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Ken Hoffman called the lithium bottom before the market did. Ten months on, Chinese carbonate has gone from CNY 61,000 a tonne to CNY 148,000, copper has printed a record US$14,455, and the demand engine driving all of it — stationary storage — is one almost nobody had in their models three years ago.
Youtube - youtu.be/4h2qp0g4Z28
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/5yC…
What we covered:
- Why he called the lithium bottom early, and what was in the data everyone else skipped past
- Whether "chaos is the opportunity" still holds, or is now destroying more value than it creates
- Stationary storage overtaking EV batteries — does the crossover still happen this decade?
- China's two big policy moves on storage, and which one actually matters for lithium demand
- The Chinese "emergency order" for backup batteries — where that number comes from, and what's contracted
- Data-centre storage as a separate demand vector, or the industry double-counting the same megawatt-hours
- Where the next demand surprise comes from after storage
Lithium at CNY 148,000 — a pause in a bull market, or the front edge of the next supply response
- Bald Hill, Finniss and Jianxiawo restarting, and what's different from the 2023–25 glut
- Zimbabwe's export ban and whether the Indonesian nickel playbook transfers to lithium
- His own forecasting record, and the systematic bias in demand modelling
- Where new lithium supply gets built at US$18,000 a tonne without a government cheque
- Copper's record run, and the correction he called that never came
AI data centres versus Grasberg and El Teniente — narrative or genuine structural loss
- What a coherent US copper strategy would actually look like
- Rare earths and the US$110 NdPr price floor — who is absorbing the gap
- China's grip on refined NdPr and heavy rare earth separation, and what the West can realistically shift
- The anode duties that never issued, and whether the US has quietly conceded anodes for this cycle
- China's graphite and battery-equipment export controls, and what happens when the suspension expires in November
- Manganese, LMFP, and what has to happen for that thesis to pay (including his Firebird Metals advisory role)
- Why he's not a believer in sodium-ion, and what would change his mind
- The material with the strongest demand outlook and the thinnest pipeline
- Separating the West's mining problem from its refining problem
#Lithium #BatteryMetals #CriticalMinerals #Copper #RareEarths #EnergyStorage #BESS #ASX #Mining #Nickel #Cobalt #Manganese #LFP #LMFP #SodiumIon #EVs #Graphite #SupplyChain #Commodities #MiningInvestment
Would Lynas or Iluka take 3rd-party concentrate for their own cracking and leaching circuits in WA?
Full episode with Jacob Deysel, CEO Critica Ltd $CRI below:
Youtube - youtu.be/mIIv6ugiTMg
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/0e1…
#Critica #CRI #ASX #RareEarths #REE #NdPr #HeavyRareEarths #Dysprosium #Terbium #Yttrium #CriticalMinerals #Jupiter #WesternAustralia #ScopingStudy #Lynas #Iluka #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
U.S. firmly focused on Greenland Minerals
Full episode with Paul Williams and Ian McBride, Auking Mining $AKN below:
Youtube - youtu.be/O--fElXvFS4
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/6fP…
#AuKingMining #AKN #ASX #RareEarths #Niobium #Greenland #Malawi #Tundulu #Qeqertaasaq #Carbonatite #CriticalMinerals #NdPr #REE #Exploration #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #JuniorMining #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
64% Iron by-product potentially a win for a 8Mt clay rare earth project in Western Australia
Full episode with Jacob Deysel, CEO Critica Ltd $CRI below:
Youtube - youtu.be/mIIv6ugiTMg
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/0e1…
#Critica #CRI #ASX #RareEarths #REE #NdPr #HeavyRareEarths #Dysprosium #Terbium #Yttrium #CriticalMinerals #Jupiter #WesternAustralia #ScopingStudy #Lynas #Iluka #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
This $PNN core looks horrible, which means it's GREAT FOR FREE DIG!!!
Full episode with @ASX_PNN_CEO from Power Minerals (ASX: PNN) below:
Youtube - youtu.be/02dTOE-08lQ
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/4zr…
#PowerMinerals #PNN #ASX #RareEarths #REE #NdPr #MagnetMetals #CriticalMinerals #Brazil #MinasGerais #MorroDoFerro #Dysprosium #Terbium #DrillResults #Exploration #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
China Export Controls Driving Demand for #rareearths
Full episode with Jacob Deysel, CEO Critica Ltd $CRI below:
Youtube - youtu.be/mIIv6ugiTMg
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/0e1…
#Critica #CRI #ASX #RareEarths #REE #NdPr #HeavyRareEarths #Dysprosium #Terbium #Yttrium #CriticalMinerals #Jupiter #WesternAustralia #ScopingStudy #Lynas #Iluka #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
Youtube - youtu.be/mIIv6ugiTMg
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/0e1…
Eight days after its first 160Mt Indicated resource, Critica $CRI put a A$2.0 billion post-tax NPV and a 48% IRR on its Jupiter rare earths project in WA. Jacob Deysel joins LEVRD to stress-test the Scoping Study: the price deck, recoveries, acid, funding and who actually buys the product.
