M9rk (@markrsinclair) profile picture

Be the change you wish to see in the world. NFA

Joined January 2013
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Warren Foegele, acquired by OTT, is a two-way middle six winger. Has had an unfortunate season (5% on-ice shooting at 5v5 and 2 assists in 47 games) but still brings good penalty killing, wheels, and offensive upside. #GoSensGo
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Warren Foegele was the best defensive forward in the league last season #GoSensGo
Foegele traded to Ottawa. Pending NHL sign off.
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Ottawa chose calculated aggression over all-in deadline push. Analyzing what Foegele's speed brings to Ottawa, Perron's departure and what's next for #Sens. "I think if he was on a 20-goal pace this year, he wouldn't have been available." sportsnet.ca/nhl/article/sen…
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Senators prospect pool is weak, but Lucas Beckman is very intriguing. Since being traded to Chicoutimi, here are his numbers: 8-1, 1.45 GAA, .943 SV%, 2 shutouts
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One change that reshaped me as a trader: Picking one technical analysis methodology. There is no perfect method. You pick one you understand, learn it deeply, and use it every day. Over time, the flaws become obvious and you naturally stop taking low-reward trades.
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My first monthly AI-fueled deep research report is live! See the 10 stocks that made the cut this month, and catch up on the current macro overview of Singularity and the Exponential Age. open.substack.com/pub/kristo…
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Soaring memory prices are expected to push memory chipmaker profitability beyond that of foundries next quarter, with Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron $MU all guiding for gross margins from 63-67%, above TSMC’s $TSM 60% guide.
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🚨 $CIFR NEW CONTRACT $CIFR has signed a 10-year high-performance computing (HPC) colocation deal with Fluidstack, an Al cloud platform that builds HPC clusters for major companies. Under the agreement, Cipher will provide 39MW of additional IT load, supported by a maximum of 56MW of additional gross capacity, at its Barber Lake site in Colorado City, Texas. With this expansion, Fluidstack will now lease the site's entire 300MW of capacity. The agreement represents around $830 million in contracted revenue over the initial 10-year term and includes two five-year extension options. If exercised, these extension options would bring the total contracted revenue for this transaction to ~$2.0 billion and ~$9.0 billion in total for the entire lease. Google $GOOGL will backstop an additional $333 million of Fluidstack's lease obligations to support project-related debt. Cipher will fund construction using project debt and $118 million in additional equity.
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$NVDA NVIDIA Q3 2025 EARNINGS: - $57B Revenues, +62% YoY - $1.30 EPS, +60% YoY - $51.2B Data Center Revenue, +66% YoY - Q4 Revenue Guide: $63.7B–$66.3B, vs. $61.98B est. - 73.4% Gross Margins Jensen Huang: “Blackwell sales are off the charts, and cloud GPUs are sold out. Compute demand keeps accelerating and compounding across training and inference — each growing exponentially. We’ve entered the virtuous cycle of AI. The AI ecosystem is scaling fast — with more new foundation model makers, more AI startups, across more industries, and in more countries. AI is going everywhere, doing everything, all at once.”
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$CIFR WHICH INNING OF THE AI SUPERCYCLE ARE WE IN????
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CoreWeave’s Warning: When AI Demand Meets Infrastructure Reality The AI boom of 2025 reshaped markets. But the next phase won’t be about capital—it’s about concrete. We’ve entered a supply-constrained revolution. 🧵👇
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$IREN $CRWV This Coreweave earnings call reminds me of @danroberts0101's "Groundhog Day" comment from the Q2 earnings call. Dan Roberts: The second element is I feel like it's Groundhog Day. We're back in this world and it takes me back to Bitcoin mining where every man and their dog promises certain amounts of capacity online by a certain date and no one does it. No one hits the schedules, everyone revises them downwards, stretches them out, cost blowouts, et cetera, because the real world's hard. Dealing with large scale infrastructure projects, large scale workforces, complex project delivery, safety, like it takes a lot of work and systems and structures to deliver that. This is why we're in such a good position. We never missed a milestone on Bitcoin mining. We're the most profitable, if only profitable, Bitcoin miner because we did things properly from the start. And we're now sitting here and, as I said, it's Groundhog Day with the cloud business where, again, al these companies, neoclouds and otherwise, promise capacity online by a certain date and they rarely hit it. And, as a result, customers get a bit gun-shy. 🧐
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$IREN CEO said demand now exceeds the 200MW already contracted with $MSFT. It shows more hyperscalers are lining up for capacity as IREN’s AI infrastructure turns into one of the few scalable power & compute platforms left to lock in.
