@markdharris

Partner @coldspark. GOP Consultant. @theAAPC board. Catholic. Husband. Father 4x. @dietcoke enthusiast. Burkean. 🇺🇸 🇮🇪 🇻🇦

 Pittsburgh
coldspark.com
Joined December 2008
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627Media
Why MI surveys may be overstating El-Sayed. It's all about age. A lot of folks are setting age quotas by 2022 but... the electorate ain't looking like that. Sayed has Assad like 60 point margins with the under 30 demo, but... that demo is down 19% from 22.
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His entire margin comes from voters under 40 and that Demo as a whole is also down BIGLY.
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ugh. Not great for the Republic.
Tom Bevan
@TomBevanRCP6h
New Gallup poll asks "which values the country most needs today?" Out of a list of 12 values, Republicans put "patriotism" #1, for Dems it ranks dead last - by a lot. Dems say "equality" is most needed, Republicans rank it 11th out of 12.
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Just a reminder for all the polymarket is destiny stuff that Lula was at 15% the day before the election.
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Mark Davin Harris retweeted
New York Post
@nypostOct 25
Rural Pennsylvania nuns are building massive stone monastery by hand: 'We had a vision' trib.al/b9JhQG0
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Mark Davin Harris retweeted
Marc Nixon
@MarcNixon24Oct 25
BREAKING: BC Elects its first Conservative Government in 100 years.
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Mark Davin Harris retweeted
Ryan Bonifay
@RBonifayOct 24
🧵NC Early Vote in-person keeps shifting right. The margin improved 2.9% (modeled party applied to unaffiliated voters) to D+21.1%. The raw vote margin sits at D+292K vs D+76K in 2022 and R+42K in 2024. Budd lost EV by 107K, Trump won EV by 116K #ncpol
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Mark Davin Harris retweeted
Ryan Bonifay
@RBonifayOct 23
Georgia Early Vote in-person continues to improve for the GOP with the modeled partisanship margin, shrinking 1.3% from yesterday. The current margin for Early Vote in-person sits at D+11.2% (D+11.6% with mail returns included) #gapol
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Mark Davin Harris retweeted
Ryan Bonifay
@RBonifayOct 23
🧵Margin for the GOP in NC keep improving but are still sitting behind 2022 and 2024. The margin improved 2.3% (modeled party applied to unaffiliated voters) to D+23.0%. The margin at this point was R+1.1% in 2024 and D+8.1% in 2022. #ncpol
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John Hall
@johnkhallOct 23
Have we tried telling donors their patriot status is about to expire? Surely that'll close the gap!
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A breakdown of the PA early voting electorate to date. A lot of similarity to the past but a little older, a little redder, and A LOT of super voters. 85% are 2022+2024 voters.
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America! 🇺🇸
Jason Willick
@jawillickOct 22
“China’s economy will surpass the U.S. in X years” was a stock statement for my whole adult life
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Mark Davin Harris retweeted
GB News
@GBNEWSOct 23
King Charles and Pope Leo XIV revive 500-year-old Catholic title in historic Windsor honour gbnews.com/royal/king-charle…

King Charles and Pope Leo XIV revive 500-year-old Catholic title in historic Windsor honour

It arrives precisely one year after the King and Queen undertook a historic State Visit to the Holy See

gbnews.com
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It was an exciting night!
ColdSpark
@ColdSparkOct 22
Last night we toasted our new DC office from the rooftop! Thank you to the friends, clients, and partners who came out to celebrate with us. ⚡️
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Carrie Tucker@carrieatuckerOct 22
Thank you to everyone who celebrated with us at @ColdSpark DC HQ last night 🍾🥂
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Ryan Bonifay
@RBonifayOct 22
🚨 SC! Currently, modeled party is at D+1.7. Same day in 2024 margin was at R+27.8. Modeled Dem turnout is 15.2% higher than 2024 vs -43.1% lower for modeled GOP. 84K Black turnout is almost even compared to 2024. 30.2% of ballots cast compared to 22.4% in 2024 #scpol
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Ryan Bonifay
@RBonifayOct 22
Another day, another indicator of relative improvement for the GOP in NC. The early vote in-person margin is still worse than 2022 and 2024, but improved 2.3% (modeled party applied to unaffiliated voters). This weekend will be key to seeing if this trend continues. #ncpol
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Early vote data from Pennsylvania is showing strong Democratic turnout in Philadelphia and its suburbs. Day 3 numbers: Philly up 12% vs 2022, suburban counties up 8-9%. This tracks with what we're seeing in other key metros. The early vote advantage matters.
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Mark Davin Harris retweeted
Ryan Bonifay
@RBonifayOct 21
Early Vote in-person is improving for the GOP in Georgia with the modeled partisanship margin shrinking 1.6% from yesterday. The current margin sits at D+13.8%. That moves to D+14.1% with mail returns included #gapol
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Interesting analysis here on how GOP is paying $274 per GRP on average vs $201 for the Democrats largely due to the GOP reliance on IE groups. Hard money (the money direct to candidates) is still king and the Dems have the advantage here. cnn.com/2026/10/14/politics/…

Republicans are playing defense — and it’s costing them | CNN Politics

Republicans are spending hundreds of millions of dollars on advertising in battleground Senate races as they scramble to defend increasingly competitive GOP seats in the final stretch of the midterms.

cnn.com
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