WHAT WE COVERED
- The one-line case for Jupiter, and an 8Mtpa pit using only ~6% of a 1.7Bt resource
- Upside outside the base case: higher recoveries, plus iron, gallium and scandium credits
- The price deck: US$147/kg NdPr against ~US$95/kg ex-China spot, and the NPV at today's prices
- Heavy rare earths and yttrium at ~46% of the basket, and 75% payability on a mixed carbonate
- Funding: the A$264M production tax incentive, the 18-month PFS and the pilot plant
- Mining a free-dig clay pit
- Acid supply in a tight WA market, and the other reagents the circuit needs
- Eneabba, Lynas, government-backed offtakes and the three milestones to watch in the next 12 months
#Critica #CRI #ASX #RareEarths #REE #NdPr #HeavyRareEarths #Dysprosium #Terbium #Yttrium #CriticalMinerals #Jupiter #WesternAustralia #ScopingStudy #Lynas #Iluka #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
Rare earths and Niobium in Greenland, gods country ☃️❄️
Full episode with Paul Williams and Ian McBride, Auking Mining $AKN below:
Youtube - youtu.be/O--fElXvFS4
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/6fP…
#AuKingMining #AKN #ASX #RareEarths #Niobium #Greenland #Malawi #Tundulu #Qeqertaasaq #Carbonatite #CriticalMinerals #NdPr #REE #Exploration #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #JuniorMining #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
This Greenland deal landed conveniently for $AKN just days before the Trump Truth Social post
Full episode with Paul Williams and Ian McBride, Auking Mining (ASX: AKN) below:
Youtube - youtu.be/O--fElXvFS4
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/6fP…
#AuKingMining #AKN #ASX #RareEarths #Niobium #Greenland #Malawi #Tundulu #Qeqertaasaq #Carbonatite #CriticalMinerals #NdPr #REE #Exploration #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #JuniorMining #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
Does the latest $PNN hit bring more tonnes into the MRE and potentially exceed the exploration target tonnes?
Full episode with Alistair Stephens, CEO Power Minerals (ASX: PNN) below:
Youtube - youtu.be/02dTOE-08lQ
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/4zr…
#PowerMinerals #PNN #ASX #RareEarths #REE #NdPr #MagnetMetals #CriticalMinerals #Brazil #MinasGerais #MorroDoFerro #Dysprosium #Terbium #DrillResults #Exploration #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
Youtube - youtu.be/O--fElXvFS4
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/6fP…
AuKing Mining $AKN has added Greenland to its Malawi rare earths story. MD Paul Williams returns to LEVRD with Exploration Manager Ian McBride to unpack the Qeqertaasaq niobium-rare earths earn-in, the deal terms, the uranium question and where the Tundulu maiden resource stands.
WHAT WE COVERED
- Why Greenland, why now, and what it adds alongside Tundulu
- The US-Denmark-Greenland treaty and the Western supply chain pitch
- Deal terms: exclusivity to 24 October, the 75% earn-in and the 10% set aside for introducers
- Xploration Services as both vendor and field contractor
- The niobium case: who buys, the Niobec comparison and near-surface mineralisation
- Uranium and Greenland's 100ppm rule
- Rare earths: the 4.5% TREO Discovery Vein and the Sarfartoq benchmark
- Licence spend, the first field season and a drill-out for a maiden resource
- Tundulu: consistent ~1.5% TREO intercepts and a maiden resource by Christmas
#AuKingMining #AKN #ASX #RareEarths #Niobium #Greenland #Malawi #Tundulu #Qeqertaasaq #Carbonatite #CriticalMinerals #NdPr #REE #Exploration #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #JuniorMining #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
1.2m @ 40.5% TREO definitely bought back one of my old sayings..
Full episode with @ASX_PNN_CEO from Power Minerals $PNN below:
Youtube - youtu.be/02dTOE-08lQ
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/4zr…
#PowerMinerals #PNN #ASX #RareEarths #REE #NdPr #MagnetMetals #CriticalMinerals #Brazil #MinasGerais #MorroDoFerro #Dysprosium #Terbium #DrillResults #Exploration #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
Youtube - youtu.be/02dTOE-08lQ
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/4zr…
Power Minerals $PNN has drilled its best hole yet at Morro do Ferro. MFSR-057 returned 111m @ 8.25% TREO from surface, including 51m @ 15.4%, with a peak sample of 40.5% TREO - the highest ever recorded on the project. @ASX_PNN_CEO is back with LEVRD to unpack the result, the assays still at the lab, the road to a maiden resource and why the share price hasn't followed the drill bit.