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$IREN will release its Q1 FY26 Results on Thursday, November 6, 2025 (Eastern Time). Conference call to be held at 5:00pm (Eastern Time). Register here: edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/…
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The dream team!!! $CIFR $IREN
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$IREN My Earnings Wishlist pt1 Since many have posted their wishlist before me, I will take a different approach, and will just write down anything that I think is likely to happen in the coming 6-12 months, which interests me, and hasn't been talked about yet, or not into much detail. Chapter 1: New Sites IREN has always said they have a >1 GW pipeline. Last year, Dan Roberts said: "And that can be any number above 1GW". More recent communication mentioned "Multi-GW Pipeline", which brings the bare minimum to 2GW, and that's on top of 2.91GW of disclosed, contracted power. Yesterday, Mike Alfred said that the current 200MW deal with $MSFT is a "tiny part" of their total portfolio. He has also made comments like "Just wait until you see the entire pipeline". Also yesterday, we heard Dan mention "Outside of Texas & Globally", for the locations of their other sites. Within my subscriber group, we keep track of the land that is being optioned and bought by $IREN. Amongst these sites, we try to assess which one is the most likely to be a candidate for a connection agreement, and subsequent energization approval. Currently, the interest has shifted outside of Texas, and I believe that's why more recently we have heard the "global" pipeline come back into the picture. This is also why Dan said "Outside of Texas and Globally". Now, I wasn't going to really talk about development sites. And I think your guess is as good as mine, if you would have the information that I have. So I will not be speculating on particular sites. But will give my realistic expectation for these earnings, or at the latest, somewhere in the coming 6-12 months. Because we know that the 2025-2027 window is the most valuable when it comes to Megawatts, and we have some information that indicates a choice will have to be made before the end of this year with regards to a specific new project — I think a general expectation is in order for the wishlist of the earnings of Thursday. Prediction: $IREN's first new project will either be in Asia-Pacific ("Globally"), or in Oklahoma ("Outside of Texas"). Now I promised not to speculate on particular sites, so I will mostly focus on explaining why I think Asia-Pacific is the most likely to be next. Thanks to one of my best $IREN informers, I was notified of a new job listing by a recruiter in Sydney that is specficially looking for commercial jobs. You may be aware of IREN's job listings on HiBob or LinkedIn, but despite there being 93 open positions listed there, it's still not all that they are looking to hire. But lo and behold: there is a new listing at their commercial recruit which mentions the following: Senior Manager, Corporate Development (AI Data centres - Sydney & Vancouver Our client is a global operator in the digital infrastructure sector, developing and managing high-performance computing (HPC) facilities powered by renewable energy. The business owns and operates large-scale data-centre campuses across North America, with active expansion into the Asia-Pacific region. By combining low-cost renewable power with advanced compute infrastructure, the company is helping accelerate the global energy transition and support the next generation of AI and HPC applications. Now it gets even more interesting when we read the job description: We are seeking two commercially focused professionals to lead M&A transactions from origination through execution. Sitting at the intersection of corporate development, project development, and investment execution, these roles will drive complex deals that underpin the company’s global expansion pipeline. End-to-end transaction management: Lead or co-lead M&A processes including initial engagement with counterparties, structuring, due diligence, negotiation of binding documentation, and execution. Financial and risk analysis: Build and review models to evaluate potential returns, sensitivities, and risk exposures across acquisition, partnership, and joint-venture structures. Now, you may remember I made a post last week about @IREN_Ltd's ARS: teapawt.net/FransBakker9812/status… One interesting paragraph that I didn't talk about yet, was the M&A paragraph: Consider pursuing strategic acquisitions and other value enhancing opportunities We may strategically assess acquisition opportunities where we believe such transactions can accelerate our strategic