can’t just fix them.

London-ish, England
Joined March 2020
Parents have abandoned their infant children. They prefer the dopamine hits of TikTok videos and Temu deals over the real-life tedium of trying to play with a toddler. Perhaps we need health warnings on apps? Do we just ban short-form video? (I say, typing on this dopamine app.)
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Is 𝕏 the app for people with ADHD, or does 𝕏 cause ADHD ?
Habits I stole from ADHD people who are actually doing well. Not "cured." Just no longer at war with their own brain. None of these are "wake up at 5am." Promise. 1. They dont trust their memory. At all.
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Good point about the Tory party. They are not merely unreformed (ha); they don’t even understand what they did wrong, or what needs to be done. Both major parties are still fixated on Blair 1997-2007 and believe the country needs more of the same, despite different circumstances.
Replying to @t848m0
There were many Tory MPs who looked on in horror at the Heath government and were happy to wield the knife to be rid of him in 1975. Most Tory MPs cannot give an account of what went wrong in 2010-2024 because they don’t really think that anything did. These are not the same.
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Ireland now has grooming gangs targeting vulnerable children in state care. So grim.
KATE DUGGAN IS CEO OF TUSLA — HOW ARE VULNERABLE CHILDREN IN STATE CARE BEING TARGETED, DRUGGED AND RAPED BY ORGANISED GANGS ON HER WATCH? An exclusive report in today’s Mail on Sunday by Debbie McCann reveals that organised criminal gangs are targeting vulnerable girls in State care, inviting them to “parties” where they are plied with alcohol and drugs before being sexually exploited and raped by predatory men. The report follows the disturbing High Court case of a 14-year-old girl in Tusla care who gardaí believe is being subjected to “horrifying” sexual exploitation by multiple men. Despite the court ordering that she be placed in special care, Tusla told the court that it could not immediately provide her with a bed. Just 15 of the State’s 26 special-care beds were reported to be open because of staffing shortages. Researcher Ruth Breslin of UCD’s Sexual Exploitation Research and Policy Institute (SERP) told the newspaper that the 14-year-old’s case is not isolated. She said organised criminal networks are deliberately targeting some of the most vulnerable children in State care. According to Breslin, gang members can discover where residential care facilities are located and target girls living there. In some cases, girls are collected in cars and taken to “parties” in private homes or hotels where groups of men are waiting. Alcohol and drugs can be involved, while some men allegedly provide drugs or money to other predatory men as “payment” for sexual access to the girls. Breslin said some of the men meet through online forums or dating apps. She warned that the scale of the problem may not be fully appreciated and said research had identified another similar case involving a child in State care. The Mail on Sunday also reports that Garda sources are dealing with cases involving teenage girls and boys in State care who are being “escorted” after being targeted through dating apps. Some female minors are reportedly being drawn into sex work to pay debts, while boys can also be victims of criminal exploitation. The newspaper links the issue to wider concerns about child trafficking. It cites a previous case involving a 14-year-old girl trafficked to Ireland from West Africa, abducted by a criminal gang from her emergency accommodation within minutes of arriving in State care, and later found locked in a brothel where she had allegedly been forced to work as a sex slave. Tusla CEO Kate Duggan told the Mail on Sunday that the agency was aware of concerns about exploitation and said there is intensive engagement with An Garda Síochána to ensure the safety of young people. A spokesperson for Minister for Children Norma Foley said the Minister was “deeply concerned” about criminal gangs targeting vulnerable children and highlighted the serious risks faced by children in the care system. The report raises a stark issue beyond the shortage of special-care beds: vulnerable children already in the care of the State are being deliberately targeted by organised criminals for sexual and criminal exploitation, with serious questions about whether the existing system is capable of identifying, protecting and safeguarding them before further harm occurs. Credit Mail on Sunday
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L🇬🇧as Ohl retweeted
Do not drop the hard-R online in England. Not even if you're black. Real-life only.
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If you’re a landlord and a few years ago you bought a bunch of apartments which have now surged in value and in rental yield, should you keep renting them out or sell up immediately?
Heard from a neolab friend: “Even if we fail to train the best model, we locked in GPU capacity early. H100/B200/B300 rental prices have since gone up 2–3x. We can just resell the compute and print money.” OK, so that’s the business model.
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Saturday night at the club.
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L🇬🇧as Ohl retweeted
There’s a thing called “cocktail eyes” - when you’re talking to someone and they’re already scanning the room for someone more important. A lot of our politicians have cocktail eyes about the job itself. And we're the ones they're ignoring. Local councillors who bang on about Palestine are treating their actual role (bins, hedges, planning, antisocial behaviour - the local good) as beneath them. National politicians who treat e.g. Net Zero as a chance to be “world leaders” are doing the same thing at a bigger scale: chasing status and smugness instead of the national good (energy abundance and security). In both cases they need to put their eyes back in the room and focus on the people they are meant to serve. As Collingwood says, that alone would radically alter our country.
Read all of this. It is more important than you think. Wayne Dixon is a councillor in Leeds. He doesn't get involved in foreign policy issues. No standing with Ukraine or Palestine or Israel or wherever. He doesn't even get involved much in national issues. He just focusses, laser like, on doing small things that make the lives of his local constituents better. Cleaning up footpaths covered in wet leaves. Harassing the local authorities until they fix potholes. Cleaning up graffiti. Trimming hedges so they look neat and tidy. Liaising with the police to deal with antisocial behaviour. Ensuing that the local schools have enough places for every local who wants to send their kids there. Getting bus stops put in the right place when roads are re-laid or new roads are built. Making sure that green spaces where kids play football are not flogged off. Ensuring that important community groups and support networks are helped as much as they can be. It is hyper local politics. It is the work that only somebody with high energy and who knows the local area can do. If we had 20,000 Wayne Dixons, the cumulative transformation in the entire country would be shocking over ten years. Any sports fan knows that marginal gains have huge cumulative effects when achieved consistently over a period of time (see the Chicago Bulls and Team Sky). Same with countries. 150,000 little, easy, cheap things over 10 years and you have almost a new country. This is achievable right now, with no changes in legislation or 'new elite'. More politics should be about exactly this: putting right the 20 streets closest to where you live and making the lives of people who live there better. Remember: there are black and white pictures of a young Lee Kwan Yew sweeping the streets of Singapore. That's where he started his politics. Of course we need to get the big things right -- and Britain is facing at least three existential problems that only central government can address. Yet simultaneously, we also need this.