WHAT WE COVERED
- MFSR-057 and the 40.5% record sample, and whether it tops last week's MFSR-055
- Magnet rare earth grades against Lynas and MP Materials feed
- How the high-grade zone carries between sections, and the hydrothermal model
- New ground from the eucalyptus harvest and the southeast step-out holes
- 13 holes at the lab, the bottom of MFSR-054 and whether the lab is the critical path
- Is the Exploration Target now conservative, and could it double Monte Alto?
- Why the market hasn't followed the drill bit, peer valuations and corporate interest
#PowerMinerals #PNN #ASX #RareEarths #REE #NdPr #MagnetMetals #CriticalMinerals #Brazil #MinasGerais #MorroDoFerro #Dysprosium #Terbium #DrillResults #Exploration #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
The persistent Aurenne question for Ballard
Full episode with Paul Brennan, MD Ballard Mining (ASX: BM1) below:
Youtube - youtu.be/sdlNQWusI48
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/27X…
#BallardMining #BM1 #ASX #ASXGold #GoldMining #MtIda #Baldock #WesternAustralia #Goldfields #Leonora #CapitalRaising #Placement #GoldStocks #GoldDevelopers #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #GoldPrice #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
Is building a camp early that big of a deal?
Full episode with Paul Brennan, MD Ballard Mining (ASX: BM1) below:
Youtube - youtu.be/sdlNQWusI48
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/27X…
#BallardMining #BM1 #ASX #ASXGold #GoldMining #MtIda #Baldock #WesternAustralia #Goldfields #Leonora #CapitalRaising #Placement #GoldStocks #GoldDevelopers #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #GoldPrice #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
How much torque do Ballard have with these satellite pit opportunities?
Full episode with Paul Brennan, MD Ballard Mining (ASX: BM1) below:
Youtube - youtu.be/sdlNQWusI48
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/27X…
#BallardMining #BM1 #ASX #ASXGold #GoldMining #MtIda #Baldock #WesternAustralia #Goldfields #Leonora #CapitalRaising #Placement #GoldStocks #GoldDevelopers #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #GoldPrice #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
Youtube - youtu.be/sdlNQWusI48
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/27X…
In January, Ballard Mining (ASX: BM1) said it was fully funded to FID. Now it has raised A$45 million at 66c, plus an SPP, in what it calls a challenging market. MD Paul Brennan joins LEVRD to explain why now, the A$28 million village going up before FID, pits first at Mt Ida and the road to a mid-2027 decision.
WHAT WE COVERED
- Why raise now, and whether "fully funded to FID" still held before this raise
- Raising at 66c into a weak market instead of waiting for the assays at the lab
- Building the A$28M, 250-person village before deciding to build the mine
- Does the village make Mt Ida worth more to a buyer, or Ballard less likely to need one?
- Aurenne's mill next door and what consolidation around Leonora means for the endgame
- Pits first: can the open pits carry the mill before the Baldock underground?
- A$40M of drilling, the March-quarter resource update and a 10-year mine life
- Who took stock, the last raise before FID and the one milestone to watch by Christmas
#BallardMining #BM1 #ASX #ASXGold #GoldMining #MtIda #Baldock #WesternAustralia #Goldfields #Leonora #CapitalRaising #Placement #GoldStocks #GoldDevelopers #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #GoldPrice #MiningInvestment #LEVRD
The Michael Jordan hole at Ricci Lee
Full episode with Graeme Purcell, MD Boa Resources $BOA below:
Youtube - youtu.be/BtRybtrHqIk
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/2OF…
#BOAResources #BOA #ASX #ASXCopper #Copper #CopperMining #CopperStocks #NedsCreek #RicciLee #Thaduna #GreenDragon #Doolgunna #WesternAustralia #Sandfire #DrillResults #Exploration #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #LEVRD
Would Sandfire ever buy back the whole package next to Degrussa?
Full episode with Graeme Purcell, MD Boa Resources $BOA below:
Youtube - youtu.be/BtRybtrHqIk
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/2OF…
#BOAResources #BOA #ASX #ASXCopper #Copper #CopperMining #CopperStocks #NedsCreek #RicciLee #Thaduna #GreenDragon #Doolgunna #WesternAustralia #Sandfire #DrillResults #Exploration #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #LEVRD
Three Rigs chasing high grade at Spring Hill...just what the punters want
Full episode with Ash Pattison, Chairman PC Gold (ASX: PC2) below:
Youtube - youtu.be/hWshlJcOlCk
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/297…
#PCGold #PC2 #ASX #ASXGold #GoldMining #SpringHill #PineCreek #NorthernTerritory #GoldStocks #ASXSmallCaps #SmallCaps #MiningNews #Exploration #UndergroundMining #PhotonAssay #GoldPrice #MiningInvestment #JuniorMining #CapitalRaising #LEVRD