roadmap through horizontal or vertical integration, expanding capacity, or gaining intellectual property that may help strengthen our competitive advantage. In addition, we may from time to time, seek to dispose of, or monetize, assets where we believe we can receive value from any such disposition, or monetization, that is accretive to the business. Now before I close this topic, and give my final words on the expectations I have for the announcement of a new site, I want to shortly address the @McnallieM interview with Patrick Fleury that was released yesterday. I think it's one thing to be proud of your own customers and partners by calling them "the best in the world", it's also fine if you think that everyone is imitating your "first ever financial engineering". But I think it's not very classy to throw shade on Texas data center companies, especially peers, that have a pipeline, and long standing relationships with T(D)SP's, and have a realistic line of sight to power. Just because there is 200GW of queued capacity, doesn't mean that seasoned operators like $CIFR and $IREN are making things up. I have evidence in my possession that demonstrates that the companies I am invested in that operate in Texas, have all the means and connections to get these new sites energized. But for the sake of this notion that "having all your sites in Texas is a concentration risk", I am happy to reiterate that $IREN has in fact got a pipeline that expands outside of Texas, and most likely will see an announcement in Asia Pacific, or Oklahoma, within the coming 6-12 months. So let's see if we get something tomorrow, or if it will just be some extra power coming to Childress or Canada. But almost 1 year after the announcement of Sweetwater 2 — I am confident that the time is near that we hear from a new site, potentially outside of Texas or globally.
A few weeks ago, $IREN filed their FY2025 ARS (Annual Report to Security Holders). I want to talk about a few interesting points in here. First of all, there is the development pipeline that we are patiently waiting for to come to fruition. Add new sites with attractive energy arrangements We continue to explore additional sites to build our global platform, both within our existing markets and in new markets where we believe we can obtain attractive energy arrangements and provide benefits to the local energy markets and communities. In addition to our four operating sites (three in British Columbia and one in Childress, Texas) and our two development sites in Texas (1,400MW Sweetwater 1 and 600MW Sweetwater 2), we have conditional and unconditional rights to a number of additional sites across the United States, Canada and Asia-Pacific, over which we are currently pursuing development activities and which have the potential to support multiple GW more of aggregate data center capacity capable of powering growth beyond our 2,910MW of announced potential power capacity. However, there can be no assurance that we will ultimately develop all or any of such additional sites. Now I know that we have made estimates before, and until recently, $IREN always used the term ">1 GW" for their development pipeline. This year however, the company has started to mention "Multiple GW" as opposed to "Greater than 1 GW". First there was Dan Roberts at CNBC saying "Multi GW pipeline": teapawt.net/Umbisam/status/1971677… Starts around the 3:50 mark (look at this smile). Now we read this in the ARS as well "multiple GW more of aggregate data center capacity". So it's not even just raw power for any use-case, it's actually >2 GW of data center capacity that they see potentially in their pipeline. Is this timing coincidental, or is the recent shift to "multi GW" something indicative of a new site being announced? Why did they mention it like this in the FY2025 ARS, if it wasn't relevant for the coming year? Standard protocol, or hints at what's to come? 👀 The next part that was interesting, is the part where they talk about generation. If you just listened to the video I linked above from @Umbisam, you will hear Dan say: "We don't take generation risk on the renewables, that's the job of the utilities". Well, that's not what @IREN_Ltd wrote in their ARS: Own, develop and operate renewable generation and energy storage We believe there is potential opportunity in the future to build and operate our own renewable generation and energy storage assets to lower our overall cost of power, generate additional revenue streams and support energy markets. We believe we are well-positioned to pursue this potential opportunity given our management team’s substantial and proven track record in financing, developing, building and managing large-scale greenfield and brownfield renewable energy projects