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Ofcom can apply for a court order requiring UK-based ISPs to block specific websites. Courts have blocked plenty of websites in the past (mostly for egregious copyright violations). Ofcom hasn’t used its tools yet, but it’s clearly gearing up for it.
A cynic could think that this is the point - to demonstrate the UK doesn't have jurisdiction over the rest of the world's web services from an inside-out perspective and so paving the way for far more draconian outside-in measures, such as a great firewall
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What’s crazy about this is how normal it will soon seem. Boomers will say “You just need to look the landlord in the eye with a firm handshake, like we used to do.“
A friend of mine had to do a 15 minute interview about his job, income, previous rental history, etc, in order to *view* a flat. Luckily for him, he has a well-paid job, has lived in England all his life, and an impeccable rental history. I feel bad for people who don't.
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L🇬🇧as Ohl retweeted
TOP ECONOMIST JONATHAN PORTES proposes BRAVE NEW IDEA: raise taxes and increase migration
"This Is What a Truly ‘Responsible’ Budget Would Look Like" The media focus on the fiscal ‘black hole’ is unhelpful. As top economist Jonathan Portes argues, the real question is whether the chancellor is brave enough to raise taxes and encourage migration. From @jdportes for Zeteo UK: zeteo.uk/p/this-is-what-a-tr…
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L🇬🇧as Ohl retweeted
Think it was @CptHastings1916 who called this the Appeal to Social Consensus Face.
I’m running out of room.
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This is a good point. Taxes on workers (including NI and CGT) are some 5.5x more than taxes on businesses; and in banking it’s 10x more. But this just leads to more calls for taxes on “the bankers the bonuses”.
Replying to @DanNeidle
But we need to be careful. PAYE paid by banks is *ten times* both bank taxes. So if bank tax pushes highly paid jobs out of the UK, that could cost more than any tax increase raises.
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Tens of thousands, possibly hundreds of thousands, of Ukrainian children have been forced into Russia and this boot-licking spiv rolls out the tongue once more for “humanitarian” Putin. Infamy
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Exporting electricity via tokens is very clever. The AI film studios that use lots of tokens will be powered by China. Cheap energy makes so many things possible; and Europe (esp. UK) is falling behind.
A realistic scenario is that, after flooding the world with cheap manufactured goods, China will flood it with cheap tokens. (You can’t really export electricity unless you turn it into tokens. And China is the electrical superpower of the 21st century.)
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In the West we call this “picking winners”, and economists say it’s a bad idea. But in practice it’s widespread, whether in sweetheart tax deals (states fought to get Amazon’s HQ2) or in the provision of specific infrastructure (road/rail/energy).
Chinese local governments as shopping malls is such a brilliant analogy. You want to attract anchor tenants or firms for their spillover benefits. Originally coined by Chinese economist Steven Cheung and referenced in Lan Xiaohuan’s book How China Works: pekingnology.com/p/chinas-la…
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L🇬🇧as Ohl retweeted
France has literally recognized a Palestinian state, banned Smotrich and Ben-Gvir from entering the country, provided over €345 million in humanitarian aid to Palestinians since 2023, supported sanctions against Israeli settlers, and led international efforts for Palestinian statehood. Macron has even publicly opposed the U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran. What more, exactly, is France supposed to do? Anti-Zionism once again a trojan horse to destroy the sovereignty of Western countries.
BRIAN KILMEADE: "Did you see the Palestinian flags? What does it have to do with the school curriculum, or lack of teachers, or the days being too long?" REP. RO KHANNA: "There are many people—young people—who are upset about what happened in Gaza. And that's not just immigrants. That's many people who grew up in France, including immigrants." BRIAN KILMEADE: "So you burn a 200-year-old building because you don't like what's happening in Gaza?"
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Pro tip: you can now riot in Paris wearing a Pink Panther suit, because whenever someone shows the video to the police they’ll just dismiss it as AI.
Images appearing to show the Pink Panther rioting in France have gathered millions of views across social media, but they’re actually AI. Read more on the protests: bbc.in/3VZi2YS
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The ONS labour force survey is fundamentally flawed because it selects for people who reliably complete the forms on time. But people are less reliable these days (post-Covid/smartphones); it’s particularly noticeable these days when asking people to RSVP for an event.
Telling just how much the two main employment data sources do not agree. The survey says 356,000 more people are in work. Actual payroll data says 111,000 fewer employees. It is a gap of 467,000 people.
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Don’t just take my word for it; the ONS themselves report a drop in household response rates. Logically, the least reliable people (who don’t respond to surveys) are also the least likely to be in employment; especially in a downturn.
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Schools have been struggling with this for a couple of years now. As with schools returning to in-person exams, do Amazon employees need to be locked up in a room for an hour before every meeting with nothing but a sheet of paper?
The usefulness of Amazon’s 6-page memo has been nuked by AI-generated text (employees sit in meetings suspecting text is AI and tune out). Suspicious memos tagged as AI;DR (AI, didn’t read).
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