and associated grid connections. Wow, so from where the 180 on renewables guys? Did something like SB6 make you change your mind? Well, it wasn't the first time we heard about this actually. A few weeks ago, we found out that $IREN is actually considering this at their Sweetwater campus, as they wrote in their tax abatement: teapawt.net/FransBakker9812/status… "Notwithstanding the foregoing, the County acknowledges that Company intends to engage nationally recognized contractors for the Project, and that Company or such contractor shall procure specialty equipment, specialty materials, and specialty services, including but not limited to data center equipment, transformers, substation components, battery storage systems and containers, and specialized construction and installation services, directly from the manufacturers or distributors of such equipment and materials and from service providers with specialized expertise in solar and battery energy storage facility construction (such parties being the “Specialty Contractors”)." When we look at the layout of Sweetwater 1, the sheer size, but also the shape of site, and particularly the outliers of the tracts to the north-east, make for a site with a lot of potential: Since we can see the utility substation on the bottom right, and we know the bulk substation, and the first primary substation, are are build right next to it — it's hard to imagine that they will be constructing data centers at the far top left part of the side. Could this be a campus that would utilize solar and BESS storage, to make for an energy arbitrage feature, as well as complying with SB6 in terms of on-site generation and backup storage? I think it's very likely. I have a lead on a company that is deploying BESS in West Texas, and who are very friendly with $IREN. My subscribers know who I am talking about, and I will keep pursuing this lead, to get more compelling proof about how sustainable this lead is 😏 I would recommend all shareholders of $IREN to read their ARS. I will put the link in the comment below.
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🚨BREAKING: $IREN PT RAISED TO $125 AT BERNSTEIN 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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$CIFR pipeline just got real!
This morning, $CIFR released its Q3’25 business update, marking a transformative quarter highlighted by major progress in expanding our HPC strategy and pipeline. Cipher announced the following updates: *Signed a 300 MW, ~$5.5 billion, 15-year lease agreement with Amazon Web Services to provide turnkey space and power for AI workloads *Secured majority ownership in a JV to Develop a 1 GW Site, called “Colchis”, in West Texas *AI Hosting contracts, including the Q3 transaction with Fluidstack and Google, represent approximately $8.5 billion in lease payments *Delivered strong financial results with revenue of $72m and non-GAAP adjusted earnings of $41m “The third quarter was truly transformative for Cipher, as we executed two milestone HPC transactions and expanded our development pipeline,” said Tyler Page, CEO. “As the industry evolves rapidly, we’re more confident than ever that Cipher is among the best-positioned companies in the world to seize additional opportunities created by the growing power shortfall." More here: bit.ly/47B2MUl
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$IREN signing a $9.7b cloud contract with $MSFT is a thesis-defining moment for shareholders For the last couple of years, doubters have argued that $IREN is just another $BTC miner or, in recent months, that they can’t compete with the likes of $NBIS or $CRWV because they lack "software orchestration". Well, it turns out that all of these doubts were severely mis-guided. Investors who did extensive research and analysis of the AI sector understood that it was always just a question of time — not merely because $IREN "has the power", but because they have world-class engineers and a one-of-a-kind CTO in Denis Skrinnikoff. Combine that with excellent leadership at the top & this was a forgone conclusion. Now keep in mind, this multibillion $ deal — which, on the surface, appears to have a very strong ROIC profile — barely encompasses 300 MW (gross) of $IREN's ~3 GW power portfolio. There will be many more deals, whether in hyperscale cloud contracts or in the form of high-yielding “premium” colocation partnerships. This is truly just the beginning... Congrats @danroberts0101 & Team. Couldn’t be prouder as a shareholder today! 👏🎉
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🚨 BREAKING 🚨 $IREN SECURES $9.7B AI CLOUD CONTRACT WITH $MSFT 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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